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Dan Omstead, global head of health care investments at abrdn -- part of the team running the firm's Healthcare Investors, Life Science Investors, Healthcare Opportunities and World Healthcare funds -- says that after several years of struggling, the recent rally in health care and biotech is significant, the start of a positive trend that should be able to withstand the pressures of an election year to keep running higher from here. Omstead identifies a few areas -- most notably the GLP-1 weight management drugs -- that have the potential to not only change the world but to become massive sellers as they make and take over the market.
Cory Johnson, chief executive officer at Pender Capital -- which runs the Pender Capital Real Estate Credit Fund, a closed-end debt interval fund -- says that there's "an abundance of very interesting opportunities" as the commercial real estate market goes through big changes as regional banks pull back from the sector and reduce liquidity for borrowers. The result is "a kind of a hey day ... the most attractive risk-adjusted yields we have seen since the financial crisis [of 2009], borrowers buying at discounted valuations, looking for debt providers." He says the continued challenges for commercial real estate should keep providing good, safe opportunities for investing in senior-secured debt amid continuing headline woes.
Matt Kaufman, head of ETFs at Calamos Investments, says that years of experience running separately managed accounts of closed-end funds plus the firm's experience running closed-end funds -- as well as an investment environment where a fund that focuses on discounts had lots of investment prospects -- were part of the firm's thinking behind its new Calamos Closed-End Fund income and Arbitrage ETF which launched in January. While the fund is shopping for discounts in closed-end funds that are outside of the Calamos family, Kaufman said it will not be an activist investor in trying to narrow those discounts.
John Cole Scott, president of Closed-End Fund Advisors -- chairman of the Active Investment Company Alliance -- looks at two asset classes that investors are turning to now for yields. While business development companies and municipal bond closed-end funds have low correlation, investors are looking at both asset types in order to raise yield levels in this market. Scott digs into his firm's data to examine where the two asset classes stand and offers a few picks in each sector that he thinks are poised to handle the changing rate picture well for at least the rest of the year.
Dana Staggs, president of ArrowMark Financial Corp. -- a non-diversified, closed-end fund that trades under ticker symbol BANX -- talks about why the fund has changed in recent years to where 87 percent of its holdings are now in regulatory capital relief securities, and what that esoteric asset can add to a diversified portfolio. Staggs also discusses his outlook for banking -- where he acknowledges the potential for troubles but says they should not be systemic, disruptive problems -- and how reg-cap securities are set up to weather the potential storms.
Jonathan Mondillo, head of North American fixed income for abrdn, says the municipal bond market has been looking at a "teacup inversion," and as that changes when the Federal Reserve cuts rates later this year, it should set up well for a barbell approach, with the bargains and values being at the short and long ends of the curve. He notes that the last 12 to 18 months have been hard for muni debt and closed-end funds in general, but that with rates having come to a peak, there is now real opportunity in repositioning a portfolio, with record discount levels holding out potential for attractive income levels and heightened total return for investors willing to swim against the tide.
Ian Merrill, president of SCG Asset Management -- which runs The Alternative Strategies Income Fund, a continuously offered closed-end interval fund -- says that investors can change the risk-reward picture in equities by using derivatives to reduce risk but also set up the potential for higher income. He suggests that using derivatives allow a classic 60-40 balanced investor to go to 50-30-20, with derivatives representing the last part of the allocation and generating returns that normally would require a lot more equity exposure. Merrill says that the explosion in derivative products -- driven in part by the success of defined outcome ETFs -- makes it incumbent on investors to avoid confusion and make sure they know the investment intentions are for any manager using derivatives.
Roxanna Islam, head of sector and industry research at VettaFi, digs into the active and passive exchange-traded funds that invest in closed-end funds, looking at the choices, the new funds and the options investors have for buying ready-made portfolios of closed-end funds thanks to the simplicity of ETFs versus the chores of building their own portfolios. She notes that the active ETFs have some potential that the index-oriented versions have seemed to be missing in current market conditions.
Cheryl Pate, senior portfolio manager at Angel Oak Capital and manager of the Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust, says that 2024 "will bring a still somewhat tough operating environment for the banks but net interest margins are abating, valuations are cheap and [mergers and acquisitions] activity should accelerate from here." That gives banks an attractive opportunity set, particularly by focusing on credit quality and looking for "a fundamental mispricing of bank debt" that is creating some compelling bargains for investors.
Aaron Filbeck, managing director at the CAIA Association -- industry association for Chartered Alternative Investment Analysts -- says that the evolution of alternatives over the last few decades has made it to where it's naive for investors to effectively lump the wide range of investment options under the simple label of "alternatives." Filbeck, who oversees UniFi by CAIA -- a platform that educates private wealth managers about alternative investments -- says that sophisticated investors look past the label to dig into the different risks and return profiles of assets that vary from hedge funds to private credit, real estate, commodities, infrastructure and more, but he notes that they also have a long way to go with alternatives which still represent a small percentage of investors' portfolios despite the wide range of assets available.
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