Top Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

By Niels Kaastrup-LarsenBusinessNewsInvestingBusiness News
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Top Traders Unplugged episodes

  • SI274: Can You Time Trend Following? ft. Nick Baltas

    Today, we are joined by Nick Baltas for conversation, where we dive deep into the use of volatility scaling and accelerators in trend following systems. Additionally, we discuss various research papers that address whether trend following CTAs are truly long vol, what the negative impact of trend breaks are, whether you can predict future trend following performance by analyzing previous trend following perfomance and the art of timing trends, why it is important to sometimes settle with “good enough” performance, the future of the 60/40 portfolio and much more.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Nick on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:10 - What's been on our radar recently?

    05:09 - Industry performance update

    06:51 - Q1, Nicolas: Can you replace price with sharpe and trend follow that input instead?

    17:52 - Q2, Andrew: Is there any validity in having additional accelerators in a system and how would it be used?

    25:03 - Article: Are trend following CTAs truly long volatility?

    33:26 - Article: Breaking bad trends

    42:19 - Know when to be long and short

    45:15 - Article: Managed futures rotation

    52:40 - Sometimes good enough is good enough

    57:02 - The future of the 60/40 portfolio

    01:03:57 - Thanks for listening

    Resources discussed in this Episode:

    • LINK 274: Are TF CTAs truly long vol?
    • LINK 274: Breaking Bad Trends
    • LINK 274: Managed Futures Rotation
    • LINK 274: What Is the Future of the 60/40 Portfolio?

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 7 min
  • GAL07: Avoiding Apocalypse Through Quantum Physics & AI ft. Klee Irwin

    AI is stealing the headlines with what seems like wave after wave of breakthroughs, but running parallel to this are equally rapid advancements in quantum physics and our understanding of reality. Listen in on this complex yet nuanced conversation with Klee Irwin, Founder of Quantum Gravity Research as he shares his views on physics, AI, and the accelerating course humanity finds itself on, and how it ties in to us as investors.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow David on Twitter.

    Follow Klee on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    03:31 - Introduction to Klee Irwin

    07:43 - Quantum technology and the double-slit experiment

    23:53 - The retro causality experiment

    26:49 - Understanding the self-simulation hypothesis

    50:16 - What is going on with AI?

    59:48 - Where can you follow Klee Irwin?

    01:02:10 - Key takeaways from Niels

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 5 min
  • SI273: Unraveling the Mystery of Complex Adaptive Systems ft. Richard Brennan

    How do you avoid overfitting, how loose is too loose in terms of loose pants and how should you approach sample sizes when designing your trading systems? What are complex adaptive systems, how do they apply to financial markets and why does regular math just not cut it? How does trend following differ from other strategies, what makes trend following so robust and what are the limitations for traditional statistics? Join us for this fascinating conversation with Richard Brennan.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rich on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:04 - What has been on our radar recently?

    03:08 - Industry performance update

    08:21 - Q1, Adam: In terms of loose pants, how loose is too loose?

    13:36 - Trading with different models

    15:42 - Adam Q2: What is a reasonable sample size in real trade observations, to compare against backtest statistics?

    18:23 - A deep dive into complex adaptive systems (CAS)

    20:29 - The 5 properties of CAS

    25:24 - Examples of non-linearty in financial markets

    30:50 - Emerging properties in financial markets

    33:59 - Self organization

    36:33 - Adaption and evolution

    40:10 - Feedback loops

    43:11 - What does CAS and trend following have in common?

    49:38 - The limitations of traditional statistics

    01:01:14 - Summing it all up

    01:04:48 - What's next?

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 8 min
  • ALO18: Asset Allocation a la carte ft. David Kelly

    David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan joins Alan Dunne in this episode for a big picture perspective on the outlook for the global economy and the implications for asset allocation. We discuss why David is upbeat on the outlook for the US economy with a key part of his optimism resting on the fact that no individual sectors appears stretched or out of balance, which is normally the case prior to a recession. The recent rise in bond yields has been a key focus in markets – we discuss what has driven this and why David is optimistic on the outlook for inflation and bonds looking ahead. We also discuss asset allocation more broadly, the outlook for the 60-40 portfolio and the longer term themes (such as the investment implications of climate change and the shift to more active industrial policy) which are addressed in JP Morgan Asset Management’s recent Long Term Capital Markets Assumptions publication. 

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow David on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:42 - Introduction to David Kelly

    05:44 - What has become of the recession?

    08:38 - Are we missing an accident?

    11:09 - Why is the saving rate in the U.S. so low?

    13:29 - Is this cycle unusual compared to the past?

    14:52 - Are central bankers becoming arrogant?

    17:15 - What happened to the bond market?

    19:31 - High debt and high deficit - a new normal?

    21:48 - Kelly's outlook for the next decade

    23:42 - Inflation in the U.S.

    27:29 - A new equilibrium

    30:14 - Discussing inflation on a global scale

    33:35 - The state of the asset allocation environment

    35:37 - Should you look beyond the 60/40 portfolio?

    39:04 - The magnificent seven

    40:50 - A political mess

    44:51 - How will Artificial Intelligence impact the economy?

    47:55 - Managing the labour shortage

    50:13 - An all-time high misery

    51:36 - A discontent with the economy

    53:50 - An outlook of the political landscape

    56:14 - How does the shifting demographics impact the economy?

    57:57 - Is an aging population disinflationary?

    59:07 - Advice for investors

    01:01:34 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 3 min
  • SI272: Disrupting the Asset Management Industry ft. Andrew Beer

    Today, we are joined by Andrew Beer, who helps us uncover why managed futures have been struggling in 2023 and and what makes this year so different from 2022. We discuss the history of replication strategies all the way back to its origins and the intricacies of Andrew’s own replication strategy, and how disruptions have change the asset management industry and if the replicators are now facing their own competition from more pure CTA ETF offerings. We debate if Managed Futures have been "commoditized" and how the 60/40 portfolio is making a comeback this year and if 2022 was just a "fluke".

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Andrew on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:35 - What has caught our attention recently?

    04:04 - Industry performance update

    08:08 - How bad 2023 is for managed futures?

    13:19 - A turn away from trend?

    18:29 - Timeframe and lookback in CTA replication

    27:02 - The details of Andrew's trading approach

    33:01 - How increased competition impacts Andrew's trading

    41:31 - How low can you go, when it comes to fees?

    48:17 - The great underestimated risk

    51:30 - What drives asset flows?

    01:00:04 - Is 60/40 back on track?

    01:07:13 - Just look at the AUM

    01:11:15 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 15 min
  • OI03: The inner workings of a High-Frequency Strategy ft. Anant Jatia

    Anant Jatia, the founder and CEO of Greenland Investment Management, joins Moritz Seibert for a commodities-focused conversation. In this episode, Anant explains how Greenland developed from currency market making to what today is predominantly an HFT-driven commodities arbitrage fund. Anant has a detailed understanding of the workings of physical commodity markets and focuses Greenland’s trades on location and substitution arbitrage trades. Moritz and Anant discuss several exemplary trades in detail, including sizing and portfolio implementation, and focus on the tail exposures which could materialize while the trade is active. This is a detailed and somewhat technical episode and a must-listen for anyone interested in commodities arbitrage trading.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Follow Anant on LinkedIn

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:09 - Introduction to Anant Jatia

    06:39 - Anant's experience from working at AQR

    08:46 - How did Anant's firm evolve over time?

    10:44 - How difficult is High-Frequency Trading?

    14:33 - What is their current trading strategy?

    17:07 - An example of one of their trades

    21:17 - Staying away from the physical side

    23:33 - Tracking the market and executing trades

    27:18 - Managing the cost of trades

    29:58 - How did they get through the Covid19 period?

    34:37 - How many markets are they trading?

    36:49 - The process of trading copper

    38:43 - How do you obtain transportation costs?

    40:47 - Achieving the optimal trading efficiency

    43:37 - A multi-legged trading strategy

    47:34 - Anant's perspective on the Natural Gas markets

    50:50 - Putting it all together

    54:39 - Building for negative tail events

    57:26 - What kind of exposure do they have?

    59:17 - Key takeaways

    59:58 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 2 min
  • SI271: Can Slippage be a Source of Alpha? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

    Today, Mark Rzepczynski and I dissect the macro rally we are experiencing at the moment. We discuss why we are seeing an increasing attention to what CTAs are doing, how survey data regarding the economy confuses investors and markets, and we address some of the most common questions that investors ask in meetings at the moment. Additionally, we discuss how explanatory depth can be applied to trend following, why it is critical to master your attention and speed of adjustment and we wrap up debating how much slippage a trend follower should expect and if slippage can be turned into a new source of alpha.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:21 - What has caught Mark's attention recently?

    02:20 - Industry performance update

    04:51 - What is going on in the markets?

    09:01 - Reverse engineering the CTAs

    11:45 - Confusion in the markets

    14:38 - Are we being lied to about inflation?

    20:24 - Mixed signals

    22:14 - What are investors asking in meetings at the moment?

    25:33 - Modeling with personality

    32:25 - Losers create diversification

    36:13 - Things that are often being forgotten

    38:15 - Narratives and explanatory depth

    47:04 - Are short-term models better than longer-term models?

    50:34 - Does new = better?

    56:42 - Getting the backtest and transactions costs right

    59:31 - Don't overstep your capacity

    01:01:29 - Minimizing slippage

    01:04:23 - What is a reasonable level of slippage

    01:06:48 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 9 min
  • GM53: The Misdiagnosis of the Global Economy ft. Dario Perkins

    Dario Perkins joins Alan Dunne in this episode for an insightful and thought-provoking discussion on the global economic outlook. Dario outlines how many economists and strategists misdiagnosed the global economy coming into 2023 by assuming it was in a typical business cycle which was not the case. The conversation delves into the subtle structural shifts which are underway in the global economy including a shift higher in inflation with 2% now a floor whereas previously it was a ceiling, the shift towards more active industrial policy and the politically driven changing super cycle away from neoliberalism. What this points to is greater volatility in inflation, a secular bear market in bonds, a more positive outlook for value versus growth and a shift in the bond equity correlation as stagflationary episodes are more frequent.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Follow Dario on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:29 - Introduction to Dario Perkins

    07:18 - Why is this cycle so different?

    12:27 - Where are we now?

    17:40 - Have we seen the full extent of the cycle?

    23:16 - How is Europe vulnerable to the tightening from ECB?

    26:37 - A sticky inflation

    28:35 - Why have we seen a big jump in bond yields?

    32:52 - A concern for real-estate?

    38:03 - What is the next decade going to look like?

    46:21 - Are central bankers bluffing?

    51:15 - Will there be limits to physical policy?

    59:11 - The outlook for asset allocation and currencies

    01:03:42 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 5 min
  • SI270: CPI, Trend Reversals & Dalio on US-China War ft. Alan Dunne

    Today, we are joined by Alan Dunne for a wide ranging conversation, covering pressing global macro issues, the latest trend following research, JP Morgan's outlook for the 60/40 portfolio, following a week dominated by the release of the CPI numbers. We discuss how and why Ray Dalio believes the hot war between the US and China is changing and why the US is seeing an unusually low savings rate at the moment and why Alan believes there are plenty of possibilities in the non-trend space. We also discuss the benefits that trend following can add to your portfolio, how Blackstone is boosting the leverage in one of its Credit Funds...and if this seems like a good idea and much more.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:08 - What has been on our radar recently?

    09:44 - Industry performance update

    15:33 - A new war in sight?

    21:17 - News about the US savings rate

    23:54 - A positive outlook for productivity?

    30:13 - CFM paper on the benefit of non-trend strategies

    41:57 - J.P. Morgan paper on the outlook of the 60/40 portfolio

    50:28 - Quantica paper on trend vs global tactical asset allocation

    58:12 - FT article on Blackstone borrowing to boost lending power

    01:03:35 - Thanks for listening

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 6 min
  • OI02: Are QI Strategies Sustainable? ft. Maia Mathieson & Faheem Osman

    Maia Mathieson and Faheem Osman, both Managing Directors at Macquarie Bank in London speak with Moritz Seibert about the bank’s growing Quantitative Investment Strategies (QIS) business and how their rules-based indices can help investors to efficiently access various risk premium strategies across asset classes. Maia and Faheem explain the key return drivers behind their commodity-focused strategies, for example curve carry and congestion, and explain why they believe these to be structurally sustainable. We also discuss their client base and how the Macquarie QIS team focuses on designing robust indices that are not curve-fit to historical data.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Follow Maia on LinkedIn

    Follow Faheem on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:22 - Introduction to Maia & Faheem

    08:48 - What are the most popular return drivers?

    11:35 - What is driving carry trading?

    15:10 - When does carry trading stop working?

    17:23 - Combing strategies for more diversification

    20:26 - Why does the volatility carry factor exist in the commodity space?

    22:52 - How do they have an advantage over their competitors?

    24:40 - What is their core client base?

    28:38 - How are they giving their clients an edge?

    30:25 - Concerns about the commodity space

    32:30 - How they analyze and validate their work

    36:23 - A long term strategy

    40:01 - How have they evolved over time?

    43:20 - A changing landscape?

    46:54 - A move towards machine learning and AI

    48:59 - Learning from other asset classes

    51:36 - An increased interest in non-standard commodity markets

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

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