Today we look at the explosive reaction to the US July CPI release, which failed to confirm fears that Trump tariffs would feed into hotter headline inflation - but was this one-off algorithmic squeeze or something more durable? Also, a delving into the different moving parts of inflation, one major category of which could prove deflationary, a look at the macro and FX reaction to the US CPI data, Circle Internet execs doing a money grab, Coreweave dumped as it struggles with costs and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today we run through the important US July CPI data release today, the first data point that is arguably fully showing Trump tariff impacts. We break down the possible reaction functions across markets, including gold, rates, and currencies as we await evidence that stagflation remains the most likely scenario from here. We also revisit the lithium and rare earths discussion after the pop in lithium stocks yesterday and point out significant market divergences in the US equity market, noting that some previous similar episodes have marked major pivot points in the market action. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today, a look at the strong close to the equity market action on Friday and the ongoing speculative fervor in key areas of the market, with Bitcoin pushing near all time highs today. Also: a look at Apple's big comeback above its 200-day moving average and its massive pivot into AI, with all of the risks and opportunities that brings. Lithium and lithium stocks are a hot topic as well after China shutdown a key mine for three months. Looking ahead, we wonder if the US CPI release tomorrow can throw some cold water on the markets. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one- to two-hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4oGwhfc   -

Today we cover the chaos in the gold market on the US moving to tariff certain classes of bullion, Trump's executive order to allow bitcoin and cryptocurrency holdings in 401k accounts, geopolitics and crude, and most importantly, the possibly massive implications of Trump's nomination of Stephen Miran to occupy the empty seat on the Fed Board. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today, we run down some of the odd factors in this market that are keeping us on the edge of our seat that something weird, and possibly ominous, is brewing, if disguised by the wall of retail, passive and corporate buyback bids in this market. We also talk incoming earnings and strong reactions to those, macro and FX and today's latest batch of must reads and listens. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.  

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today, we await the imminent announcement of the identity of the next Fed Chair as Trump has two empty Fed board seats to play with and could fill one of them with his next Fed Chair nominee. We also talk earnings yesterday (AMD, Supermicro and Novo Nordisk) and upcoming earnings today, whether the USD bears are set to get the upper hand again here, key resistance that is still in place for US equities, some great links and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

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Today, we note that US stocks have closed last week's gap in the major indices. Do bears re-engage or get trampled by the bulls? We round up the blowout Palantir earnings, look at the next key AI names to report today and discuss some great links, including one that is supports the idea that bearish concerns are misplaced in an era of fiscal dominance, in a policy mix possibly unlike anything we have seen since at least the 1940's and structurally, unlike anything we have seen ever. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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The overdue US equity market correction finally arrived. Will this just prove a healthy correction or are the cracks beginning to show, pointing to something bigger afoot? It is certainly clear that the data is not giving us any real clue of the status of the US labor market after Friday's shock negative revisions to payrolls. Also on today's podcast, we discuss listed rare earth companies and an ETF, the situation in industrial and precious metals, geopolitics, critical incoming earnings, important listens and links and more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Link to today's slide deck.    -

Today, a look at a very unusual and very climactic third consecutive outside day on the Nasdaq 100 index, as the intraday rally tested all time new highs before selling started that accelerated on Amazon.com's earnings after the close. Also, a look at Europe struggling mightily today and some of the mighty that have fallen of late. Huge focus today as well on the US July jobs report and how it will impact the US dollar, as well as a preview of critical names reporting earnings next week. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. 

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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Today, a look at Meta blasting it out of the park in its latest earnings report, though this could be about as good as it gets for a company of its size, and its roadmap has some "questionable" elements. Microsoft also surprised, sending Mag7 sentiment higher ahead of two further Mag7 names to report today - Apple and Amazon. Also, a look at Trump's latest tariff announcements, the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings and USDJPY levels and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

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