Know Your Risk Podcast

By Know Your Risk RadioBusiness Investing

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Typical duration
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per episode

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Know Your Risk Podcast episodes

August 19 The Treasury Just Blinked. Here’s What Comes Next
August 19, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses the Treasury's unexpected move to increase buybacks of longer-duration bonds and why he believes it sends a much bigger signal than the size of the program itself. Chase explains why policymakers may be moving toward suppressing long-term yields, what that could mean for the dollar, inflation and precious metals, and why today's relatively small intervention could eventually lead to something much larger. He also examines the tension between the Fed's inflation strategy, rising energy costs and a bond market policymakers may no longer be willing to let tighten financial conditions on its own.
24 min
August 18 The Inflation Problem Nobody Is Watching Yet
August 18, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses why soaring diesel costs may become a much bigger inflation problem than markets or policymakers are anticipating. He explains how diesel flows through transportation, agriculture, construction, home services and supply chains—and why rising freight costs could eventually show up in prices far beyond the gas station. Chase also examines pressure from oil and long-term interest rates, renewed stress across the AI trade, escalating tensions involving Iran and the UAE, and why today's combination of strong nominal growth and rising transportation costs could make inflation increasingly difficult to ignore.
22 min
August 17 The Iran Risk Markets Aren’t Prepared For
August 17, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses a risk surrounding Iran and global energy markets that he believes investors may be overlooking: whether Iran could attempt to break the blockade through force as economic pressure continues to build. Chase also examines oil's latest breakout, rising long-term Treasury yields, deteriorating Chinese economic data, the potential for Chinese stimulus, and the continued drawdown of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve—and why the eventual end of those releases could dramatically tighten an already stressed global oil market.
17 min
August 14 The Biggest Investment Opportunity May Be the One You're Ignoring
August 14, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why some of the most interesting investment opportunities may be hiding outside today's most crowded trades. They explore the enormous demographic shift created by an aging population, second- and third-order effects from GLP-1 drugs, healthcare and medical technology, and why powerful macro trends can matter more than chasing whatever is currently making headlines. They also discuss weakening retail sales, historically low volatility, Bill Ackman's latest portfolio move, and the concentration risk created by OpenAI and Anthropic's enormous role in the AI spending ecosystem.
58 min
August 13 Zach Is Turning Bullish… So What Could Go Wrong?
August 13, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the stock market may have room for another leg higher despite many of the risks they've been warning about—and what could derail it. They break down cooling inflation data, the possibility that inflation returns, surprising performance beneath the surface of the AI trade, hyperscaler spending, China's increasingly competitive industrial economy, and an overlooked energy dynamic that could leave consumers paying dramatically more for fuel even without an enormous move in crude oil.
58 min
August 12 The Most Dangerous Thing an Investor Can Believe
August 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why one of the most valuable skills in investing may be the willingness to admit when you're wrong—and why political identity, ideology and confirmation bias can make that increasingly difficult. They also break down the latest developments around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, why a prolonged stalemate could actually increase Iran's incentive to escalate, Washington State's tax debate, the federal deficit, Berkshire Hathaway's post-Buffett capital allocation, and another unusual day across AI, semiconductors and volatility.
43 min
August 12 Aviel Ginzburg: What Everyone Is Getting Wrong About the AI Boom
August 12, 2026 - Zach Abraham sits down with tech founder and investor Aviel Ginzburg for a wide-ranging conversation about what investors may be getting wrong about artificial intelligence. Aviel explains why AI can simultaneously produce a massive financial bubble and a genuine technological revolution, where he sees the biggest bottlenecks and opportunities, why billion-dollar AI investments can become obsolete astonishingly quickly, and how dramatically the technology is already changing software development. Later, Zach and Aviel turn to Washington State's proposed income tax, the state's changing business climate, and why Aviel believes the consequences could eventually extend well beyond millionaires.
1 hr 14 min
August 11 The AI Boom Is Running Into a Math Problem
August 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the increasingly difficult math behind the AI buildout as projected infrastructure spending climbs into the trillions, while the productivity gains needed to justify that investment remain far less obvious. They also break down escalating attacks on global oil infrastructure, why Iran may be content to let the current standoff drag on, tomorrow's potentially important inflation print, rising long-term Treasury yields, the Fort Knox gold debate, and why soaring equity valuations may encourage corporate America to unleash a wave of new stock issuance.
42 min
August 10 AI Is Financing Its Own Boom
August 10, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor dig into one of the strangest dynamics in the AI buildout: companies helping finance the customers buying their own products. They discuss Nvidia’s reported push toward a massive financing structure, why real AI demand can coexist with serious questions about capital scarcity and return on investment, and why Zach is willing to reconsider parts of his AI thesis without ignoring the financial risks underneath it. They also cover rising oil and Treasury yields, the latest developments involving Iran and the Strait, and why investors have to separate what they want to happen from what the incentives and fundamentals actually suggest.
37 min
August 07 AI Is Making Money...Just Not Where You Think
August 7, 2026 – AI is generating enormous amounts of revenue—but Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor argue investors may be confusing the money being made building AI with the money ultimately generated using it. They revisit the AI bull case, the extraordinary capital spending behind the buildout, and why the companies selling the picks and shovels may be telling a very different story from the businesses expected to eventually justify the investment. They also break down the latest jobs report, inflation risks, oil-market tightness, developments around Iran, and what the market may be overlooking heading into the second half of the year.
49 min

About Know Your Risk Podcast

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Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE.…