Saxo Market Call

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3ZvKoaz   - 

Today we look at the ironically in-line US CPI release yesterday and the market eventually deciding that the data was benign. Equity markets rallied into very critical resistance levels as US treasury yields dipped into the range lows and financial conditions eased. While the US dollar was weaker, the big mover in FX was the JPY, which is pounding stronger into anticipation of a further policy tweak at next Wednesday's Bank of Japan meeting. In commodities, we look at the jump in grains on the WASDE report, talk natural gas, metals as gold has traded into key levels after the CPI release and more. Today's pod features Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3k03vco     -

Today we look at global equity markets gunning for more to the upside, apparently expecting a benign US CPI release today and pricing in a soft landing scenario as long treasury yields settled back lower after a strong US 10-year treasury auction yesterday. We also look at a resurgent JPY, why the euro is strong, but some thoughts on longer term caution, coffee and grains in commodities, the latest expansion plans abroad from TSMC, weak housing news but strong housing stocks & more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3vRPi3Y   -

Today we discuss the bounce-back in US equity markets as we are all supposedly holding our breath for a CPI release tomorrow when the last soft CPI release in December drove zany intraday volatility and a rally that was quickly erased - etching out a market top at the time. Elsewhere, we discuss the conflicting signals from expanding US credit while another sentiment survey disappoints, look at strong metals markets as a clear expression of hopes for a China-driven recovery, Apple's deepening vertical integration moves as it looks to ditch Samsung screens, and much more. Today's podcast features Peter Garnry on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3QpVrOp   -

Today we note that the major European equity markets have come full circle since the Russian invasion of Ukraine last February, in part driven by a near freefall in natural gas prices over the last few weeks on mild weather. How much more can the market wring out of this development? We also note the reversal in the US equity market rally yesterday ahead of the important CPI data on Thursday. In equities, focus toward the end of the week on the major US banks reporting, but in the meantime, we have the important news for Google of a $10 billion investment in OpenAI as the future of internet search is heating up for the first time in many years. This and more on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3k0mbcf   -

Today we look at the mixed US jobs report on Friday and more importantly, the wild reaction to a very weak December ISM Services survey, while we question whether a single data point deserves such a strong reaction function. Regardless, the market took down US treasury yields  and the US dollar in the wake of the data. Elsewhere, the market is scrambling to absorb the remarkable policy shift out of China, with metals, AUD and especially CNH firming further. A look at stocks to watch, perspective on the big US banks as they are the first to report for the upcoming earnings season on Friday. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3GlgGw7    -  

Today, we look at the market reaction to strong US labor market data yesterday, which triggered higher yields as the market was forced to mark the Fed policy rate higher for longer this year. Equities dropped and the US dollar surged, but the main even awaits today in the form of the US official jobs and average hourly earnings data as well as the December ISM Services is also up later today. On that note, heavy interest in very short-dated options could mean huge volatility swings on big data surprises today. Elsewhere, all things China-related are also on the move, including the yuan as every day brings new signs of official support for the economy. A look at earnings next week, metals, & more  also on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3jN6Co1   -

Today, we look at the market continuing to stumble around in the range, with little conviction emerging so far this year. Will this mean a trigger-happy reaction to incoming data? Elsewhere, we look at the gold rally fading, crude oil ripping lower and the Japanese yen mean reverting to weakness after its spectacular two-month rally, a likely sign of near-term exhaustion for that move. We also discuss Amazon chopping more jobs than expected, the still tight US labor market and much more. Today's podcast features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3X82XzD   -

Today, we note that today's inter-market picture makes far more sense than what we saw yesterday as some low inflation data in Europe is helping to drive global bond yields lower, lifting risk sentiment and seeing a weaker US dollar. This came after a volatile and confusing day yesterday. The biggest winner of the first couple of days this year has been gold, which has soared above major resistance. We also look at the latest Tesla plunge and some of the network effects that may be aggravating its decline, discuss the reversal in crude oil prices and new lows in natural gas prices and how markets may continue to flourish on signs of a weakening economy. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3Iitmq2   -

Today, we remind traders that the market action doesn't really start for much of global liquidity until today's opening of UK and US markets, with Japan not even set to start trading until tomorrow. This makes the JPY volatility in particularly difficult to interpret in thin markets. Most of the USD move that has unfolded this morning did so during and after the recording of this podcast, but we suggest that it is important to wait for the US data on Friday for a firmer sense of where the market stands on the US dollar and other markets, including gold. Today we also discuss the important year ahead for Tesla, with more products and platforms in the mix than at any time in its history, contrasting its outlook with that of Volkswagen. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/3QnnEFH   -

Today, we look at how markets closed last year, noting the weakening of the US dollar in to year-end even as US treasury yields backed up into year end. Despite those higher yields, USDJPY trades near multi-month lows in anticipation of the Bank of Japan and the Fed moving in opposite directions with their policy for the balance of this year. Elsewhere, we dive into commodity positioning and the energy market as mild weather continues to drive gas and power prices down in Europe while crude oil actually rallied. A look at energy stories to track this year and more also on today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

Click here to open an account with Saxo   -

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and Saxo Strategy Team here.

Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic