Saxo Market Call

Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3qnvZhr   -

Today we break down yesterday's interesting US equity market session, as $140 billion leaked out of the Tesla market cap in a single day, helping drag the broader market lower. Plenty of single stock stories to focus on today, including the IPO today of (future) EV-maker Rivian, and as earnings season marches on. Elsewhere, a look at whether markets are making too much of a fuss about the possibility that US President Biden may nominate Lael Brainard to head the Fed, why crude oil rallied yesterday and gold poking at important resistance.  Today's pod Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3bWtXN0   -

Today we look at US market internals and the sector performances that stand out as the broader market has lost some momentum over the last couple of days. We also discuss the conundrum and lack of coherence across markets as inflation concerns rage while nominal yields at the long end of the curve drop, zero in on US treasuries, German Bunds and the JPY and other FX themes. In equities, a focus on PayPal selling off after the close, NIO, and Coinbase, which is set to report today with Bitcoin conveniently at new highs.  Today's pod Peter Garnry on equities, Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/31KJ5v7   -

The nominally strong US jobs report on Friday was unable to sustain the US dollar rally, but more curiously, saw long treasuries rallying sharply and driving yields at the long end of the US yield curve sharply lower - a development that demands the most attention this week for follow on action. We also look at another rally attempt in gold, latest energy market developments, the upcoming Rivian IPO pricing, other EV-linked equities, and earnings and macro risks for the week ahead. Today's pod Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3wjYbCN   -

Today we look at the post-FOMC meeting melt-up extending aggressively and the degree to which options may be in control of this market as volumes have exploded in recent years and Tesla and Amazon options are a staggering percentage of that development, to such a degree that the options tail may be wagging the market dog. We also look into why oil prices have dipped again after the OPEC+ meeting yesterday, talk copper, the Bank of England's terrible communication fail, EURUSD drivers, earnings results, today's US October payrolls and earnings numbers and more. Today's pod Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3mLmO8t   -

Today we look at the market getting what it wanted from the FOMC, as the Fed delivered the expected pace of QE purchase tapering, even if it reserved the right to shift the pace at future meetings if warranted. Our belief is that it will prove more than warranted and we take you through the rationale in today's podcast. Also a look at the drivers of the collapse in oil prices yesterday, concerns on rising food prices and credit spreads in China, thoughts on fixed income after the FOMC and on the Bank of England meeting later today, earnings highlights and more. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income, Ole Hansen on commodities, Peter Garnry on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3q1VgxF   -

Today we look at the long term implications of Republicans winning the Virginia governor race in the US, perspectives on the US bond market after the under-appreciated trauma globally in the short end of yield curves nearly everywhere and whether a bit more calm post-FOMC tonight in rate expectations might open up for more volatility at the long end - which could prove more contagious across asset classes than the big shift in central bank expectations. We also look at the latest on global natural gas market, earnings and more. Today's pod features Ole Hansen on commodities, Peter Garnry on equities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3GERNel   -

Today we look at the market turning a bit more cautious ahead of an important FOMC meeting tomorrow, we note signs of a crowded trade as traders short at least one long-dated US treasury proxy, the TLT. Also, a look at OPEC supply laggards driving upside oil price risks, industrial metals on the defensive, a look at much more dovish RBA than the market was pricing overnight, EU peripheral yield spread widening and more. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed  income, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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In this special edition of the Saxo Market Call podcast, we have a long form conversation with Thomas Jam Pedersen, co-founder of Copenhagen Atomics, a start-up company working to bring a new generation of nuclear energy to market using thorium molten salt reactors, or TSMRs. In the conversation, we look at the amazing potential for this new source of primary energy for driving the global economy, what makes it promising relative to legacy nuclear power and alternative energy sources, as well as how it can eventually replace the fossil fuels that drive climate change concerns and are still the primary foundation of our current global energy system. We also look at some of the engineering and regulatory challenges of TSMRs, as well as the kinds of companies that are likely to emerge as the best investment prospects in this space in the years to come.

Slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3jVqzX7   -

Copenhagen Atomics website.

Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/3BC0diC   -

Today we look at what unfolded last week as the markets seemed forced to price central bank policy tightening significantly higher, sometimes against the banks' own guidance, suggesting that central bankers may be losing control of the narrative. A key test on that front with tonight's RBA meeting and on Wednesday with the next FOMC. We also look into the latest on energy, equities soaring despite rising short yields, the very busy week ahead for earnings and much more. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/2ZxxDS6   -

Today we look at the market thumbing its nose at the ECB meeting and front-running eventual rate hike guidance despite Lagarde's protests, the loud silence from the RBA as the market challenges its yield curve control policy, weak results from Apple and especially Amazon, Facebooking going Meta, the latest on energy and now food prices becoming a concern and a preview of a massive week ahead for the US dollar and US macro risks, with all of the usual first-week-of-the-month data plus an FOMC meeting. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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