Know Your Risk Podcast

By Know Your Risk RadioBusiness Investing

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Typical duration
43 min
per episode

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Know Your Risk Podcast episodes

June 09 The Blow-Off Top Theory
June 9, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss one of the strangest market environments they've ever seen, with major indexes swinging wildly despite limited news flow. They break down the latest developments in oil, global inventories, AI spending, SpaceX-related speculation, Nvidia demand, market liquidity, and why the next wave of IPO enthusiasm could tell investors more about market psychology than fundamentals. They also discuss inflation risks, inventory shortages, and why price action may be sending mixed signals across multiple asset classes.
50 min
June 08 Nothing Matters Until This Is Over
June 8, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why investors may be misreading the current environment as risk appetite returns across markets. They break down the growing excitement surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO, why speculative behavior appears to be resurfacing, and what it says about investor psychology. The conversation also covers Bitcoin, AI spending, inflation, energy markets, demographic shifts, Washington state tax policy, and why the Strait of Hormuz situation may still be the most important unresolved story in global markets.
57 min
June 05 How the Turn Tables
June 5, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a sharp market reversal, why some of the highest-flying speculative trades are suddenly under pressure, and what investors can learn when sentiment changes direction. They break down the selloff in tech, the risks embedded in AI-related valuations, the SpaceX IPO frenzy, Bitcoin-linked speculation, retirement-flow dynamics, and why market leadership may be starting to rotate. They also explore the difference between great businesses and great investments, and why price still matters no matter how compelling the story sounds.
1 hr 9 min
June 04 The Deal Nobody Is Talking About
June 4, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a potential hidden dynamic behind the oil market's resilience, why China's buying strike may be more important than most investors realize, and whether a broader geopolitical detente could be influencing events behind the scenes. They also examine Taiwan, shifting U.S.-China relations, global energy flows, and why the physical realities of the oil market continue to clash with prevailing narratives. Along the way, they explore how incentives, diplomacy, and market psychology can sometimes matter as much as the headlines themselves.
42 min
June 04 The Clicks Are Lying
June 3, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the growing incentives problem across financial media, why credibility is becoming increasingly valuable in a world driven by algorithms, and how investors can separate signal from engagement farming. They also break down the latest action in oil, AI speculation, SpaceX's eye-popping valuation, passive flows, retirement demographics, equity supply dynamics, and why several of the conditions historically associated with market bubbles are now appearing simultaneously. Finally, they revisit the Strait situation, China's role in global oil markets, and why the underlying math continues to matter more than the headlines.
1 hr
June 03 The Price Is Wrong
June 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why they believe oil markets remain disconnected from physical reality despite three months of disruption in the Strait. They break down the growing gap between price action and fundamentals, why traders continue waiting on an "all clear" signal, the latest developments in the Middle East, concerns about liquidity beneath the surface of the market, Bitcoin's recent breakdown, Mag 7 equity issuance, AI-driven speculation, and why several asset classes may be sending a very different message than headline indexes suggest.
49 min
June 01 The Market Still Doesn't Get It
June 1, 2026 - Chase discusses why the oil market may still be dramatically underestimating the consequences of a three-month Strait closure. Despite a surge in crude prices, improving risk sentiment, and renewed optimism around negotiations, global inventories continue to tighten while critical questions remain unanswered. Chase also covers the latest developments involving Iran, Lebanon, and Israel, rising inflation risks, potential Fed rate hikes, the changing supply-demand dynamics in equities, and why international markets continue to outperform many U.S. investors' expectations.
25 min
May 29 Everyone Gave Up at the Wrong Time
May 29, 2026 - Chase discusses why investor positioning may be creating a dangerous disconnect between market pricing and physical reality. As volatility collapses, speculative assets surge, and bearish bets get squeezed out, oil traders appear to be throwing in the towel despite ongoing inventory draws, unresolved Strait negotiations, and tightening global supply. Chase breaks down the latest developments with Iran, why sentiment may matter more than headlines right now, and what investors could be missing if energy markets are approaching a major inflection point.
22 min
May 27 Nobody Believes the Numbers Yet
May 27, 2026 - Zach goes solo to break down why the current energy setup may be one of the clearest value-with-a-catalyst opportunities he’s seen since the GameStop short squeeze and the 2021–2022 energy trade. He explains why investors continue crowding into AI and semiconductor momentum while largely ignoring what he believes are historically undervalued energy producers sitting in front of a major supply shortage. Zach also discusses oil inventories, SPR math, China’s strategic reserves, valuation discipline, value investing psychology, and why the best trades often feel the hardest to own in real time.
49 min
May 26 This Feels Like the Final Stage
May 26, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the current market setup is beginning to resemble the late stages of a speculative blow-off while the underlying energy system continues deteriorating underneath. They break down the massive rally in semiconductors and AI infrastructure stocks, why memory-chip pricing may be dangerously disconnected from reality, and why markets continue dismissing what they believe is the largest energy disruption in modern history. They also discuss oil market mechanics, futures positioning, inflation risks, housing affordability, monetary policy distortions, and why years of financialization may have disconnected markets from physical reality itself.
49 min

About Know Your Risk Podcast

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Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE.…