Saxo Market Call

Today, we note that US stocks have closed last week's gap in the major indices. Do bears re-engage or get trampled by the bulls? We round up the blowout Palantir earnings, look at the next key AI names to report today and discuss some great links, including one that is supports the idea that bearish concerns are misplaced in an era of fiscal dominance, in a policy mix possibly unlike anything we have seen since at least the 1940's and structurally, unlike anything we have seen ever. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

The overdue US equity market correction finally arrived. Will this just prove a healthy correction or are the cracks beginning to show, pointing to something bigger afoot? It is certainly clear that the data is not giving us any real clue of the status of the US labor market after Friday's shock negative revisions to payrolls. Also on today's podcast, we discuss listed rare earth companies and an ETF, the situation in industrial and precious metals, geopolitics, critical incoming earnings, important listens and links and more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodities Strategy Ole Hansen, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Link to today's slide deck.    -

Today, a look at a very unusual and very climactic third consecutive outside day on the Nasdaq 100 index, as the intraday rally tested all time new highs before selling started that accelerated on Amazon.com's earnings after the close. Also, a look at Europe struggling mightily today and some of the mighty that have fallen of late. Huge focus today as well on the US July jobs report and how it will impact the US dollar, as well as a preview of critical names reporting earnings next week. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. 

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, a look at Meta blasting it out of the park in its latest earnings report, though this could be about as good as it gets for a company of its size, and its roadmap has some "questionable" elements. Microsoft also surprised, sending Mag7 sentiment higher ahead of two further Mag7 names to report today - Apple and Amazon. Also, a look at Trump's latest tariff announcements, the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings and USDJPY levels and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, a run down the gauntlet of risks that this market has to navigate in the coming two weeks, from earnings and US data to geopolitics and other factors as we fret that a reasonable consolidation at minimum is imminent, and even if it isn't, would further destabilize the course of future returns. A discussion of Meta reporting today, Novo Nordisk's profit warning and whether the bottom is near for that company and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Links discussed on the podcast can be found on the johnjhardy substack (with a one or two hour delay from the time of the podcast release).

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, we look at the downdraft in the euro and European stocks yesterday and wonder if this is merely a kneejerk reaction to the EU-US trade deal or the start of something bigger. We also run down a few big movers in the US yesterday as the AI theme remains strong in the "shovel" space in AI (those who make the hardware driving AI data centers). Finally, we use Visa's valuation to demonstrate the rich valuation in US equities, look at levels for major Euro crosses and gold and silver, break down the US macro data up today and more. Today's pod hosted by John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy.

Link to John's substack for more links to Saxo and other content.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, a look at the reaction to the EU-US trade deal struck at the weekend, as some may be surprised to see a weaker euro on the back of this. Elsewhere, we talk Physical AI and an interesting ETF that has exposure to the space, the comeback in risk sentiment, the rise of Chinese luxury and more. Hosting today's pod is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Link to John J. Hardy's substack.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3H3NZbk   -

Today, a look at a US equity market showing remarkable complacency, with some initial signs that things are wobbling. But we have a monumental week ahead as earnings season peaks and we look at the cavalcade of event risks on top of that, including FOMC and not least, the BoJ, as well as the US jobs report and Trump's trade deal headline. Full slide deck today, with must reads and listens.

Link to John's latest FX Update: https://bit.ly/4716GqK 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, a roundup of the key earnings reported after the close yesterday - especially Tesla, which dumped more than 5% on dire results as well as on CEO Elon Musk's guidance for the next few quarters. This inspired a little deep dive into the autonomous driving space, as we discuss Alphabet's Waymo and a surprising possible competitor in the coming years that isn't Tesla. Also, we look at Alphabet's positive report, the latest in FX and a look ahead at today's key earnings reports and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER

Today, a look at the US-Japan trade deal and the market reaction, especially forceful in Japan. Elsewhere, we rundown the first really impactful earnings reports for this quarter as Google-parent Alphabet, Tesla and IBM are set to report earnings after the close today. IBM has a "new" angle that could see considerable focus. Also, a look at FX, incoming event risks and much more. Hosting the pod is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

DISCLAIMER