Macro Horizons

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss their takeaways from the June FOMC which featured a more hawkish outlook from the Summary of Economic Projections, an acknowledgement that the Fed might be underestimating the likely path of inflation, and a technical adjustment to the Fed’s administered rates. They conclude with a brief discussion on what tapering will likely mean for credit spreads later this year.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 14th, 2021, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the factors most likely to break spreads from current ranges including relative value, the Fed’s plan to sell SMCCF holdings, and technicals. They then discuss recent developments in the LIBOR transition, including the proliferation of BSBY and ARRC’s guidance that term SOFR will be available by early-August.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 7th, 2021, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Ben Reitzes, Dan Belton and Ben Jeffery from BMO’s FICC Macro Strategy team to bring you their discussion of the market’s pricing of inflation risk and the richness in money markets and what these themes imply for US and Canadian rates, high quality spreads and foreign exchange.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 1st, 2021, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of May 24th, 2021, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the recent resilience in credit spreads despite volatility in other asset classes. They offer two competing interpretations of the stability, with ramifications for the near term path of credit.

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of May 17th, 2021, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Ben Reitzes, Dan Belton and Ben Jeffery from BMO's FICC Macro Strategy team bring you their debate of the main narratives that are dominating market pricing and what these themes imply for US and Canadian rates, high quality spreads and foreign exchange.