The Real Investment Show Podcast

OTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KfEe1BT_dYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/13/21) Markets are being lifted in anticipation of earnings season and today's inflation report: Will it push the Fed to taper sooner? Inflation and stagflation are becoming more prevalent. In a sloppy trading week, Markets will be retesting recent lows if they can't climb above the 100-DMA and hold it for the rest of this week. Earnings from JP Morgan and Blackrock both beat their estimates, but a look behind the curtain shows accounting gimmicks were the secret sauce for success. Financials aren't where we'd like to be, but if you're going to make "better bad choices," these would be the ones to have in your portfolio for now. Watch out today for inflation and comments from the Fed, and potentially tapering sooner and harder than previously expected. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Stagflation #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance

The Debt Ceiling rises $400-B to allow Congress to pay its bills; what can reverse spending addiction? Q3 Earnings Season begins w impact of inflation & supply chain disruptions effects on margins; paying attention to risk; Short-term vs Long-term warning signs. ------ SEG-1: How to Solve Washington's Spending Problem SEG-2: The Risks to Earnings and Looking Ahead SEG-3: Headwinds & Challenges Facing Investors Now SEG-4: Short Term Upward Bias vs Long Term Warning Signs -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-risk-of-a-bigger-correction-over/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-5000-year-view-of-rates-the-economic-consequences/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Maintain Support?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAzhKlczWP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How $80 Oil Adds in Inflationary Twist to Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=892_9HJuGT0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #Inflation #SupplyChainDistruption #Markets #Risk #RiskManagement #Q3Earnings #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus

NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAzhKlczWP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/12/21) Monday's sell-off took the market back to the 100-DMA, so markets continue to hold support. There are two bullish signs to note: Money flow buy signals are back in place, and money flows are trying to improve. The MACD buy signal is present, but just barely. It's critical markets hold the 100-DMA at least through the end of the week, and to get the bull market back, will need to advance above the 50-DMA. Will earnings be strong enough to give a lift to the markets? This time around, corporate outlook will matter--even more than earnings results. There's a lack of fiscal liquidity coming into the markets, concerns over the debt ceiling, and the Fed going to taper--there is much to hamper a rally for the markets. We're seeing longer-term sell signals in place, which could be indication of a greater correction to come. And with so many headwinds in place, it would not be a surprise to see earnings come in less-than expected. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-risk-of-a-bigger-correction-over/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlowSignals #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance

$80-oil and Supply Chain disruptions are feeding into inflation, despite government manipulation of CPI and PCE to dampen measurements. Investors' dilemma of how to put money to work, despite data saying otherwise; markets' warning signs: Weekly vs Monthly buy signals. ------ SEG-1: The Consequences of Creating Artificial Demand SEG-2: Investors' Battle of Putting Money to Work vs Contrary Data SEG-3: Why Markets' "Check Engine" light is lit -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Real Impact of $80 Oil," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMilX0Dntf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #$80_Oil #Inflation #Markets #CPI #PCE #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus

NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMilX0Dntf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s (10/11/21) Crude Oil Prices at $80/bbl--higher energy prices are feeding into the inflationary pressures on Wall St. as well as Main St. This will weigh on corporate earnings and more importantly, corporate outlooks in view of supply chain disruptions, inflationary costs, and companies' ability (or inability) to pass on these costs to consumers. Markets are now on a Money Flow "Buy" signal, as well as a MACD "Buy" signal, confirmed on Friday (10/8). The good news is, Markets did break above their 100-DMA, holding that critical level of support; trying to rally back above the 50-DMA is going to be key over the course of the next few weeks. The more times market test support, the more likely it is that support will break to test lower levels. On a longer-term basis, there are more concerns. Watch the weekly money flows for weaknesses. Monthly money flow signals are even more important to pay attention to. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #MoneyFlowSignals #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance

Elon Musk Moves to Austin with the slogan, "Don't Mess with Tesla;" Why employees are discovering higher costs this Open Enrollment season; Mistakes that can cost you College money on FAFSA; Why College Isn't for Everyone; Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement; ------ SEG-1: Tesla Moves to Austin; Open Enrollment Season Begins SEG-2: Fun with FAFSA: Why Mistakes Can Cost You $$$ SEG-3: More Fun with FAFSA: Why College isn't for Everyone SEG-4: Tax Tips for Retirement; Life Insurance; College vs Trade School? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s -------- Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tesla #FAFSA #Markets #CollegeFunding #EducationCosts #Retirement #LifeInsurance #TradeSchool #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality

Economic growth estimates are being revised; the "Fiscal Cliff" is actually fiscal reality; wealth inequality is caused by the Fed; the fallacy of equality; how to make population more productive; why handouts don't work; Why Debt Ceiling hike is not a win for Democrats; Allow Capitalism to work. ------ SEG-1: Mrs. Roberts & ACL; The Fiscal Cliff vs Fiscal Reality SEG-2: Kids, College, & Senioritis; Why Handouts Don't Work SEG-3: Why Raising the Debt Ceiling is not a Win for Dems -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s -------- Our previous show, "How Coming IRA Changes Could Affect Your Money," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TkMhUMoMoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #FiscalCliff #Market #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality

NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s (10/7/21) Will a lift in the Debt Ceiling provide a lift to Markets? Democrat hyperbole over crashing markets, debt defaults, and diving into depression was all just that: hyperbolic economic hypochondria: Those ills weren't going to happen. Markets did retest the major support of the last few days, and did rally back above the 100-DMA. This sets up the market for a rally to the 50-DMA as relief over the debt ceiling comes to fruition. Negative money flows have been improving, and we're watching for a MACD-signal crossover: A buy-signal would provide a trigger into the seasonally-strong period of the year. Caveat: There's much going on. We're looking for weaker Q3 earnings announcements, and forward earnings expectations will be key. Economic growth expectations are also dropping, which will weigh on corporate earnings, and limit stock price increases. Watch fixed-income for downward bias as the debt ceiling has been relaxed. Should the Fed begin to taper in November, that will exert more downward pressure, as well. We think less international, less emerging markets, and more domestic exposure in portfolios is the way to go. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #Default #Depression #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance

Congress WILL pass a new Debt Ceiling, so here's what Investors need to know in strategizing portfolio management; Significant IRA Changes are also coming, including new Roth rules; Lance's strategies for being his own banker you can use. ------ SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Strategies for Investors SEG-2: Changes Coming for IRA's SEG-3: How to Be Your Own Bank -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets' Rocky Start to Q4," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ev7i2qOydEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s -------- Our previous show, "Market Rebound Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4nO8BR972Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #IRAChanges #BeYourOwnBanker #RothIRA #InvestingStrategy #RothIRA #PermanentLifeInsurance

NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ev7i2qOydEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s (10/6/21) What does the Markets' rocky start to the month mean for your money? The good news is markets remain very over-sold, and volume has been evaporating as markets consolidate above support. The bad news is that volatility in the downtrend continues; more than 90% of S&P stocks have had a 10% correction. The ugly part is that a head & shoulders pattern is forming at the 200-DMA, and if we do break below the neck line at the 200-DMA, there is a disticnt risk of lower equity prices and a reduction overall portfolio risk. The sharp rise in interest rates has been the undermining factor in the rally of late, thanks to concerns over the debt ceiling and potential defaults on bonds. Traders have been short Treasuries of late, leading to a rise in rates. The topping process in rates suggests lower rates and higher bond prices ahead. Lower rates should provide some lift for stocks--all coming after the debt ceiling is passed. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #ContinuingResolution #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance