Senate predictions ... House predictions... and how do we know if it's a "wave"? ... Matt and Bill diverge on AZ-GOV ... Why did the Paul Pelosi conspiracy theory take off? ... Should Matt and Bill stay on Twitter? ...

Sam’s Foreign Affairs piece on the importance of Ukraine diplomacy ... What’s Biden’s endgame in Ukraine? ... Sam: Russia has already suffered a strategic defeat ... Did the West play a role in Ukraine’s 2014 revolution? ... Putin says the West is Russia’s real enemy. Does he believe it? ... America’s lack of diplomatic urgency before Putin invaded ... How much pro-Russia sentiment is there in Ukraine? ...

Mickey takes a bite out of midterm “overism” ... How revolutionary will Musk’s Twitter reign be? ... Who quashed the Progressive Caucus’s Ukraine letter? ... What’s holding up diplomacy in Ukraine? ... Is Blob opinion on the war starting to split? ... The cost of US hypocrisy ... The media’s weird coverage of the "dirty bomb" story ... Parrot room preview: implausible dirty bomb scenarios; UK PM’s dramatic early moves; a few words about the late Lucianne Goldberg; an (iffy) argument against lefty state legislature alarmism; Mickey’s labor-relations observations; Xi Jinping and the Hu Jintao removal; illustrating the dangers of war-time overreaction by way of Russian relocation coverage; Joe’s McCarthyism; Russians adopting Ukrainian children; what’s in it for Putin-humiliation-pushers? ...

How Rafael came to the Manhattan Institute ... Rafael’s new book, Criminal (In)Justice: What the Push for Decarceration and Depolicing Gets Wrong and Who It Hurts Most ... Is prison the right response to violent crime? ... Why Rafael believes in three-strikes-type sentencing guidelines ... Incarceration may lower crime, but is it just? ... Rafael: Defunding the police is an indefensible idea ... Should we worry about racial disparities in the non-deadly use of force by police? ... Why Rafael’s father didn’t want him to become a cop ...

What was the Fetterman campaign thinking? ... Did Oz blow it on abortion? ... Is the Red Wave coming? ... Is Kari Lake running for president? ... Why did Rep. Jayapal release that Ukraine letter? ...

How worried should we be about the “Kessler Syndrome”? ... The nightmare scenario for anti-satellite weapons anarchy ... How an attack in space could trigger WWIII ... International law is way behind the curve in outer space ... Why isn’t the grave threat of space anarchy getting attention? ... How the new Cold War makes conflict in space more likely ...

Elon Musk’s esoteric insult of former Russian president Medvedev ... Russia’s “General Armageddon” gears up for retreat ... Is the GOP becoming the anti-war party? ... Mickey’s many midterms nightmares ... With Britain's Tories in shambles, will Boris rise again? ... Bob: US policy helped create the latest "axis of evil" ... Parrot Room preview: Did Bob mischaracterize Mearsheimer?; Kanye West and Elon Musk take over social media; Jon Meacham’s fears for US democracy; what lies beneath LA’s racism row ...

Is racist heckling at sporting events a real problem? ... John: “If you can’t be made fun of, you’re not part of the group” ... The LA City Council racism scandal ... Why is there no Latino Michael Brown? ... Exalting (and exaggerating) the victim role ... Glenn’s daughter’s upcoming appearance on The Glenn Show ... Elite discrimination against Asians ...

Is Katie Hobbs smart to avoid debating Kari Lake? ... Are Democrats taking extreme positions on abortion? ... Why Oklahoma and Oregon may surprise us on Election Day ... How Trump decimated a generation of promising conservative leaders ... What's going on in Iowa? ... Why is Tulsi Gabbard campaigning with Kari Lake? ...

What Seth learned from being in Ukraine that you won’t learn from western media ... Was the ouster of Ukraine’s president in 2014 a revolution or a coup? ... Could the White House have averted the invasion – and could it end the war now? ... The degree of on-the-ground American involvement in Ukraine and Syria ... Why Seth warns of frozen conflict when others predict Ukrainian victory ... The extent of pro-Russian sentiment in eastern Ukraine ... Seth: War always means atrocity, so we should avoid wars ... Is wartime reporting less objective now than usual? ...