Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4lbxQ2T   -

Today we look at the state of the market a day ahead of Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcements as the market braces for impact. We also discuss the outlook for gold now that it has tacked on another massive rally and run down the performance across the commodity complex in Q1, where gold was surprisingly not the top performer. The latest developments in FX, equity technical levels of note and our top must reads also in today's podcast, which features Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting.

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4iEdDRG   -  

Trump is supposedly set to go easier than originally planned with the reciprocal tariffs to be announced next Wednesday, April 2. There are few details on this story, which provided the strong boost to risk sentiment today. Does this mean that Trump has "blinked" on the tariff issue? We assess where we are and what to watch for across asset classes, as well as highlighting incoming economic data and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo's John J. Hardy.

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3DLe6SW   -

The US market found some more solid buying support than it has in a while, but not yet enough to turn the technical tide. We look at what forces could drive the market in either direction, but suspect that US under-performance relative to a hard charging Europe may be here to stay for a while. A thorough look at FX, gold and silver, important links, the macro calendar and more on today's pod, which features Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy on FX and Macro.

John's latest FX Update.

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3DwZZR8   -

Today we run down some small divergences that could spell near term relief on risk sentiment, even if there is a steep hill to climb to significantly reverse this market rise. We also discuss gold trading at $3,000 per ounce and whether silver is set for brisk and large rally higher if it can break above the 35+ dollar per ounce level. Thoughts on crude oil, copper, a great set of links for further reading and much more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's latest FX Update

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/43zRWgK     -

Today we look at the massive further slide in US equities, which has taken the Nasdaq 100 to the next significant support point. We also note the reasons that the US has been in for an exceptional pounding relative to the rest of the world, have a look at key commodities like gold, oil and grains, rundown the latest in and FX, the latest link-a-palooza and a VERY important event risk on Friday of this week. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, with Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Link to Ole's COT Report analysis

Link to John's latest FX Update

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4bvm276   -

Today we look at the US stock market correction crossing its first key technical Rubicon as bear market risks ratchet higher. We also discuss the spiking Euro, Japan's likely desire to get USDJPY a lot lower, key commodities markets like oil, natural gas and copper and much more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Link to John's latest FX Update: 

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4hVKEbD   -

Today we unpack the historic paradigm shift as the EU and Germany have unveiled titanic fiscal initiatives that are altering the landscape for European bonds and the euro. Also, we look at whether there is a Trump put, and ponder whether Trump's moves on crypto and to supercharge money laundering risks are a feature as much as a bug.

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4bsNZML   -

Markets are on technical and even an emotional edge as Trump tariffs have gone forward and as speculation swirls that Trump will announce something particularly dramatic at a speech later today. From currencies and gold to US tech and European defense, we have a look at what may come next, including the risk of a big risk-off "whoosh" here. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

John's latest FX Update

Ole's latest weekly COT Report update

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3DnFXrX   -

Yesterday's combination of Trump tariff threats and weak US data spooked the market further, as did the technical implications of a breakdown through first key support levels in the Nasdaq 100 index a day after Nvidia earnings. Today we run down the really critical support levels that must hold to avoid a bigger meltdown or even bear market kick-off. We also look at why some assets are moving as they are, and what to look at next with a very busy geopolitical and economic calendar next week. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. 

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/43cR9Ck   -

Today we break down Nvidia's earnings report. Long story short: its earnings don't look like they will be the trigger for the broader market direction from here, so now the market can do what it wanted to do with this distraction out of the way. Plenty more to talk about today, from the latest on Trump tariffs and US continuing to alter the geopolitical landscape to what is driving a huge ramp in one very old German stock. Today's pod features Global Head of Investment Content Jacob Falkencrone and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy

Jacob's piece on Nvidia's latest earnings report

Jacob's piece on Tesla

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