The phenomenon of a recruit's ranking dropping after they commit to a Big 12 school, particularly to programs like BYU, has become a hot topic and a source of frustration for fans. While recruiting services would deny any intentional bias, the perception is widespread and supported by recent examples.
The core of the issue stems from the differing ways recruiting services, like Rivals, On3, and 247Sports, evaluate and update their rankings. Initial evaluations are based on pure talent, film, and camp performances. However, once a player commits, their ranking can be influenced by a number of factors, including:
The "Blue-Blood" Effect: There's a widely acknowledged belief that a player who commits to a traditional powerhouse like Alabama, Ohio State, or USC often sees their ranking solidify or even get a small bump. The logic, from the services' perspective, is that if an elite program with a history of developing NFL talent is chasing a player, it validates their skill.
The Big 12/Non-Blue Blood Effect: The opposite is often perceived to be true for Big 12 schools, and it's a sentiment that has gained traction with recent events. Five-star quarterback Ryder Lyons, a top-tier prospect in the 2026 class, saw his ranking on Rivals reportedly plummet from a five-star to a four-star immediately following his commitment to BYU.
The "Exposure" Factor: Recruiting services place a heavy emphasis on their own camp series and national events for evaluation. If a player commits to a school that doesn't actively push them to attend these events, or if the player isn't seeking that kind of exposure after their commitment, their ranking may stagnate or drop.
Lack of Transparency: Fans and analysts have criticized these services for a lack of transparency when rankings change. In the case of Ryder Lyons, his downgrade occurred without any new on-field performance or a clear scouting report to justify the change, leading to accusations of bias against BYU and the Big 12 as a whole.
While recruiting services would argue these are simply fluid re-evaluations based on a continuous process, the timing of these ranking changes—so often following a commitment to a school outside of the traditional elite tier—has created a narrative of bias and has led fans to question the integrity of the entire system.
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