Today's discussion hits home for entrepreneurs and small business owners navigating this volatile economy. While large corporations like Microsoft or JPMorgan are setting market highs, small caps remain stuck in correction—mirroring the reality for Main Street. The biggest threat? Monetary policy, not fiscal policy. With interest rates still 125 basis points above equilibrium, small businesses—who rely on bank lending, not Wall Street debt—are being crushed by rising borrowing costs. Until the Fed loosens, many are fighting for survival, managing shrinking cash flows, and tightening credit. The question now: can they hold on long enough for rates to finally drop?

Key Takeaways:

• High rates are killing small businesses. Unlike large firms, small companies can't issue debt—they depend on lenders, and current rates are unsustainable.

• Fed delay = real pain. Despite inflation cooling, the Fed's slow action threatens to starve small businesses before relief arrives.

• Recession resilience matters. With growth slowing and credit tightening, cash flow management—not expansion—is the key to surviving 2025's economic squeeze.

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