We celebrate 'hard work" but forget to consider the benefits of thinking "hard thoughts".

This episode teaches how to navigate uncertainty without taking easy options by building a capacity for complexity.

The mind is full of complexity and it relentlessly tries to optimise and take shortcuts. This serves is well in many aspects but cultivating a practice of taking the harder path in our thinking allows us to see hidden truths behind out assumptions.

To arrive at better decisions we need to learn to balance uncertainty with statistics and see beyond our limited field of view. It isn't easy but the benefits can greatly improve your outcomes and your mindsets.

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Sam Webster explores the psychology of happiness, satisfaction, purpose, and growth through the lens of self-improvement.

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Chapters:

00:00 Benefits of thinking hard thoughts

01:12 Optimizing for the wrong things

03:59 1st - Elimination of doubt

06:55 2nd - Single cause explanation to complex events

09:12 3rd - Justification of your own action whilst judging the actions of others

12:02 Morgan Housel - we are blind to the vast majority of what people are thinking

12:12 Lessons from the book 'Evil'

14:20 4th - Your own field of vision is the same as everyone else's

18:05 5th - The desire to prioritize stories over statistics

20:46 6th - Outsourcing our hard decisions to the opinions of pundits, consultants, and experts

24:09 7th - Overconfidence

26:21 Annie Duke - Thinking of bets

28:22 Accepting probabilities and the reality of a situation

29:33 Outro

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