Supply Shock

On the Margin: The Bull Market Will Continue Into 2025 As Liquidity Heads Higher | Michael Howell


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In this episode, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital joins the show to discuss the uptrend in global liquidity, a possible Shanghai Accord 2 to weaken the dollar, and the relationship between debt and liquidity. We also discuss the real breakeven inflation rate, the yield curve, and why you need monetary inflation hedges. Enjoy!

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Follow Michael Howell: https://x.com/crossbordercap

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod

On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin

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MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.

Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/

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Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:18) Powell's Jackson Hole Speech

(04:20) Uptrend In Global Liquidity

(05:53) Global Risk Exposure

(12:10) A New Shanghai Accord

(18:44) Mantra Ad

(19:24) Mechanics Of Yen Intervention

(22:01) The Treasury Market

(30:20) Breakeven Inflation Rates

(32:56) Debt-To-Liquidity Ratio

(35:52) Permissionless Ad

(36:33) US Public Debt

(40:14) Monetary Inflation Hedges

(43:11) Managing Bill Issuance

(47:03) Bull Vs Bear Steepener

(48:50) The Structure Of Global Liquidity

(50:08) The MOVE Index

(53:49) Treasury Buybacks

(55:06) Real Interest Rates

(56:38) Equity Market & PBOC Liquidity

(59:37) More Upside In Gold & BTC


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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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