Know Your Risk Podcast

By Know Your Risk RadioBusiness Investing

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Know Your Risk Podcast episodes

September 02 The AI Data Center Boom Has a Jobs Problem
September 2, 2026 — The AI data-center buildout is accelerating, but what are local communities actually getting in return? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor break down the economics behind the data-center boom, why enormous investments in power and infrastructure don't necessarily translate into enormous employment, and why state and local governments are increasingly asking harder questions about the tradeoff. They also discuss market inefficiencies, opportunities created when entire sectors get sold indiscriminately, renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, oil flows and the growing pressure higher energy prices could put on interest rates. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
57 min
September 01 Could Diesel Hit $6? The Strait of Hormuz Problem Is Back
September 1, 2026 — Could diesel prices be headed toward $6? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor break down the renewed escalation around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, why ship-to-ship oil transfers may have become much more difficult again, and why refined products could become an even bigger problem than crude oil itself. They also discuss rising Treasury yields, the pressure higher borrowing costs are putting on businesses and consumers, weakness beneath the surface of the economy, and where volatility may be creating opportunities in precious metals. Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
37 min
September 01 Iran Could Take 4 Million Barrels a Day Off the Market
August 31, 2026 — Chase Taylor explains why Iran’s apparent ability to threaten smaller ship-to-ship oil transfers could sharply reduce the volume moving through the Strait—from roughly 7 million barrels a day toward 2–3 million.Chase examines why that would be such a serious shock for an oil market already relying on Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, declining floating inventories and a limited onshore inventory cushion. He also discusses the renewed exchange of attacks involving Iran and why the market may have far less protection against another supply disruption than headline oil prices suggest.
Later, Chase covers the 10-year Treasury yield reaching a new high for the year, Scott Bessent’s attempt to step back from earlier bond-market intervention rhetoric, and a reported U.S.-Venezuela oil arrangement that Chase believes carries substantial political, legal and execution risk. Under the structure he discusses, the U.S. government would reportedly receive a 35% stake in a Venezuelan oil company and access to 20% of production at cost.
📈 Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
20 min
August 28 Eight Rate Hikes? Why the Fed Has No Good Options Left
August 28, 2026 — Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss Kevin Warsh’s hawkish message, why a traditional Taylor Rule framework could imply as many as eight rate hikes, and why the Fed may now be trapped between persistent inflation and the economic damage caused by tighter policy. They also examine the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz, Canada’s potential incentive to wait out the U.S. midterm elections, escalating Russia-NATO risks and the dangerous imbalance between missile production and interceptor capacity. Later, Zach and Chase ask a practical portfolio question: What might actually protect investors during a low-probability, high-impact geopolitical shock? Their discussion includes palladium, critical minerals, agriculture, European defense and energy. 📈 Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
1 hr 19 min
August 28 Gold Miners Just Rallied Nearly 50%. Why They May Still Be Cheap
August 27, 2026 — Gold-mining stocks have rallied nearly 50% from their mid-July lows. Zach Abraham explains why some miners may still offer unusually compelling value—and why a rising stock price does not necessarily mean the underlying opportunity has disappeared. Zach walks through how replacement-cost economics can expose hidden value in mining companies, why strong assets and reserves can provide room to be wrong, and why “buying the dip” only makes sense when the valuation supports the decision. He also discusses Nvidia’s latest results, why traditional bond-market signals have become increasingly difficult to interpret, rebounds across several beaten-down software stocks, international markets and additional—explicitly anecdotal—context he received about the internal debate preceding the decision to enter Iran. 📈 Schedule your complimentary Know Your Risk Portfolio Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com
35 min
August 26 AI Can Change the World—and Still Become a Bubble
August 26, 2026 - Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why revolutionary technologies can still produce enormous investment bubbles—and why the unprecedented buildout surrounding artificial intelligence may eventually face the same problem. Chase explains why capital-spending booms throughout history tend to overshoot demand, while Zach examines Nvidia's increasingly complex web of investments and financing across the AI ecosystem. They discuss what could happen if today's extraordinary margins begin to compress and why enormous amounts of future supply could become a problem much faster than investors expect. Plus, Zach and Chase revisit Treasury's intervention in the bond market, Stanley Druckenmiller's warning, America's growing debt problem and why they believe the consequences of decades of deficit spending may finally be beginning to arrive.
44 min
August 25 One of Wall Street’s Greatest Investors Just Sounded the Alarm
August 25, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller's public criticism of recent Treasury policy—and why Chase believes the warning deserves far more attention than the controversy over how the op-ed was written. Chase examines Treasury's attempts to influence the bond market, the risk of escalating intervention when markets refuse to cooperate, and why using crisis-era tools when there is no crisis could create problems of its own. Plus, Chase breaks down the latest moves in oil, China's response to economic pressure surrounding Iran, mounting inflation risks and what he'll be watching from the Fed later this week.
25 min
August 24 The Government Is About to Change the Bond Market
August 24, 2026 - Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss what increasingly aggressive Treasury intervention in the bond market could mean for interest rates, inflation and the U.S. dollar. Chase explains why efforts to suppress long-term yields may work mechanically—but could create major consequences elsewhere through inflation, currency weakness and shorter-duration government financing. Zach and Chase also examine the escalating trade dispute with Canada, the economic relationship between the two countries, the latest developments involving Iran, and why recent policy moves have them questioning what policymakers may be seeing beneath the surface.
56 min
August 21 America Has a Much Bigger Problem Than Interest Rates
August 21, 2026 - Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why the Treasury's increasingly visible concern about long-term interest rates may be exposing a much deeper problem with U.S. debt, deficits and economic policy. They examine why attempts to suppress bond yields could ultimately lead to more monetary intervention, what rising oil and inflation pressures mean for policymakers, and why decades of short-term thinking have left the U.S. increasingly vulnerable in everything from government finances to energy, manufacturing and defense. Plus, Zach and Chase discuss geopolitical risks surrounding Iran and Russia, the growing importance of real assets, and why the traditional investment playbook may be increasingly mismatched with the world investors actually face.
56 min
August 20 Inflation Is Starting to Break the Consumer
August 20, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses why weakening results from Walmart may be an important warning about the American consumer as inflation continues to erode real purchasing power. Chase also examines the rapid reversal of the Treasury's bond-market intervention, rising oil and agricultural prices, why he believes policymakers may eventually be forced toward a larger liquidity response, the shift toward economic warfare with Iran, and an intriguing change in China's approach to trade and global influence.
20 min

About Know Your Risk Podcast

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Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE.…