Top Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

By Niels Kaastrup-LarsenBusinessNewsInvestingBusiness News
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  • Typical duration

    67 min

    per episode

Based on Podcast App listening data

Top Traders Unplugged episodes

  • SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

    What if markets move not by logic, but by pressure? In this conversation, Alan Dunne and Yoav Git trace the invisible currents behind price formation, namely how a single dollar of inflow can lift valuations fivefold, and why that distortion challenges everything the efficient market promised. From the slow mechanics of supply and demand to the moral hazards of policy and liquidity, the discussion follows money as it reshapes narrative. They revisit research that foresaw inflation’s return, and question why QIS indices so often fade in practice. Beneath it all lies a quiet question: what truly drives the modern market?

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00:23 – Opening and agenda for the discussion

    00:01:05 – Math education in the UK and XTX’s push to fund young talent

    00:03:39 – Market performance recap for early November

    00:04:49 – Reflections on volatility and fixed income trading conditions

    00:05:13 – Introduction to the “Inelastic Markets Hypothesis”

    00:05:53 – Supply, demand, and elasticity explained in market terms

    00:10:30 – Instrumental variables and how economists measure elasticity

    00:14:51 – The debate: if markets clear, how can flows move prices?

    00:15:44 – Why equities are more inelastic than bonds

    00:21:04 – Questioning the 5x effect and how flows follow prices

    00:23:48 – Policy and moral hazard implications of inelastic markets

    00:26:07 – How elasticity differences shape trend-following speeds

    00:29:57 – Should all markets use the same trading models?

    00:36:19 – “Best Strategies for Inflationary Times” revisited

    00:38:30 – Why the paper predicted 2022 so accurately

    00:42:03 – The nature of trend following: slow losses, fast wins

    00:44:24 – Inflation mandates and the overlooked role of CTAs

    00:48:33 – Why TIPS and real estate can fail as inflation hedges

    00:50:05 – Examining “Quantifying Backtest Overfitting” in QIS

    00:53:59 – The 60% haircut between backtests and live returns

    00:56:00 – How CTAs add value beyond bank QIS products

    01:00:40 – QIS as a low-cost, capital-efficient exposure

    01:01:15 – Closing thoughts and next week’s preview

    01:01:59 – Outro and disclaimer

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 3 min
  • GM90: The Quiet Repricing of Reality ft. Adam Rozencwajg & Cem Karsan

    Power shifts quietly, until it doesn’t. In this episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Cem Karsan are joined by Adam Rozencwajg to trace the slow fracture of a system built on leverage, politics, and belief. From the echo of LBJ’s confrontation with the Fed to today’s invisible coercions, they explore how monetary regimes die, not in crisis, but in exhaustion. Inflation returns as behavior, debt becomes geometry, and commodities reclaim their voice. Through the lenses of shale decline, Venezuela’s unrealized oil, and the steady ascent of gold, this conversation reveals a cycle completing itself. The story isn’t new. Only the setting has changed.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Follow Adam on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction

    03:12 - The rise of carry trades and the rhythm of global financial cycles

    08:44 - Political pressure, Fed history, and lessons from past monetary regimes

    13:47 - The end of carry, the dawn of stagflation, and the return of real assets

    20:47 - Inflation’s return, debt dynamics, and the coming shift in the monetary system

    27:33 - Gold, negative real rates, and the psychology of inflation

    34:57 - The debt spiral, liquidity traps, and the quiet monetization of risk

    41:40 - Energy policy, shale decline, and the politics of “Drill Baby Drill”

    49:10 - Venezuela’s oil chessboard and the geopolitical struggle for supply

    55:48 - Oil’s forgotten value and echoes of past energy cycles

    01:00:19 - Gold, miners, and the new hierarchy of precious assets

    01:07:23 - Helium, the next frontier, and closing reflections on a changing world

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 12 min
  • OI19 BONUS: Living With Ed Seykota ft. David Druz

    Dave Druz spent six months living with Ed Seykota - not shadowing a trading system, but watching a way of being. In this bonus episode, he shares what that experience revealed: a style built on instinct, pattern, and total psychological clarity. No screens. No signals. Just presence. Dave tried to trade that way himself - made 300%, unraveled, and walked away. What emerges is less a portrait of Seykota than a meditation on the limits of imitation, the pressure of performance, and the discipline it takes to trade like yourself - especially after witnessing someone who doesn’t.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:21 - Introduction to part 2

    02:57 - Anecdotes from Druz' time working with Ed Seykota

    06:46 - The best trader the world has ever seen

    17:13 - The optimal bed size

    21:24 - What Druz learned from working with Seykota

    24:42 - Key lessons for managing drawdowns

    26:54 - How does one gets to become an apprentice of Ed Seykota

    31:58 - Living with Ed Seykota

    34:16 - Seykota's 10.000 dollar cookie mania

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    42 min
  • SI372: QIS Unboxed: Rules, Wrappers, and Reality ft. Nick Baltas

    As equity markets grind higher and trend strategies navigate sharp reversals, Moritz Siebert welcomes Nick Baltas of Goldman Sachs for a conversation that moves beyond performance to examine structure. Together they unpack the machinery of the $1.3 trillion QIS industry - from index design and client behavior to the subtle forces shaping capacity and crowding. They discuss how trading speed has become a key axis of dispersion, why volatility remains the hidden cost in systematic portfolios, and what resilience in markets might really be masking. This is not just about strategy. It’s about how products scale, and how ideas hold.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Nick on Twitter.

    Follow Moritz on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:23 - Moritz opens the show and introduces Nick

    01:16 - Nick’s quick life update and setting the tone

    02:45 - Market resilience vs. fragility in 2025

    04:18 - Performance rundown: CTAs, trend, equities, bonds

    06:10 - October reversals: metals and livestock giveback

    07:32 - What’s working: equities, gold, copper; sugar shorts

    08:58 - Trend speed, April V-shape, and dispersion

    10:40 - Position exits, re-entries, and neutral zones

    11:55 - How QIS differs and why it’s opaque from the outside

    14:40 - How big is QIS? Asset class split and caveats

    18:05 - Who uses QIS: from asset owners to hedge funds

    21:30 - What QIS really provides: rules, access, and efficiency

    28:05 - The four pillars of product design (research, clients, tech, markets)

    30:20 - Why thousands of indices exist (customization, wrappers)

    33:22 - Delta-1 vs. options on indices: when each makes sense

    36:58 - Vol targeting trade-offs for optionality and recovery

    38:55 - Built for scale, but with capacity discipline

    42:00 - Innovating without data-mining traps

    47:12 - Crowding: congestion, vol carry, and trend mechanics

    56:35 - Wrap-up and what to expect next week

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    59 min
  • OI19: The Trader Who Never Spoke...Until Now ft. David Druz

    Dave Druz has never told his story... not like this, not anywhere. For over 40 years, he traded quietly, systematically, and on his own terms. No marketing, no headlines, no need to explain. Until now. In this unique conversation with Moritz Seibert, Dave - Ed Seykota’s first apprentice - shares how he built his approach, why he never identified as a trend follower, and what matters when your edge comes from standing opposite commercial hedgers. He explains why portfolio construction outranks entries, why volatility is the price of real risk, and why staying small was a choice, not a limitation. From medicine to markets, from apprenticeship to independence, this isn’t just how he traded - it’s why he stayed silent, and why he’s speaking now.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Read more about David.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:11 - Introduction to Dave Druz

    13:50 - Druz' time in the Commodities Corporation

    19:14 - How did Druz discover trend following?

    23:57 - The core philosophy behind Druz' trend following strategy

    28:08 - Who wins and loses in the markets?

    37:37 - Determining hedging flows in commodity markets

    41:03 - Managing money in trend following

    43:40 - How does Druz size a position and get out of it?

    45:16 - Coping with a high level of volatility

    50:23 - Mitigate drawdown or take the ride?

    55:20 - Put your affection on portfolio selection

    58:19 - Mastering systems

    59:50 - Druz' approach to market selection

    01:08:33 - Sizing signals optimally

    01:12:43 - A new way of running an investing business

    01:19:24 - Creating a personalized portfolio with an edge

    01:28:36 - Why Tactical is no longer a business

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 37 min
  • SI371: Trends Don’t Form Randomly. They Form Reflexively ft. Richard Brennan

    Richard Brennan returns this week to explore how markets truly move - not through randomness or rationality, but through impact, feedback, and memory. What begins with a single trade builds into structure, not pattern; alignment, not noise. Drawing from neuroscience and fractal geometry, Rich challenges the idea that markets can be understood without understanding interaction. The episode builds toward a pointed exchange on position sizing - closed equity versus dynamic exposure - not as a technical footnote, but as a reflection of first principles. In a system where the path shapes the outcome, how you define risk... often reveals how you think the world works.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rich on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00:00 – Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series

    00:00:23 – Niels’ intro, show setup, and warm welcome to Rich

    00:00:57 – Heatwave down under: context and small talk

    00:02:10 – Rich: divided brain, AI vs embodiment, and markets needing rules

    00:07:50 – AI’s edge shrinks prediction windows; why that helps trend following

    00:10:35 – Gold’s violent selloff; electricity vs oil as the new macro lens

    00:14:51 – “Trend heaven”: why the backdrop now looks robust

    00:18:12 – Post-GFC compression vs today’s decoupling and trends

    00:22:43 – Impact and reflexivity: trades reshape the next trade

    00:28:23 – Non-ergodic markets: path dependence beats Gaussian assumptions

    00:35:48 – Volatility ≠ risk: compression warehouses latent tail risk

    00:40:08 – Engineer robustness, don’t optimize to statistics

    00:49:41 – From micro impulses to structure: feedback builds trends

    00:50:06 – Patterns vs structure; outliers as phase transitions

    00:55:00 – Ensemble design: behavioral (not correlational) diversification

    01:03:05 – Survival first: closed-equity sizing in a non-ergodic world

    01:05:43 – Niels’ counterpoints: dynamic sizing, flows, and “cutback” debate

    01:12:20 – Rich: why he frames it as outlier hunting

    01:16:30 – Wrap-up, programming notes, and disclaimer

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 18 min
  • UGO07: The Illusion of Safety: How Markets Became the Economy ft. Keith DeCarlucci, Patrick Kazley & Hari Krishnan

    Recorded amid the noise and pulse of the RMC conference in Munich, this episode of U Got Options follows a market learning to see itself anew. Cem Karsan speaks with Keith DeCarlucci on the return of macro discipline through EM carry and the quiet yield of volatility. Patrick Kazley traces the fault lines of diversification, where beta, convexity, and policy now intersect. And Hari Krishnan confronts the uneasy coexistence of human intuition and machine logic in risk. Together, they chart the tension between structure and surprise - a world still trading on old instincts, but guided by new intelligence.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Opening and introductions

    01:29 - Overview of guests and themes: EM, volatility, and AI

    03:10 - Keith DeCarlucci on EM FX, commodities, and volatility trades

    14:13 - Relative value in equity vol and tail-hedging strategies

    21:20 - Patrick Casley on portfolio construction and convexity

    32:24 - Reassessing 60/40, nominal illusion, and macro correlations

    39:44 - The new regime: long assets vs limited diversifiers

    44:39 - Hari Krishnan on AI, options, and the future of volatility

    56:06 - Upside skew, real assets, and structural market shifts

    01:05:21 - Closing remarks and disclaimers

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 8 min
  • SI370: Sharpe Ratios, Tail Risks, and the Cost of Comfort ft. Nigol Koulajian & Alan Dunne

    Nigol Koulajian, founder of AlphaQuest rejoins Niels and Alan for a conversation about markets shaped less by fundamentals than by perception. As political influence deepens and volatility is managed rather than discovered, traditional risk signals lose meaning. Sharpe ratios climb not through edge, but through exposure to hidden fragilities. Diversification is narrowing. And while systematic strategies continue to hold their line, the forces around them are shifting - slowly, structurally, and with consequences. This episode is about recognizing imbalance in real time, resisting the comfort of consensus, and asking whether today’s apparent stability is masking tomorrow’s risk.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:32 - Introduction to our special guest

    01:57 - How did the economy end up the way it is today?

    09:15 - Is it just a cycle?

    19:46 - What is the end game?

    23:47 - A short masterclass on skew and convexity

    31:45 - How trend following has changed over time

    39:18 - Should you optimize your portfolio from a short or long term perspective?

    45:19 - How Nigol navigates the strong headwinds for CTAs

    53:04 - Turning the risk of pod shops into opportunities

    56:06 - When will we revert to a more "normal" environment?

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 2 min
  • GM89: When Credibility Becomes the Risk Premium ft. Maurice Obstfeld

    Maurice Obstfeld joins Alan Dunne for a clear-eyed look at how the foundations of the global monetary system are shifting - and why much of the world is quietly preparing for a future without a stable dollar anchor. Drawing on decades in policy and research, Obstfeld explains how tariffs, fiscal dominance, and political interference are eroding the norms that once held the system together. They discuss the risk of fragmentation, the creeping politicization of the Fed, and why trust - not theory - is the real currency at stake. This is a conversation about power, credibility, and what happens when both start to slip.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Read more about Maurice here.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:18 - Introduction to Maurice Obstfeld

    05:26 - The role and evolution of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    08:14 - What has been the rationale for tariffs, and how has it impacted the economy?

    11:13 - Has the viewpoint on tariffs shifted?

    18:42 - How the changing monetary policy could undermine the dollar

    27:19 - Does an alternative to the dollar even exist?

    29:50 - What are the implications of moving away from the dollar?

    34:20 - A possible financial repression incoming?

    36:25 - The impact of an unusual approach to policy making domestically

    39:16 - A fork in the road for the Fed

    47:19 - From problem to crisis

    51:32 - Is Obstfeld optimistic about AI?

    53:06 - The end of the neoliberal era - what comes next?

    58:00 - Advice for other investors 

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 2 min
  • SI369: Liquidity, Leverage, and the End of Safety ft. Mark Rzepczynski

    Gold is ripping, but it’s not about inflation. It’s about trust - or the slow erosion of it. Mark Rzepczynski returns to map out the shifting terrain as central banks quietly step away from sovereign debt and build reserves in metal, not paper. Niels presses on what this says about safe assets, liquidity, and the narratives we’ve long taken for granted. They unpack the rise of short-term options, the distortive power of retail flow, and the fragility buried inside modern plumbing. And as trend followers chase edge in crowded markets, Mark offers a glimpse into what comes next: networks, feedback loops, and systems that learn - until they break.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to [email protected]

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:34 - What has been on our radar recently?

    05:43 - Is this time different for gold?

    14:13 - Just a gold story?

    16:38 - Should we redefine the definition of safe assets?

    19:45 - The Fed has to change

    26:08 - An overbearing uncertainty

    30:25 - Our thoughts on meme stocks

    35:30 - Not every innovations are good

    39:02 - How narratives impact how products are sold

    46:21 - Industry performance update

    49:39 - Alternative vs traditional assets

    01:00:43 - Every CTA is a short term trader

    01:05:59 - The power of seeing the connection between markets

    01:14:32 - What is up for next week?

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer

    1 hr 17 min

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Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think - not just what they trade.

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