中国中心主任余茂春分析为什么"台湾关系法"远比被中共曲解的"三个公报"重要, 以及台湾关系法45周年之际的重新评估与展望, 决定中共武力攻台的四大因素和美台军事合作的必要和需改进之处.

[English]

Title: Reassessing the Taiwan Relations Act 45 years later and the 4 factors impacting China's decision to invade Taiwan

Description: In this episode for Chinese-speaking listeners, China Center's director Miles Yu explains why the Taiwan Relations Act is far more important than the Three Communiques that are often misinterpreted by the CCP. He also offers a new assessment of the Taiwan Relations Act 45 years later. Moreover, Miles analyzes the 4 factors impacting the CCP's decision to invade Taiwan and why it's imperative to improve and enhance U.S.-Taiwan military cooperation.

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss the forthy-fifth anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Act. They then turn to Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s state visit to Washington, and the resulting developments in the relationships among the United States, Japan, and the Philippines. Finally, they discuss why the Biden administration’s attempts at reconciliation and cooperation with China have failed, and where US strategy vis-à-vis China is heading.  

The landmark Taiwan Relations Act, signed into law 45 year ago today, has become the most pivotal guideline for the complex U.S.-Taiwan and U.S.-China relations. It's a cornerstone and foundational document that demonstrates America's institutional resilience and balanced approach to diplomacy. In this in-depth conversation with Shane Leary, Dr. Miles Yu, director of China Center at Hudson Institute, shares his critical analysis of the Act's legal and military protections of Taiwan, its historical context, far-reaching impact, salient limitations, and the need to revise or even redraft a new legislative act to reflect new geopolitical reality. in this in-depth conversation.

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss the recent earthquake in Taiwan of 7.4 magnitude, the largest quake the Island nation has suffered since 1999. They then discuss security developments in the South China Sea, most notably that Japan is in talks to sign a Reciprocal Access Agreement (RAA) with the Philippines in an effort to deter Chinese aggression in the region.  

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss Xi Jinping's recent meeting with western business leaders and academics, the first high-profile meeting of this nature since his meeting with American executives in San Francisco in November of 2023. They then discuss the decreasing relevance of the annual Boao forum, and China's recent cyber espionage and hacking attempts on Western nations. 

Phil Hegseth steps in to join Miles Yu to discuss Article 23's passing in Hong Kong and its implications for human rights and freedoms in the city, the continued decline of foreign direct investment in China despite charm efforts from the Chinese Communist Party, and the rise and controversy of Netflix's adaptation of "Three Body Problem." 

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss the pending legislation to ban TikTok, and the broader picture of Chinese Communist Party influence on American domestic politics. They then turn to a recent flare-up in tensions between India and China, caused by Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Arunachal Pradesh, and discuss the root cause of China’s antagonism toward its neighbors. Finally, they discuss a curious development in Russia-China relations, in which Russia nationally commemorated the Damansky Island conflict, a military confrontation with China that occurred fifty-five years ago.  

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss Wang Yi’s “Four Challenges” to the United States during a recent press conference, China’s attempted role as mediator in the ongoing Ukraine war, and the wave of national security laws in China that emerged out of the annual Two Sessions.

Shane Leary joins Miles Yu to discuss a massive document leak from Chinese cybersecurity firm I-Soon, which sheds light on the CCP's global surveillance and hacking regime and destroys the illusion of safety around Chinese private sector companies. They then turn to a little-covered spat between the Taiwan Coast Guard and a Chinese fishing vessel which resulted in the drowning of the two Chinese nationals near the island of Quemoy. Finally, they discuss Wang Yi's absence at the G20 Ministerial meeting, and its implications for broader trends in the PRC's foreign policy.