Politix

Democrats are caught in a new and somewhat troubling fad, in which they promise working-class people extremely broad tax cuts, which, in practice, would make expanding the safety net all but impossible.

In this Matt and Brian discuss:

* The Oscars!

* What are these policies, where do they come from, and what would they mean, in practice, for other elements of the Democratic agenda?

* Is there tension between Revenuemaxxing™️ and Billionairemogging™️, and can it be resolved?

* Given all that will need to be rebuilt post-Trump, should Democrats embrace fiscal responsibility, or might there be some advantage to playing chicken with Republicans over the future of the American welfare state?

Then, Donald Trump seems pretty panicked about the consequences of his misbegotten Iran war. But not enough to chicken out. At least not yet. Why is that? What are the peculiarities of the global energy market that might explain it. If he’s waiting for global oil futures to hit crisis levels, what kinds of developments in the war might send it there? And can we count on Democrats to oppose war funding?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on quagmires.

* Brian on how the Iran war exposes the shallowness of the U.S. elite.

* The Yale Budget Lab on the Van Hollen tax plan.

* Matt Zeitlen on the oil shock. (Spoiler: it’s bad.)

Depending on whether you believe Donald Trump, or Donald Trump, or Donald Trump, his war in Iran is “very complete” or “just beginning” or “both.”

In this Matt and Brian discuss:

* Has Trump finally set in motion a disaster he can’t contain?

* What does TACO mean when others have a say over the disposition of events?

* Are we doomed to reprisal attacks and a long-lasting energy crisis?

Then, what the hell is Jared Polis thinking?! The governor of Colorado is apparently planning to commute the sentence of Tina Peters, a former election official who tried to help Donald Trump overturn the 2020 election. Should Polis’s partisan and ideological allies try to stop him? How? Is he acting purely in response to Trump’s threat of reprisals? And to the extent he really thinks it’s a good idea, what are his obligations as a retiring elected official serving at a time when liberal democracy is under severe threat?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian asks why elites seem just as easily duped as MAGA nobodies.

* Matt’s prescient piece on the moral failure of liberal leaders to not act selfishly.

* Should Colorado Democrats impeach Jared Polis?

We’re at war with Iran all of a sudden, and nobody can say why, even the people who started the war. After closing the loop on the Texas Senate primary, Matt and Brian discuss:

* What was Donald Trump thinking?

* What consequences (regional, domestic, and global) should we be prepared for?

* What do we make of the Democratic response so far?

Then, because the war has no support and was not justified, the public is overwhelmingly opposed to it. This should tend to fracture Republicans and unite Democrats. But it raises some questions: Will the progressives who couldn’t bring themselves to admit that Kamala Harris was the more anti-war of the two candidates in 2024 link arms with Democrats? Will the Trump supporters (GOP propagandists, marginal voters) who claimed to support Trump on anti-war grounds change their thinking? How much intra-GOP strife is driven by antisemitism? And what’s the best way to make sense of the mixed messages and buck passing already leaking out of the administration?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the failure of the anti-antisemitism movement.

* Brian argues Trump uses war abroad as an instrument of domestic politics, which he in turn views as civil war by other means.

* Our initial views on the state of the Talarico v. Crockett Senate primary.

You can’t say Donald Trump used his State of the Union address to distract from the Epstein files!

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* How boring the speech was;

* Whether boring is better for Trump, given his political predicament, than stuntiness;

* Should the Democrats who chose to attend be ashamed of themselves?

* All of the lies.

Then, are we finally going to have it out over whether Trump sexually assaulted any of the girls or women he met through Jeffrey Epstein? Will the Supreme Court decision vacating his tariffs be viewed as a turning point in his administration?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

They’re calling it the liddlest, tiniest government shutdown of all time. Democrats are demanding changes to policy that helps Trump’s immigration police get away with abuses. So they’ve shut down the Department of Homeland Security and only the Department of Homeland Security.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* How we ended up with such a narrow shutdown, instead of one that spanned multiple cabinet departments;

* Whether this was a mistake or a savvy move;

* What success (or “success”) might look like.

Then, the Epstein Files story is stuck behind our collective unwillingness in the political class to state plainly what we’re after: Whether Donald Trump abused children, and what the consequences should be if he did? Why is the administration so allergic to accountability for non-Trump associates of Jeffrey Epstein? And, was Pam Bondi’s infamous performance before the House Judiciary Committee last week secretly brilliant?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian reconceives of the Trump-2024 campaign as a conspiracy to conceal the Epstein Files.

* Halina Bennet on the ICE accountability gap.

* Roger Sollenberger on a credible allegation of child sexual abuse against Donald Trump.

Donald Trump has picked big fights on multiple fronts…and lost.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* The narrow question of how Trump and MAGA lost the culture war fight they picked with Bad Bunny and the NFL.

* How we ended up in a situation a year ago, when it seemed that MAGA had, on balance, won the fight over the direction and influence of American culture.

* How the worm turned back, or whether it was all an illusion in the first place.

Then, Trump also lost the mid-decade redistricting fight he picked, thanks in large part to the fight-first approach embraced by Virginia’s new governor, Abigail Spanberger, who prioritized aggressive gerrymandering over legacy policy issues. Is her approach replicable? What would it mean to take it national? And what are some other things Dem can do (nationally and in battleground states) to keep Trump on the back foot through the midterms.

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the uncannily similar political backgrounds of Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris.

* Brian on how Trump lost the culture.

* Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl Half Time show.

Donald Trump ate up several weeks and caused tons of damage as he sought to delay further production of the Epstein files. But now the files are right back in the news.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* What’s in this new tranche?

* What does it tell us about both the global elite, and Republican elite, leaders of which are overrepresented in the files relative to Democrats?

* What can we or others do to pry loose the majority of the files, which Trump’s administration insists it will conceal for all time.

Then, is Trump really gonna demolish ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶D̶o̶n̶a̶l̶d̶ ̶J̶.̶ ̶T̶r̶u̶m̶p̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶t̶h̶e̶ ̶J̶o̶h̶n̶ ̶F̶.̶ Kennedy Center? Is this something that Congress should try to stop? Or is it better dealt with by protesters putting themselves between the building and the bulldozers? Also, should Democrats’ continued dominance of special elections make members of the party feel more bullish about big demonstrations of resistance?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian on the meaning of Democrats’ big victory in the Texas state senate special election.

* Matt on the turning point in Minnesota.

* The New York Times on Elon Musk and other powerful men turning up in the Epstein files.

On Saturday, DHS agents killed Alex Pretti, a VA nurse who tried to help a woman they’d just pushed to the ground. By Sunday, the Trump administration had initiated an at least tactical retreat from Minneapolis.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* The silver lining of Pretti’s death, in providing proof of concept that civil disobedience requires risk and sacrifice—but it does work;

* Whether the political blowback will be fierce enough to dissuade Trump from ordering more pretextual, citywide occupations by masked paramilitaries;

* What Democrats can demand in the ensuing fight over Homeland Security funding, and whether they’ll have greater tolerance for a prolonged shutdown this time.

Then, Trump isn’t just retreating in Minnesota. He also pulled a TACO on Greenland, after allies asserted he’d wrecked the post-war order, and bond markets started revolting. What lessons, if any, lie in that episode? What more should foreign leaders (public and non-governmental) do to limit Trump’s abuses? And to what extent can Democrats partner with the international community to cordon Trump?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the turning point in Minnesota.

* Brian on the folly of House Democratic support for funding DHS.

* How Alex Pretti might help decent Americans reclaim the meaning of masculinity from the far right.

* Mark Carney’s striking Davos speech.

Many people are asking: Has Donald Trump finally, completely lost his mind?

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* The importance of getting your flu shot.

* Why this latest episode, complete with rambling missives to allied heads of state, feels more like madness than Trump’s other bad ideas, driven by graft, vengeance, or whatever else.

* How his assault on Minneapolis is crystalizing the madness (or at least the bad faith) for the rest of the world.

Then, what is to be done? What is Europe doing. What is Congress doing? What should Congress be doing. Is it really impossible to imagine an independent caucus removing the GOP from control of the House, Senate, or both? As Democrats vie for Senate control, are they blinding themselves to the risk that everything comes to pieces well before the election 10 months from now?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian takes stock a year in.

* Matt argues the problems with ICE flow from Stephen Miller and Trump, not from the institutional structure of ICE itself.

* The Trump national security strategy from two months ago, which doesn’t mention Greenland.

We’ll give Donald Trump this month: Thanks to his efforts, political discourse has moved on (for now) from health care and the Epstein coverup. But … not to anything particularly helpful for him.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* What on Earth did Donald Trump think he was doing by ordering a campaign of legal harassment against Fed Chairman Jay Powell

* Is there a pattern that explains why Trump’s rich sycophants censor themselves in some cases, but stand up to stop him in others?

* How can Democrats prepare for a likely future where Trump is gone, but he’s managed to transform the Fed (and other powerful institutions of government) into MAGA strongholds?

Then, is the federal assault on Minneapolis the exception to the trend of flailing, or part of the same story? How can Democrats capitalize on the fact that the public has rejected his vicious mass deportation? Should they even bother? And can they slake the public’s desire for accountability and reform without repeating the mistakes of the past?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the economic folly of exploitation.

* Brian on Trump’s flailing.

* Powell’s defiant video response to Trump.