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In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to discuss his macro philosophy & framework, why he was bullish after the VIX surge, and his views on the yield curve. We also discuss the equity bull market, whether the Fed will allow a recession, and the key drivers of bitcoin's price. Enjoy!
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Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows
Capital Flows Substack: https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
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MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
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Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:59) Capital Flows Research & Strategy
(04:49) Macro Philosophy
(07:48) Macro Framework
(11:39) Bullish After VIX Surge
(15:26) Credit & Duration Risk
(18:46) Mantra Ad
(19:26) Interest Rate Expectations
(25:51) Bull Vs Bear Steepener
(27:27) What's Priced Into The Curve
(30:38) Permissionless Ad
(31:17) What's Driving The Equity Bull Market
(36:31) Upside Tail Risks
(39:31) Will The Fed Allow An Extended Recession?
(43:58) Bitcoin Price Drivers
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
By Blockworks4.4
106106 ratings
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to discuss his macro philosophy & framework, why he was bullish after the VIX surge, and his views on the yield curve. We also discuss the equity bull market, whether the Fed will allow a recession, and the key drivers of bitcoin's price. Enjoy!
--
Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows
Capital Flows Substack: https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:59) Capital Flows Research & Strategy
(04:49) Macro Philosophy
(07:48) Macro Framework
(11:39) Bullish After VIX Surge
(15:26) Credit & Duration Risk
(18:46) Mantra Ad
(19:26) Interest Rate Expectations
(25:51) Bull Vs Bear Steepener
(27:27) What's Priced Into The Curve
(30:38) Permissionless Ad
(31:17) What's Driving The Equity Bull Market
(36:31) Upside Tail Risks
(39:31) Will The Fed Allow An Extended Recession?
(43:58) Bitcoin Price Drivers
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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