The Real Investment Show Podcast

(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin's recognition of two separatist regions loyal to Russia would seem to set the stage for an invasion into Ukraine, with "peace keeping" troops amassing in the regions. Overnight futures plunged 500-points, but this morning have regained most of those losses. This variable, plus the Fed's intentions, are playing on markets as they try to hold support at October's lows. Don't dismiss the risk of a bigger decline. A break of the technical "neck line" would conceivably take markets back down to the pre-pandemic peak of February 2020. One of the unknowns is where in that potential decline might the Fed decide to step in and take action? Our article today (see link below) addresses these questions. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-what-and-where-is-it/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/21/22) Why do we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks? Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA, joins Lance to discuss the problem of beating the Index, why we implemented our SimpleVisor tool, and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. [NOTE: Markets are closed today for President's Day. This is an excerpt of an recent show.] SEG-1: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-2: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vh9F7AiJqxM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "How to Un-Retire in America" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Stuff #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking

(2/18/22) The Fed is acting like a fire department that shows up on the scene and watches a house burn down. BlackRock's Larry Fink learns not to mess with Texas' Pension Fund; the difficulty of retiring "cold turkey;" Planet of the Apes calls into question, 'What's normal?' anymore. The outcome from taking early retirement vs benefits of delaying until age-70. Volatility in Retirement, and why the 4% Rule doesn't work; advantages of charitable intent. SEG-1: The Fed & House Fires: Where's the Beef? SEG-2: Texas Pension Fund vs BlackRock: Unretirement SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Un_Retirement #Volatility #TexasPensionFund #BlackRock #EarlyRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/17/22) The escalation of geopolitical risk continues to toy with the markets. The CDC is leaning towards dropping masking; getting back to normal will be good for the economy. Retail sales headline numbers vs reality (without seasonal adjustments). FOMC Meeting minutes suggest Fed is pulling back from hawkishness. Why we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks; the problem of beating the Index. SimpleVisor and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. SEG-1: Why Moving Back to the Office is Good for the Economy SEG-2: FOMC Minutes Review SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-4: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "The Negative Psychology of Bonds" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC #InterestRates #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/17/22) Markets rallied off their lows following yesterday's release of the FOMC meeting minutes, suggesting the Fed may not begin tapering its balance sheet (translation: turning off the liquidity spigot) until later this year. Markets closed about the 20-DMA, setting up to rally to the 50-DMA today. Markets are opening weaker today over geopolitical concerns (translation: Russia), but have been developing a bullish trend after re-testing lows in January, setting up a series of rising bottoms. A well-defined downtrend in the markets is creating a wedge, putting pressure on prices. A breakout to the upside would suggest a counter-trend rally, but a break below could also set up a decline. We're not out of the woods yet--keeping some hedges in place would be prudent. Are we about to move into the Great Bull Market of 2002? Not necessarily, but markets are starting to incorporate what they expect the Fed to in March. Current trends have clearly identified some breakout patterns--to the upside, as well as the downside. So, despite distractions from interest rates, inflation, Russia, and the Fed, markets have been holding up remarkably well...another sign of bullishness. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FOMCmeeting #InterestRates #Russia #Inflation #Bullish #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/16/22) Today we explore the psychology of investing, the negative psych-out that Bonds receive, and explainer of how they can work to your advantage as a hedge against all the things that scare you; Bonds are not always an "intuitive" choice. Energy Stocks' dynamics; the differential between 1970's economics and now. The Shortest Recession in history, and the relationship between interest rates and inflation; Living in the Carter years, and Paul Volker's mistake. WHy demographics can be economy-killers. SEG-1: The Negative Psychology of Bonds SEG-2: The Argument for Buying Bonds: An explainer SEG-3: The Shortest Recession in History SEG-4: Why Deflation Will Be a Greater Danger than Inflation Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Buying Bonds Makes Sense Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #Psychology #Deflation #Inflation #HedgingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/16/22) With rising interest rates and inflation fears, there have been negative attitudes about owning Bonds. With a debt- and leveraged-economy, with low economic output, bonds have certainly been under pressure. A look at the TLT EFT as a proxy for bonder performance history, we can see that bonds have been oversold. With prices on the decline, and yields on the rise as the Fed fights inflation, this is a perfect time to buy as a risk-off hedge for portfolios. There will be more volatility in equities this year, and money flows are expected to go from risky stocks to safe-haven bonds, which history bears out. This is why we believe bonds will be among the better performing assets in portfolios. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BondYields #BondPrices #Risk #Safety #PortfolioHedge #1970sEconomy #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/15/22) Russia's Mexican standoff with Ukraine has ended with a whimper, and markets love it. Earnings Season is also ending, with forward guidance the key for investors. Inflation's effect is already apparent. The Zoom phenomenon and a potential ban on Congressional stock trading, a.k.a insider trading. The negative impact of Work-at-Home on Commercial Real Estate; pay differential with in-office workers. The history of market pullbacks, a possible 50% correction in a market that's up 120% in two years. What will crash the markets THIS time? Basic rules to remember: Ignore the Index, and invest for yourself. Why Bonds are the only true buy-and-hold instrument: Guaranteed return of principle + interest. The importance of knowing where we are in the investing cycle. SEG-1: Russia Blinks SEG-2: Bear Market or Market Pull-back: A Historic Perspective SEG-3: Hotels & Resorts As Market Barometer SEG-4: The Weekly Angst: What Will Crush Markets THIS Time? Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRtyvUdMubc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2608s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Russia Backs-off, Markets Surge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #EarningsSeason #Inflation #Zoom #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/15/22) Markets are optimistic as Russia backs away from conflict with Ukraine. Indices could jump as much as 1.5% if this Process continues...but...the NASDAQ is down 14% from its record high close. A rally today does not change the dynamic of a downward trend in the markets. A reflexive rally from January's lows took us back up to the 20-DMA, which has been good resistance for the NASDAQ (much of today's rally will come from already over-sold stocks; disrupter stocks in particular. Money flows have been coming back into the markets under the surface, helping to fuel this relief rally. The question today is whether markets can get above the 20-DMA--and if so, markets will be set up for a test of the 50-DMA. Even so, we are still in a negative market trend, short term, suggesting that until we work through signals, any rally we get should be sold-into. Use this to take profits and reposition risk. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #Risk #MarketRally #PortfolioRebalance #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/14/22) Now that The Big Game has passed, it's time to collect on those bets! Russia, Ukraine, the European Union, NATO, and Markets' response; Markets will probably re-test previous lows. If they hold, markets will be set for next rally up. The effectiveness of the truckers' Freedom Convoy; Why the Supply Chain isn't broken--it was shut down. How to deal with a hyper-active Fed. What will be the next Minsky Moment? Inflation is a monetary phenomenon created by government spending. With earnings season winding down, AutoZone and Advanced Auto Parts are good barometers of how the economy is faring. Prices are not going down, even as inflation cools. 1:50 - Post-Super Bowl Snackapolooza; The Russia Situation Explained 13:11 - Russia-Ukraine, Freedom Convoys, the Investor Guess-Right Ratio 29:21 - Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken 43:06 - What AutoZone & Advanced Auto Parts Can Tell Us About the Economy RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sell-off on Russia News" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-time-is-different-the-feds-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Truckers #SupplyChain #Russia #Ukraine #FreedomConvoy #Inflation #SuperBowl #ValentinesDay #Markets #Money #Investing