Saxo Market Call

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/431GGtt   - 

Today we look at the pivotal German election this weekend and a number of scenarios in what will inevitably prove a weak showing for the centrist parties. We also discuss the implications of Walmart's weak outlook and look ahead at the most pivotal earnings event of the quarterly cycle: the post-Wednesday close Nvidia report. The latest on FX and more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Global Head of Investment Strategy Jacob Falkencrone, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Jacob's piece on Ali Baba's earnings. 

John's latest FX Update on JPY, German election and more.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3EVhtGQ   -

European equity markets are on fire this year, and European defense stocks have lifted aggressively in recent days on fears that the entire transatlantic alliance is collapsing and will require a massive fiscal boost across Europe if it is to defend itself in a new geopolitical backdrop. We pick through one interesting angle on EU defense spending, break down the latest action in FX and commodities and much more as the world seems to spin faster and faster every day. Today features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4jWq1NY   -

Today we sift through the market reaction to Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, with the market celebrating their delayed implementation until at least after the April 1 report on US trade policy. We also discuss the mostly wound-down US earnings season, which has proven the best in three years, the big reversal in bond yields, developments in FX and some great links/must reads (see slide deck link) for those trying to grasp the Trump administration's risky strategy. Today features Jacob Falkencrone, Global Head of Investment Strategy with host John J. Hardy, Global Head of Macro Strategy.

Jacob's piece on BYD: https://bit.ly/4hE819m 

John's latest FX Update: https://bit.ly/3X3Axcf 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/417UZv0   -

While we have made the USD bear case to materialize at some point, we don't have much in the way of confirmation that it will arrive sooner rather than later, even if USDJPY may have posted a significant top. Today, a look at what is needed to get that confirmation while also running through the news of the day and what to watch for next across asset classes. Hosting today's podcast is John J. Hardy, Global Head of Macro Strategy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3ECSW9o   -

Today, we round up Amazon.com's results and the refrain we are hearing from them that rhymes with Meta, Microsoft and Alphabet's complaints on capacity constraints and the need for massive further capital expenditures to build out data centers. And that being the case, how to position the DeepSeek news? Also on this podcast, Macro Strategist John J. Hardy lays out the US dollar bearish case as the US government will find that its chief priority is getting its fiscal house in order. Also on today's call is Jacob Falkencrone, Global Head of Investment Strategy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4gs9L4q   -

Today we discuss the weakness in US tech sector after the close yesterday on Google's operational results and huge cap-ex spending plans and on AMD's weak forecast. As well, a look at the frictions already developing after 10% tariffs against China went ahead yesterday, together with the risks from AI disappointments to China exposure in most of the Mag 7 stocks. Elsewhere, the US dollar is falling and the JPY is surging after US 10-year rates have crossed below a key chart point. Precious metals are also on the rise. On today's call are Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy and John J. Hardy, Global Head of Macro Strategy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3CyH5bX   -

Trump delivered on the comprehensive tariffs he promised at the weekend against Canada, Mexico and China, although they don't actually go into effect until 12:01 a.m (0501 GMT) tonight. That's when we find out how much the market is hoping that we somehow see Trump climb down from imposing these tariffs at the last moment. Today we discuss the quite modest market reaction to this momentous news and what to look for next across asset classes, from foreign exchange to equities, commodities and US treasuries. On today's pod are John J. Hardy, Global Head of Macro Strategy and Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/40SLUGi

Today we look at the tepid market reaction to Trump's threat of imminent tariffs on Canada and Mexico as we wonder whether the market refuses to react until the tariffs are actually in force, thinking some last minute deal will avoid them.

Also, lots to sift through in the blitz of earnings announcements incoming this week and next, as well as some thoughts on the ECB, EURUSD and macro data in store for us in the coming week. On today's pod were Global Head of Investment Strategy Jacob Falkencrone, with Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today we sort through the quite mixed counter-reaction to the DeepSeek news that hit the market so hard at the start of the week, noting the raft of companies that have now surged after the initial reaction as lower cost AI models are seen as powering lower cost AI solutions. We also look at the commodities complex, where softs and grains are stealing the spotlight. The latest on earnings, FOMC preview and more also on the show, now with the return of the slide deck (link below)! Today's episode features Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy and John J. Hardy, Chief Macro Strategist.

Link to today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/40RG7Rh 

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.

The news of China's DeepSeek AI model suddenly gained critical mass at the weekend and triggered an avalanche of selling across the incumbent AI space as the implications of this possibly profound disruptor became clearer. Across the board deleveraging, with special intensity in AI-related tech names is the order  of the day as bonds found a safety bid and the JPY did likewise. 

On today's podcast were John J. Hardy, Chief Macro Strategist and Ole S. Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here.

Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions.

Click here to open an account with Saxo.