Know Your Risk Podcast

By Know Your Risk RadioBusiness Investing

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Typical duration
43 min
per episode

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Know Your Risk Podcast episodes

May 22 Nobody Wants to Admit What Happens Next
May 22, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the global energy situation may be entering a far more dangerous phase even as markets continue betting on a clean resolution. They break down the growing tension around the Strait of Hormuz negotiations, why repeated “jawboning” around oil prices may actually signal deeper concern from policymakers, and how a prolonged supply shock could bleed into inflation expectations, agriculture, freight, and global growth. They also discuss fertilizer markets, chemical companies, bond yields, housing affordability, Fed policy, and why decades of falling interest rates may have fundamentally distorted the global economy.
51 min
May 21 Why Does the Market Think This is Temporary?
May 21, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets may still be dramatically underestimating the long-term consequences of the Strait of Hormuz disruption even as negotiations appear to be moving toward a resolution. They break down why oil inventories could continue tightening for months after any agreement, why tanker maintenance and damaged infrastructure may delay normalization far longer than expected, and why energy producers could become one of the biggest beneficiaries of the next phase of the cycle. They also discuss offshore drilling, Chinese semiconductors, AI infrastructure, rising bond yields, and why markets continue treating a structural supply problem like a temporary headline event.
48 min
May 20 The Market Keeps Falling for the Same Headline
May 20, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets continue reacting to every new “imminent peace” headline even as the underlying energy and inflation pressures keep worsening beneath the surface. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why oil markets may still be dramatically underpricing future shortages, how SPR releases are masking deeper inventory problems, and why rising bond yields may be the real warning sign investors should be watching. They also discuss inflation risks, housing pressure, Nvidia earnings, semiconductor valuations, and why policymakers may be running out of realistic options.
46 min
May 20 The Market Thinks This Ends Cleanly
May 19, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why bond markets may finally be waking up to the inflationary consequences of the global energy disruption as yields surge and investors continue underestimating the fragility of the system. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why SPR releases and exports may only be temporary relief valves, how energy shortages could create delayed but violent inflation waves, and why markets still appear dangerously complacent about physical supply realities. They also discuss China, housing pressure from rising rates, AI infrastructure spending, and why many investors may still be treating this like a normal cycle when it clearly is not.
39 min
May 19 The Pressure Is Building Faster Than Markets Realize
May 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why energy markets may be far closer to a breaking point than investors realize as global inventories continue tightening and policymakers scramble to manage the fallout. They break down the latest Strait of Hormuz developments, why SPR drawdowns and U.S. exports may be masking deeper shortages, how China is positioning itself strategically, and why markets still appear dangerously complacent about inflation and supply risks. They also discuss rising bond yields, housing pressure, AI infrastructure spending, and why the next phase of this cycle could look very different from the last decade.
47 min
May 18 Josh Young: How Long Before the Oil System Breaks?
May 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase are joined by Josh Young of Bison Interests to discuss why global energy markets may be far more fragile than investors realize. Josh breaks down the real inventory math behind the Strait of Hormuz disruption, why oil markets have remained surprisingly calm so far, what happens when global storage levels approach “tank bottoms,” and why many analysts may still be underestimating the scale of the risk. They also discuss SPR drawdowns, refinery margins, shale productivity, geopolitical uncertainty, and why energy service companies may offer some of the most asymmetric opportunities in the market today.
1 hr 5 min
May 16 The Dollar Spike Is Creating Massive Opportunities
May 15, 2026 - Chase breaks down why surging bond yields, a stronger dollar, and rising inflation pressures may be creating some of the biggest long-term investing opportunities in years. He discusses why global capital flows could be shifting away from the U.S., why ex-U.S. defense and emerging markets remain compelling despite recent selloffs, what rising rates mean for gold and equities, and why policymakers may eventually be forced to weaken the dollar again. Chase also covers the fallout from the U.S.-China summit, sanctions risk, semiconductors, and why short-term market stress may create long-term positioning opportunities.
24 min
May 14 The Market Still Doesn’t Get the Energy Crisis
May 14, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets may still be dramatically underestimating the scale of the global energy disruption despite worsening inventory draws, tightening supply conditions, and mounting inflationary pressures. They break down the disconnect between semiconductor euphoria and physical energy realities, why diesel prices may matter more than crude itself, China’s strategic positioning, SPR depletion, freight inflation risks, and why policymakers continue stimulating demand into what they believe is an unfolding supply shock.
51 min
May 13 The Market Is Addicted to Asset Prices
May 13, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why markets continue ignoring mounting energy stress even as inventories tighten, inflation pressures rise, and supply disruptions worsen globally. They break down Nvidia surpassing the value of India’s stock market, the growing disconnect between AI valuations and real-world profitability, why passive investment flows may be weakening underneath the surface, and how years of monetary intervention may have fundamentally distorted market behavior. They also discuss inflation surprises, China’s economic pivot, and why policymakers may no longer be able to tolerate meaningful declines in asset prices.
44 min
May 12 The Tank Is Getting Closer to Empty
May 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why energy markets may be far more fragile than investors realize as physical shortages continue building beneath the surface. They break down why current oil pricing may be dangerously disconnected from real-world supply conditions, how refiners are navigating tightening inventories, why inflation risks continue growing globally, and what happens if the Strait of Hormuz disruption lasts longer than markets expect. They also discuss AI spending mania, emerging market opportunities, commodity tightness, and why investors may be underestimating how serious this macro environment has become.
57 min

About Know Your Risk Podcast

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Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE.…