ChinaTalk

War in Taiwan: Who Would Win?

Listen Later

China v Taiwan: who would win? Michael O'Hanlon, a senior fellow and director of research at Brookings. He specializes in U.S. defense strategy, the use of military force, and American national security policy.

We discuss

  • The limits of scenarios that predict the outcome of a China-Taiwan conflict.
  • What are intercontinental rail guns?
  • How sports teams that play each other in the same year can have different outcomes - and what this says about predictability.
  • Given all this, what’s the point of modelling exercises?


    • Mike's paper: https://www.brookings.edu/research/can-china-take-taiwan-why-no-one-really-knows/

    My paper: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/E2BghQq9pwPgtHgiH/war-between-the-us-and-china-a-case-study-for-epistemic

    Outro music: Battle Cry of Freedom by George Root https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bW4ZwyYJYbQ

    Check out the Substack at ChinaTalk.media!

    Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    ...more
    View all episodesView all episodes
    Download on the App Store
    ChinaTalkBy Jordan Schneider
    • 4.5
    • 4.5
    • 4.5
    • 4.5
    • 4.5

    4.5

    277 ratings

    More shows like ChinaTalk

    View all
    Odd Lots by Bloomberg

    Odd Lots

    1,983 Listeners

    Conversations with Tyler by Mercatus Center at George Mason University

    Conversations with Tyler

    2,462 Listeners

    Foreign Policy Live by Foreign Policy

    Foreign Policy Live

    608 Listeners

    Sinica Podcast by Kaiser Kuo

    Sinica Podcast

    610 Listeners

    ChinaPower by CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies

    ChinaPower

    206 Listeners

    The President’s Inbox by Council on Foreign Relations

    The President’s Inbox

    723 Listeners

    The Trade Guys by CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies

    The Trade Guys

    152 Listeners

    Net Assessment by War on the Rocks

    Net Assessment

    425 Listeners

    ManifoldOne by Steve Hsu

    ManifoldOne

    97 Listeners

    Dwarkesh Podcast by Dwarkesh Patel

    Dwarkesh Podcast

    532 Listeners

    Pekingology by Center for Strategic and International Studies

    Pekingology

    140 Listeners

    Ones and Tooze by Foreign Policy

    Ones and Tooze

    368 Listeners

    The Foreign Affairs Interview by Foreign Affairs Magazine

    The Foreign Affairs Interview

    468 Listeners

    "Econ 102" with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg by Turpentine

    "Econ 102" with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg

    155 Listeners

    The Trivium China Podcast by Trivium China

    The Trivium China Podcast

    14 Listeners