The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets take a breather with the revelation that Inflation is running 6.2%, and not going away; the real rate of inflation most of us are experiencing is much higher; the financial missteps that got us here (started in the '70's); the reason Elon Musk doesn't pay taxes (yet). ------ SEG-1: The Real Rate of Inflation SEG-2: 6.2% Inflation: How We Got Here SEG-3: Why Elon Musk Doesn't Pay Taxes NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Smacked Down by Higher Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "What If Rates Rise?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #MonetizingDebt

(11/11/21) Markets sell-off on news of 6.2% inflation that's NOT transitory; inflation is essentially an economic brake. Companies must decide whether to pass along price increases or reign-in operating costs. i. e., a reduction in labor. This dynamic will slow earnings, even as advances in the market have been keyed to rosier expectations about margins and earnings growth for 2022. What will be the impact as these expectations are adjusted downward? Look for a market re-evaluation sometime next year. Money flow Buy-signals have been triggered, and the MACD Buy-signal is in place; watch for a retracement back to the 50-DMA. Compounding this scenario: Holidays are looming, options expirations will hit next week, and mutual fund rebalancing--all will provide reasons to sell-off. We're taking profits from our bond holdings, and looking for an opportunity to add fixed-income back into portfolios heading into the New Year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Inflation #TransitoryInflation #EarningsEstimates #Margin #LaborCosts #Bonds #FixedIncome #RisingRates #InterestRates

Some financial advisors are replacing their 60/40 portfolio blends in response to high stock valuations and historically low interest rates. At RIA Advisors, we're taking a different approach, as CIO Lance Roberts discusses with Sr,. Advisor, Danny Ratliff. NOTE: This feature video comes from the Wednesday (11/10/21) episode of The Real Investment Show, which you can watch here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Further Correct?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bctNxnZxw1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Good vs Bad Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #60/40Portfolio #Testa #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #MarketValuation #InterestRates

Markets dipped with Elon Musk's informal stock-sale poll, and the Fed is clearly more concerned about stock valuations than inflation; is the 60/40 Portfolio a dinosaur? What can you do when interest rates rise? ------ SEG-1: Changes Coming to IRA's and Social Security SEG-2: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? SEG-3: What Happens When Rates Rise (and what you can do about it) NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Further Correct?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bctNxnZxw1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Good vs Bad Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #60/40Portfolio #Testa #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #MarketValuation #InterestRates

(11/10/21) After an 8-day streak of gains, markets pulled back a smidge, thanks primarily to a sell-off in Tesla shares (thankyew, Elon). This was no surprise, as Money Flow Sell-signals have been in place. Further weakness would not be a surprise, as we head into the holidays, and options expirations will hit next Friday, adding more selling pressure. The Bond barometer is suggesting a period of rising interest rates, indicating the time could be ripe for taking profits in Bonds, short term; we're looking for a pullback in Bonds, with the expectation the Fed could raise rates sooner. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Tesla #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Bonds

5 Signs Market Investors are too Bullish: even the Fed is noting valuations that are way out of sight! The Difference Between "Good" vs Bad Inflation--and how you can tell them apart; General Electric's Three-way; forget bulls vs bears--it's devils vs angel markets. ------ SEG-1: High Market Valuations Even the Fed Cannot Ignore SEG-2: Gaslighting Inflation SEG-3: GE, Exxon, & Shell Response to Activist Investors NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 NOTE#2: Okay, we know the sound and video aren't in synch. Not even close. We're working on it. Close your eyes and imagine you're listening to the radio in the olden days...or put on some cheap sunglasses and pretend your watching one of those mis-lipsynced Japanese Godzilla Movies. We're working on it. Really. -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fear Gauge is Up: Should You Re-size Your Portfolio Positions?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckg0OcqtZEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Should Elon Musk Sell Some Stock?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketValuations #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gaslighting #GoodInflation #BadInflation #GeneralElectric #ExxonMobile #RoyalDutchShel #ActivistInvestors

(11/9/21) Markets continue to eke out gains after 19-days of positive movement, now three standard-deviations above the 50-DMA to levels that normally precede corrections. Money Flow Sell signals are in place, with money flows and MACD signals still remaining positive. We're expecting some pretty sloppy trading for the next week. Despite markets making new highs, the VIX us also on the rise, and we're about to see a surge in the VIX as the market begins to correct--nothing major, but perhaps a 3- to 5-percent "relaxation." Other indications of real market speculation include the performances of AMD, NVIDIA, and Ford--trading at 4- to 5-times deviations from long term moving averages. We're resizing our portfolio positions in companies like these. What would Elon do?? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSpeculation #Volatility #MoneyFlows #MarketCorrection #AMD #NVIDIA #Ford #Elon Musk

Christmas shopping could be harrowing with supply chain disruptions and merchandise shortages this season; The Roberts' Christmas Tree saga continues; has the Fed setup the Markets to crash? Inside the Infrastructure Bill; Poll: Should Elon Musk sell some stock? End-of-year mutual fund posturing; How Meme stocks altered Wall St. ------ SEG-1: Supply Chains & Christmas Shopping SEG-2: Did the Fed set Markets to Fail? SEG-3: Elon Musk's Great Stock Sale Poll SEG-4: Mutual Fund positioning for EOY & Meme Stocks NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Up for 18-Days Straight: What Does This Mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Dealing With Transient Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElonMusk #InfrastructureBill #Inflation #ChristmasShopping #EndOfYearPositioning #MutualFunds #MemeStocks

(11/8/21) Markets are two standard deviations above the 50-DMA, increasing the "gravitational-pull" on prices. Markets has been Up 18-straight days without as correction--a veritable buying stampede. Money flow Sell signals were triggered on Friday...meanwhile, the Fed said they're to begin tapering their balance sheet, but not moving to raise interest rates any time soon, thanks to under achievement on "full employment" (now at 4.6% unemployment, yet labor participation is at a historic low); meanwhile, keeping their foot on the pedal to support asset prices, and in turn, to boost consumer confidence (note the correlation between markets and consumer confidence). And, the Fed is not worried about inflation, yet CPI and PPI are both surging, and wages are failing to keep up with inflation. That's a problem for corporations dependent upon consumer spending for earnings. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTaper #Markets #S&P500 #MoneyFlows #MACD #Unemployment #Inflation #ConsumerConfidence

Markets' response to Fed "tapering" is non-existent, because of Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish stance on interest rates; The Two Presidential Economic Poisons; How to Define "Full" Employment and measure Inflation; Did we get "played" by the Fed? ------ SEG-1: How Will Banks Behave w Fed Tapering? SEG-2: What is Real Unemployment? SEG-3: How Should We Measure Inflation? SEG-4: How the Fed "Played" Their Announcement NOTE: You can watch this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: After the Fed Announcement, What Markets are Doing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAJbKgirqFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Why Stocks are Hitting Highs as Yield Curves Flatten," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoJ8FPOnAbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FedTaper #InterestRates #Inflation #FullEmployment