Azeem is the creator of Exponential View, a leading platform for in-depth tech analysis. His weekly newsletter is read by 200,000 people from around the world, and his podcast has featured guests including Yuval Noah Harari, Tony Blair and Kate Raworth. A member of the World Economic Forum's Global Futures Council, Azeem contributes to publications including the Financial Times, Wired and the MIT Technology Review. His new book is called Exponential: How Accelerating Technology Is Leaving Us Behind and What to Do. In this podcast we discuss:

1. The four technologies driving exponential age
2. What’s different between today and previous tech transitions
3. How tech companies defy conventional understanding
4. Why productivity has been low
5. Climate change and productivity
6. Understanding US/China/Europe tech rivalry
7. Importance of big tech in dealing with cyber risk
8. Books that influenced Azeem: Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital (Perez) and Letters to a Young Poet (Rilke)

Boris is one of the top macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell-side which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris will be giving his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is affiliated to. In this podcast, we discuss:

1. What is reverse goldilocks?
2. Parallels and differences to 1970s stagflation
3. The challenge of the current regime
4. How will policymakers respond?
5. What gives central banks credibility?
6. What does it mean for macro environment?
7. Views on China
8. How will equities, bonds and FX perform
9. Why terms of trade matter

Marc is author of Net Interest – a leading weekly newsletter on the world of finance. Before this, Marc spent ten years at leading hedge fund Lansdowne Partners, where he was a partner and portfolio manager. This was after he spent time on the sell-side working for Barclays Investment Bank (BZW), Schroders and then Credit Suisse, where he was head of the European banks research team. In this podcast we discuss:

1. How to predict financial crises
2. How are financials different from other companies
3. What do banks price-to-bank ratios tell us?
4. Can banks rebrand themselves as fintech?
5. What are the key fintech trends
6. How will credit evolve
7. Is the crypto challenge to finance real?
8. How to do well in angel investing
9. Why have private equity firms institutionalised better than hedge funds
10. What is the state of sell-side research?
11. Books that influenced Marc: Fooled by Randomness (Taleb), Origin of Wealth (Beinhocker) and The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets (Mandelbrot).

This episode is sponsored by Masterworks.

Dr. Anas Alhajji is a leading energy markets expert, and advises governments, companies, and financial institutions on energy markets. He focuses on oil and gas market outlook, energy geopolitics, energy security, and the impact of disruptive technologies on the supply and demand of energy. He is the Managing Partner at Energy Outlook Advisors LLC, and was previously the Chief Economist of NGP Energy Capital Management. He is also a contributing editor for top industry publication: World Oil. Before moving to industry, Anas taught economics at the University of Oklahoma, the Colorado School of Mines and Ohio Northern University. In this podcast we discuss:

1. False ideas around what drives oil prices
2. What supply and demand drivers matter
3. Why OPEC doesn’t matter
4. Why peak oil is wrong
5. Why bearish oil demand forecasts on ESG/climate change are wrong
6. How governments and companies are not acting on carbon neutrality
7. How Iran oil supply has continued despite sanctions
8. Oil underinvestment in oil producing nations
9. Saudi, US and Russian oil supply outlook
10. The Arctic oil play
11. China’s dominance in oil markets
12. The rise of private generators
13. Book that Anas rates: Kuwait in the Time of British Empire (Khajah)

Richard is a co-founder and Managing Partner at Fabric Ventures – a VC fund adapting the early, technical, and patient approach of venture capital to investing in Web 3.0 and decentralised data networks. Fabric invested in the likes of Polkadot, Ocean Protocol, Orchid, Blockstack, zeppelin_os, and Keep, among others. Richard combines a pedigree in open source, developer-oriented tools, and early-stage venture investing with blockchain focus since 2013, and has invested in Pantera Venture Fund, Bitstamp, Bitrise, Tray.io, Transferwise, and Citymapper. Richard was previously a 3x software entrepreneur, building/ scaling Automic (CA), Tideway (BMC), and Orchestream (Oracle) – reaching a cumulative market cap of billions. In this podcast we discuss:

1. Starting companies versus investing
2. What makes start-ups and their founders successful
3. What returns should one expect in VC
4. What is the Open Economy and Web 3.0
5. Centralisation vs decentralisation
6. Books that influenced Richard: Strangers in a Strange Land (Heinlein), Future History (Heinlein), Atlas Shrugged (Rand), and The Third Chimpanzee (Diamond)

David has over 30 years’ experience of managing risk across global markets. David is the CIO of Singapore-based Convex strategies - which focuses on risk management including protecting against dislocations in asset markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, he served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore. Earlier in his career, David built and ran Asian and Global EM trading businesses for RBS (ABN AMRO Group), Bankers Trust and Bank of America. David holds an MBA from University of California, Berkeley. He currently sits on the Monetary Authority of Singapore Markets Committee (SFEMC). In this podcast we discuss:

1. The confusion between measuring risk and managing risk
2. The problem with value-at-risk and defining risk
3. What is convexity
4. Why buying options is not ‘expensive’
5. Importance of compound returns over arithmetic returns
6. How to think about ergodicity
7. Why allocation to bonds don’t provide the right downside protection
8. Getting your defense right, insurance and long vol strategies
9. The role of central banks in shifting equity-bond correlations
10. The importance of time in convexity strategies
11. The growing fragility in the financial system
12. Managing correlation risk
13. Books that influenced David: How Nature Works (Bak), The Misbehaviour of Markets (Mandelbrot), The Incerto Collection (Taleb), The Road to Serfdom (Hayek), Ubiquity (Buchanan), Radical Uncertainty (King)

Todd Edgar has over 28 years’ experience in financial markets. He has spent the last 2 years as CIO of Atreaus Family, a family office, allocating capital to equities, rates, commodities, FX, Crypto and real estate. Prior to that, he spent 9 years as Founder of Atreaus Capital, a global macro hedge fund with a peak AUM of over $3bn. He also served as Global Head of Macro Proprietary at Barclays Capital and before that as Global Head of the Commodities and FX Proprietary Trading at JPMorgan. Todd has also been a Portfolio Manager at Tudor Investment Corp. He graduated from the University of New South Wales, Sydney, currently lives on Long Island, NY. In this podcast we discuss:

1. Challenges of running a hedge fund
2. How have markets changed since the global financial crisis (2008)
3. Approach to investing
4. Reasons for being long China bonds
5. PBoC the new Bundesbank
6. Are commodities in a new supercycle?
7. How to think about inflation
8. Views on crypto markets
9. How to avoid losses impacting your future performance
10. Advice from Paul Tudor Jones
11. Book that influenced Todd: Market Wizards (Schwager) and Trading in the Zone (Douglas)

David is the author of the blog, David Woo Unbound. Before that, he was Head of Global Rates, FX and EM Fixed Income Strategy & Economics Research at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. In that role, he was responsible for the bank’s views and forecasts for developed and emerging sovereign bond yields and exchange rates. He was earlier at Barclays Capital, Citigroup and the IMF. David has a Ph.D. in economics from Columbia University. In this podcast we discuss:

1. Why news media has become more politicised
2. The impact of globalization on inequality
3. What explains countries with high COVID cases
4. Why Trump was right on vaccine vs COVID elimination
5. COVID to remain a factor in coming years
6. Return to stagflation
7. Mnuchin under-rated as Treasury Secretary, Yellen over-rated
8. Supply-side policies/inequality under Trump
9. The fundamental shifts in US-China relations
10. China tech policy is what Biden wishes he could do
11. Book that influenced David: Predictioneer (de Mesquita)

Nikhil recently published an influential investment report titled ‘Ethereum, The Triple Halving’, and has been researching cryptocurrencies and the Ethereum ecosystem since 2020. Outside of markets, Nikhil is an incoming medical resident at University of Colorado internal medicine. Nikhil completed his undergraduate degree at Rice University where he studied Philosophy and Cognitive Science. He then completed his medical school at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. In this podcast we discuss:

1. Key differences between Bitcoin and Ethereum
2. Consensus algorithms: proof-of-work vs proof-of stake
3. The selling pressure of miners on Bitcoin
4. The triple halving for Ethereum
5. Impact of EIP1559 and halving
6. Base case price target for Ethereum of $30,000-$50,000
7. Dynamics of an overshoot to $150,000
8. The growth of staking derivatives
9. Can Cardano and Solana dislodge Ethereum
10. Future of NFT and the metaverse
11. Book that influenced Nikhil: Doing Good Better (MacAskill)

In this episode, I talk with Saeed Amen. He is the founder of Cuemacro, which provides investors with quant research and analysis. Over the past fifteen years, Saeed has developed systematic trading strategies at major investment banks, including Lehman Brothers and Nomura. He is also the author of “Trading Thalesians: What the ancient world can teach us about trading today” and is the coauthor of “The Book of Alternative Data”, which is due out later this year. He is also a visiting lecturer at Queen Mary University of London. In this podcast we discuss:

1. Types of trading models, including trend-following and carry 2. How to design good trading models 3. Avoiding data mining 4. Whether certain strategies are becoming too crowded 5. Why trend-following models have underperformed 6. Examples of alpha models like trading month-end flows 7. Importance of reducing transaction costs 8. Types of alternative data 9. How to use news data 10. The non-technical challenges of using alternative data 11. Why Python is an important complement to Excel