July 05, 2025

The Real Reason Civilizations Collapse | Samo Burja

56 minutes

Today on Moment of Zen, Erik Torenberg talks with Samo Burja on "long history" - the thesis that human civilization is far older than believed, with complex societies predating agriculture by millennia. It examines why civilizations rise and fall, and implications for preventing our own collapse.

Make sure to subscribe to Samo Burja's Bismarck Brief and the Live Players podcast to read analyses and briefs like this one:

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Long History Thesis

Human civilization is much older than believed - complex societies existed before agriculture

Göbekli Tepe (11,500 years old) features monumental construction 1,000 years before earliest agriculture

Academic consensus moves slowly; archaeologists find what they expect to find

Why Civilizations Fall

Pattern 1: Military overextension and fiscal collapse (like Soviet Union)

Pattern 2: Complex trade network breakdown (Bronze Age collapse example)

History isn't linear progress - it's cycles of rise, stagnation, and fall

Modern Implications

We may not reach the singularity - could face our own stagnation period

Military overextension is a current US risk

China and US are 80-90% similar despite perceived differences

Preventing Collapse

Diversify beyond university monoculture - generate more "live players"

Invest in novel energy sources and government experimentation

Address fertility crisis (affects all societies regardless of politics)

Avoid rationalizing decline as environmental success

Historical Lessons

Ancient societies had sophisticated "social technologies" we've lost

Study history for positive examples, not just cautionary tales

Human nature and organizational capacity remain largely unexplored

...more

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By Erik Torenberg, Dan Romero, Antonio Garcia Martinez

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