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The Treasury Secretary spoke through the financial media to Jay Powell. He had a very simple message for the Fed Chair: pay attention to the 2s. And Ronald McDonald. It's not just the Treasury market. If only that was the case, there is also a close relationship - therefore strong warning - coming via the oil market, too. This is already why OPEC is itself shifting to recession economics.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg Bessent Says Two-Year Treasuries Signaling Fed Should Cut
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-01/bessent-says-two-year-treasuries-are-signaling-fed-should-cut

Bloomberg Understanding the Unlikely Saudi Push for Lower Oil Prices
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-05-01/opec-puzzle-understanding-the-saudi-push-for-lower-oil-prices

CNN McDonald’s just had its worst quarter since Covid. It said customers are getting nervous
https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/01/investing/mcdonalds-earnings-first-quarter-2025

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