Sign up to save your podcasts
Or
Share “AI 2027: Responses” by Zvi
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Or
“AI 2027: Responses” by Zvi
Yesterday I covered Dwarkesh Patel's excellent podcast coverage of AI 2027 with Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander. Today covers the reactions of others.
Kevin Roose in The New York Times
Kevin Roose covered Scenario 2027 in The New York Times.
Kevin Roose: I wrote about the newest AGI manifesto in town, a wild future scenario put together by ex-OpenAI researcher @DKokotajlo and co.
I have doubts about specifics, but it's worth considering how radically different things would look if even some of this happened.
Daniel Kokotajlo: AI companies claim they’ll have superintelligence soon. Most journalists understandably dismiss it as hype. But it's not just hype; plenty of non-CoI’d people make similar predictions, and the more you read about the trendlines the more plausible it looks. Thank you & the NYT!
The final conclusion is supportive of this kind of work, and Kevin points out that expectations at the major [...]
---
Outline:
(00:21) Kevin Roose in The New York Times
(02:56) Eli Lifland Offers Takeaways
(04:23) Scott Alexander Offers Takeaways
(05:34) Others Takes on Scenario 2027
(05:39) Having a Concrete Scenario is Helpful
(08:37) Writing It Down Is Valuable Even If It Is Wrong
(10:00) Saffron Huang Worries About Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
(18:18) Phillip Tetlock Calibrates His Skepticism
(21:38) Jan Kulveit Wants to Bet
(23:08) Matthew Barnett Debates How To Evaluate the Results
(24:38) Teortaxes for China and Open Models and My Response
(31:53) Others Wonder About PRC Passivity
(33:40) Timothy Lee Remains Skeptical
(35:16) David Shapiro for the Accelerationists and Scott's Response
(45:29) LessWrong Weighs In
(46:59) Other Reactions
(50:05) Next Steps
(52:34) The Lighter Side
---
First published:
April 8th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gyT8sYdXch5RWdpjx/ai-2027-responses
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
View all episodes
By zvi
5
22 ratings
Yesterday I covered Dwarkesh Patel's excellent podcast coverage of AI 2027 with Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander. Today covers the reactions of others.
Kevin Roose in The New York Times
Kevin Roose covered Scenario 2027 in The New York Times.
Kevin Roose: I wrote about the newest AGI manifesto in town, a wild future scenario put together by ex-OpenAI researcher @DKokotajlo and co.
I have doubts about specifics, but it's worth considering how radically different things would look if even some of this happened.
Daniel Kokotajlo: AI companies claim they’ll have superintelligence soon. Most journalists understandably dismiss it as hype. But it's not just hype; plenty of non-CoI’d people make similar predictions, and the more you read about the trendlines the more plausible it looks. Thank you & the NYT!
The final conclusion is supportive of this kind of work, and Kevin points out that expectations at the major [...]
---
Outline:
(00:21) Kevin Roose in The New York Times
(02:56) Eli Lifland Offers Takeaways
(04:23) Scott Alexander Offers Takeaways
(05:34) Others Takes on Scenario 2027
(05:39) Having a Concrete Scenario is Helpful
(08:37) Writing It Down Is Valuable Even If It Is Wrong
(10:00) Saffron Huang Worries About Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
(18:18) Phillip Tetlock Calibrates His Skepticism
(21:38) Jan Kulveit Wants to Bet
(23:08) Matthew Barnett Debates How To Evaluate the Results
(24:38) Teortaxes for China and Open Models and My Response
(31:53) Others Wonder About PRC Passivity
(33:40) Timothy Lee Remains Skeptical
(35:16) David Shapiro for the Accelerationists and Scott's Response
(45:29) LessWrong Weighs In
(46:59) Other Reactions
(50:05) Next Steps
(52:34) The Lighter Side
---
First published:
April 8th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gyT8sYdXch5RWdpjx/ai-2027-responses
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
More shows like LessWrong posts by zvi
View all
Making Sense with Sam Harris
26,392 Listeners
Conversations with Tyler
2,423 Listeners
a16z Podcast
1,081 Listeners
Future of Life Institute Podcast
107 Listeners
ChinaTalk
289 Listeners
Politix
93 Listeners
Dwarkesh Podcast
488 Listeners
Hard Fork
5,469 Listeners
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
132 Listeners
LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
13 Listeners
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups
133 Listeners
"Econ 102" with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg
151 Listeners
BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
502 Listeners
LessWrong (30+ Karma)
0 Listeners
Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)
133 Listeners