The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

By Harry StebbingsBusinessNewsInvestingTech News
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The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch episodes

  • 20VC: Inside Accel's $4BN Growth Investing Machine | Cursor is Dead is Total BS: Here is Why | What Missing Rippling and ElevenLabs Taught Us | Are $2BN-$10BN IPOs Dead | Why Now is a Great Time to be Thoma Bravo with Miles Clements

    Miles Clements is a Partner @ Accel where he helps to lead their growth fund. At Accel, Miles has led or invested in Atlassian, Cursor, Linear, and more.

    AGENDA:

    03:38 Where is True Alpha and Value in a World of AI

    05:10 Why it is Total BS that Cursor is Dead

    07:55 Why Cursor Were Not Wrong to Build Their Own Models

    09:38 What is the Upside When Investing in Cursor at $27BN?

    15:12 Do Sub $10BN Outcomes Even Matter to a Fund the Size of Accel?

    17:07 Losing ServiceTitan: Investing Lesson Learned…

    19:55 Missing Rippling: What We Learned

    27:20 What is Accel's Win Rate

    30:22 How VCs Approach Ownership Has Changed

    35:09 Does Miles Feel Happier or Sadder to be an Anthropic Investor Post Pentagon Debacle

    36:45 What Happens to Companies Like Miro and Snyk with High Prices to Live Upto?

    38:05 Why it is a Great Time to Be Thoma Bravo and Vista

    38:36 Why Founder-Led Companies Are Always Better

    41:12 Why Would Any Founder Go Public Today

    43:48 When is the Right Time to Take Chips Off The Table?

    45:24 Should VC Firms Have Evergreen Funds and Be Responsible for Public Positions

    50:28 You Can Pick Any VC to Join Accel, Who Does Miles Choose…

    1 hr 4 min
  • 20VC: Why the SaaS Apocalypse is BS | Why China Will Win the AI War | Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist and are Tourists | Why Stock-Based Comp is the Hidden Sin of the Valley with Mitchell Green, Lead Edge Capital

    Mitchell Green is a legendary growth equity investor and the Founder and Managing Partner of Lead Edge Capital, a firm with over $5 billion in assets under management. Known as a relentless "money maker", Mitchell has led investments in the likes of Bytedance, Toast, Procore, Duo Security and more.

    AGENDA:

    0:00 The SaaS Apocalypse: Why Incumbents Aren't Going to Zero

    05:50 "Dead Money": Why Public Software Estimates Were Too High

    08:15 Leverage is the Enemy: Lessons from the 1999 Retail Crash

    11:50 The Truth About Growth Equity: Zeroes vs. 10X Returns

    15:40 Mainframes to AI: Why Oracle and SAP Will Thrive

    20:35 The "Stock-Based Comp" Scandal: Silicon Valley's Hidden Crime

    24:35 ByteDance vs. The World: Why China Could Win the AI War

    31:50 Selling is the Job: Why Buying is the Most Glamorous Part of VC

    35:45 Too Many Tourists: Why 50% of VCs Shouldn't Be in the Business

    44:10 The Gross Dollar Retention Rule: The Only Number That Matters in SaaS

    1 hr 1 min
  • 20VC: Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins | OpenAI's $110BN Mega Round | Cursor Hits $2BN in ARR | Block's 40% Headcount Reduction: AI or Overhiring

    AGENDA:

    04:13 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins

    13:54 Was Sam Altman Wrong to Take the Deal

    24:28 OpenAI's $110BN Mega Round: The Breakdown

    28:22 Who Has a Bigger Valuation Premium: Sam Altman or Elon Musk

    34:38 Why We Got the SaaS Apocalypse Wrong?

    43:24 Why Salesforce Could be the Best Buy in Public Markets

    47:46 Block Lays Off 40% of Team: AI or Overhiring

    01:00:16 Cursor Hits $2BN in ARR… so not Dead?

    01:18:15 How to Pick Winners in AI?

    1 hr 24 min
  • 20VC: Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Will Systems of Record Become Valueless Databases in an Agentic World | Will LLMs Own the Value in the Application Layer with Eran Zinman

    Monday has been hit harder than almost any other public SaaS company. With $1.3BN in ARR, the company is valued at just $3.8BN; a more than 60% fall since IPO. Today, Eran Zinman, Monday's CEO joins Harry Stebbings in the hotseat to walkthrough six of the biggest threats to Monday's business; what is real, what is not and what are the unknowns.

    AGENDA:

    05:47 Six Threats Monday Faces Today

    07:04 Threat #1: Vibe Coding: Will Companies Vibe Code Everything

    11:24 Threat #2: Will OpenAI and Anthropic Own the Application Layer

    13:52 Threat #3: Will Agents Turn Monday and Salesforce into a Database

    18:43 Why is Monday Adding 15% Headcount When Everyone is Cutting?

    21:40 How Monday is Using AI to be More Efficient

    27:49 What Happens to Seat Pricing? What Comes Next?

    34:17 What No One Sees About Enterprise AI Adoption

    37:13 How Google AI Overview Smashed 10% of our Customer Acquisition

    38:49 If Bullish on Monday, Why Has Eran Not Bought More Stock…

    40:38 How to Manage Internal Morale When Stock is Down 60%

    44:08 Do Private Companies Have Advantages Public Companies Do Not Have

    47:28 With $1.5BN in Cash, Why is Eran Not Buying More Companies…

    53:30 What is the Most Offensive Bet Eran Would Like to Take?

    57:13 Quickfire: Marriage, Biggest Short, Mentors

    1 hr 10 min
  • 20VC: Why Cursor is Dead | An AI Tsunami is Coming & You Need to Prepare | Systems of Record Become Valueless Databases with Agents | Is This The End of Tech Private Equity with Jerry Murdock, Co-Founder of Insight Partners

    Jerry Murdock is the Co-Founder of Insight Partners, one of the most formidable growth investors of the last three decades, with over $90 billion in AUM and a portfolio that has shaped the modern software economy. Jerry never does podcasts, and so this is his first-ever long-form interview.

    AGENDA:

    03:50 There is an AI Tsunami Beginning

    05:43 Cursor is F***** and Everyone Knows It

    07:28 How Open Source Will Crush in an Agent First World

    10:20 Is NVIDIA F****

    17:32 Are Systems of Record Dead in an Agent-First World

    21:04 Humans Will Not Buy Software, Agents Will…

    24:57 Universal Basic Income Will Have to Happen, Mass Unemployment is Coming

    30:54 What Happens to Tech Private Equity: Is Thoma Bravo F******

    37:50 What Single Decision Does Jerry Regret Most… Why?

    41:45 Single Biggest Mistake With Insight… What Did Jerry Learn?

    45:26 Why is Now the Best Time to Start a Fund

    47:03 The Twitter Bet that Made $90BN Insight

    49:34 Biggest Marriage and Parenting Advice

    56:04 Will Agents Help Us Live Forever

    1 hr 2 min
  • 20VC: Anthropic Wipes Billions Off Markets | Citrini Research: The Ultimate Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend etc. | Figma Earnings Beat & Four Public Stocks to Buy | Jack Altman Joins Benchmark

    AGENDA:

    03:55 Anthropic Security Product Wipes Billions Off Public Markets

    11:17 Do Agents Turn SaaS Incumbents into Valueless Databases

    22:07 Anthropic Secondary Sale Makes Hundreds Decamillionaires

    23:20 Citrini Research Piece: Everything You Need To Know

    26:04 Will DoorDash Be Replaced by Agents

    34:22 Will "Ghost GDP" Soften Consumer Spending Power

    42:46 Why No Public Company Has Created a Good Agent Product

    47:19 Is Tech Private Equity and Thoma Bravo F***** in this Market

    51:05 OpenAI Massively Increases Spending Plans: Analysis

    56:24 Figma Fights Back: Earnings Through the Roof

    01:02:12 Momentum Versus Value: Four Public Stocks to Buy

    01:09:30 Jack Altman Joins Benchmark Capital

    1 hr 21 min
  • 20VC: Inside Coatue's $70BN Machine: Why Price Matters Least | Why Mega Markets are the Most Important | How to Assess Durability of Revenue and Margins in AI with Lucas Swisher

    Lucas Swisher co-leads the growth fund at Coatue where he has partnered with iconic companies like OpenAI, Harvey, Deel, Canva, Openevidence, Anthropic, and others. Prior to Coatue, he was on the investment team at Kleiner Perkins, where he focused on growth stage software businesses.

    AGENDA:

    04:23 Why Public SaaS Is Getting Crushed in the AI Wave

    06:01 How to Find Value in the Deluge of Public SaaS

    10:34 Durability of Revenue in AI

    17:42 Market Size vs. Founder Quality: What Wins?

    19:04 Why Price is the Last Thing to Matter

    24:58 Mega-Funds Math: Can $5B+ Funds Still Generate Venture Returns?

    28:04 What Returns Are 'Enough'? Why 3x Isn't Exciting at Growth

    30:34 When Double-Downs Go Wrong: Overestimating TAM and Multi-Product Expansion

    33:03 Margin Matters… But at Scale: AI Gross Margins, Cost Curves & Efficiency

    36:42 Why it has never been harder to be a seed investor

    39:25 Is 'Kingmaking' a Myth: When Capital Helps (and When It Hurts)

    44:12 Is Canva Really a Platform Company? Multi S-Curves and Leaning into AI Early

    46:05 Lessons from Mary Meeker: Modeling, Storytelling with Data, and Not Missing the Forest

    48:27 Lessons from Mamoon Hamid: Spotting Inflection Points with Minimal Data (Figma Story)

    49:54 LP 'Pick One' Games: Mamoon Hamid, Mary Meeker, Insight Partners

    51:41 OpenAI vs Anthropic: Who Wins?

    56:52 Most Memorable Founder Meeting: Harvey and Founder-Market Fit

    59:00 Career Decisions & Misses: Leaving Insight, Missing Anduril, and Looking Ahead

    1 hr 7 min
  • 20VC: Codex vs Claude Code vs Cursor: Who Wins, Who Loses | Will All Coding Be Automated - Do We Need PMs | The Real Bottleneck to AGI | The Three Phases of Agents and What You Need to Know with Alex Embiricos, Head of Codex at OpenAI

    Alexander Embiricos is the Head of Codex at OpenAI, leading the development of the company's flagship AI coding systems that power automated software generation, debugging and developer workflows. Under his leadership, Codex has become one of the most widely adopted AI developer platforms.

    AGENDA:

    05:13 Will Coding Be Automated? Why AI Could Create More Engineers, Not Fewer

    07:17 Do We Need PMs? The "Undefined" Product Role and When It Matters

    08:06 The Real AGI Bottleneck: Human Prompting, Validation, and "Too Much Effort"

    13:04 Three Phases of Agents: Coding → Computer Use → Productized Workflows

    13:52 Enterprise Reality Check: Security, Permissions, and Safe Agentic Browsing

    17:57 Is Inference the New Sales and Marketing?

    18:49 What % of Codex Was Written by AI?

    21:33 Do OpenAI Use AI for Code Review?

    23:31 Is there any stickiness to AI coding tools?

    28:22 What Does "Winning" Mean at OpenAI? Mission, Competition, and Moats

    32:04 The Future UI: Chat or Voice

    34:10 Agent-to-Agent Workflows: Designing for Approvals, Compliance, and Automation

    35:39 Do Coding Models Have a Data Moat?

    36:50 How does Codex View Data: Will They Build Their Own Mercor and Turing?

    37:27 How Does Codex View Consumer: Will They Compete with Lovable?

    41:56 Benchmarks vs "Vibes": How People Actually Judge Models

    42:43 Cursor's Edge and the Case for Building Your Own Models

    47:37 Is SaaS Dead? What Still Defends Value (Humans + Systems of Record)

    51:28 Talent Wars and Career Advice for New Engineers in the AI Era

    01:01:03 Guardrails, the Fully AI-Managed Stack, and a 10-Year Vision for Everyone

    1 hr 4 min
  • 20VC: Anthropic Raises $30BN at $380BN Valuation | Thrive Raises New $10BN Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe Raises at $140BN: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? | Monday, Figma, Shopify: Which are Buys vs Sells?

    AGENDA:

    04:14 Anthropic's $30B Raise at $380B

    06:18 Why SaaS Stocks Keep Getting Crushed

    18:15 Wall Street's New Religion: AI Replaces Headcount

    22:42 The Bear Case for Shopify: What Could Go Wrong?

    31:51 Replit and Lovable are Proof Figma Missed Out: Figma; Buy or Sell?

    48:42 Stripe Raises at $140BN: Is Stripe Wildly Overvalued or Adyen Undervalued?

    54:36 OpenAI Buys OpenClaw

    01:06:28 Thrive's $10B Growth Fund

    01:09:10 Arif Janmohamed Leaves Lightspeed for New Firm

    01:17:12 Workday's Founder Returns as CEO: Will it Work?

    01:20:34 Which Founder Returns Next: HubSpot, Twilio, Gitlab?

    01:24:03 Is Monday.com a Screaming Buy?

    01:28:25 Jason and Harry Bet $200,000

    1 hr 35 min
  • 20VC: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

    Sebastian Siemiatkowski is the co-founder and CEO of Klarna, the global digital bank with over 114 million global active users and 3.4 million transactions per day. Seb is one of the leading public company CEOs pushing the boundaries of AI.

    AGENDA:

    04:50 — The Real Threat to SaaS is The Switching Cost Coming Down

    05:57 — What revenue multiple will software companies trade at in the future?

    14:12 — Why you need to build your own customer service AI to win

    23:51 — Klarna has two times the customer base of Revolut. They will beat Revolut

    25:39 — How I lost a billion dollars not investing in Nubank

    30:57 — Why Nubank are more likely to win the US than Revolut?

    34:28 — We used to be 6,000 people. Now we are just 3,000

    39:58 — When is a high valuation too high and can be dangerous?

    42:45 — How we got Sequoia to invest and Michael Moritz to join the board

    53:14 — If you are an investor today that is not building then you're at a fundamental disadvantage

    01:11:43 — I have changed my mind on the adoption cycle... I think it will take longer than people think

    20VC: Is SaaS Dead: Klarna Replaces 1,500 Internal SaaS Products | Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World | What Revenue Multiple Will Software Companies Trade At? | From 7,000 to 3,000: We Need Less People Than Ever with Sebastian Siemiatkowski

    1 hr 28 min

About The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

From the publisher's feed

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) interviews the world's greatest venture capitalists with prior guests including Sequoia's Doug Leone and Benchmark's Bill Gurley. Once per week, 20VC Host, Harry Stebbings is also joined by one of the great founders of our time with prior founder episodes from Spotify's Daniel Ek, Linkedin's Reid Hoffman, and Snowflake's Frank Slootman.

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