LessWrong posts by zvi

“AI #128: Four Hours Until Probably Not The Apocalypse” by Zvi


Listen Later

Brace for impact. We are presumably (checks watch) four hours from GPT-5.

That's the time you need to catch up on all the other AI news.

In another week, I might have done an entire post on Gemini 2.5 Deep Thinking, or Genie 3, or a few other things. This week? Quickly, there's no time.

OpenAI has already released an open model. I’m aiming to cover that tomorrow.

Table of Contents

Also: Claude 4.1 is an incremental improvement, On Altman's Interview With Theo Von.

  1. Language Models Offer Mundane Utility. The only help you need?
  2. Language Models Don’t Offer Mundane Utility. Can’t use Claude to train GPT-5.
  3. Huh, Upgrades. ChatGPT for government, Gemini for students, Claude security.
  4. On Your Marks. More analysis of Psyho's victory over OpenAI at AWTF.
  5. Thinking Deeply With Gemini 2.5. The power of parallel [...]
  6. ---

    Outline:

    (00:42) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

    (03:04) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

    (06:04) Huh, Upgrades

    (07:31) On Your Marks

    (11:24) Thinking Deeply With Gemini 2.5

    (16:33) Choose Your Fighter

    (16:47) Fun With Media Generation

    (18:24) Optimal Optimization

    (21:38) Get My Agent On The Line

    (29:15) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

    (33:19) You Drive Me Crazy

    (34:42) They Took Our Jobs

    (37:53) Get Involved

    (41:24) Introducing

    (42:27) City In A Bottle

    (48:15) Unprompted Suggestions

    (48:54) In Other AI News

    (51:10) Papers, Please

    (51:18) The Mask Comes Off

    (52:55) Show Me the Money

    (01:01:11) Quiet Speculations

    (01:09:20) Mark Zuckerberg Spreads Confusion

    (01:15:05) The Quest for Sane Regulations

    (01:19:11) David Sacks Once Again Amplifies Obvious Nonsense

    (01:23:28) Chip City

    (01:27:50) No Chip City

    (01:30:00) Energy Crisis

    (01:33:13) To The Moon

    (01:34:58) Dario's Dismissal Deeply Disappoints, Depending on Details

    (01:46:05) The Week in Audio

    (01:50:48) Tyler Cowen Watch

    (01:54:50) Rhetorical Innovation

    (02:00:35) Shame Be Upon Them

    (02:01:21) Correlation Causes Causation

    (02:04:17) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

    (02:06:29) The Lighter Side

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    First published:

    August 7th, 2025

    Source:

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DSxnqyok2g4NaMp8u/ai-128-four-hours-until-probably-not-the-apocalypse

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    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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