Forward Guidance

Are Bonds Pricing in a Market Crash? | Alfonso Peccatiello


Listen Later

Today’s guest, Alfonso Peccatiello, is a man with a rare insight into the macro forces driving the moves in markets which have perplexed many, but not all, investors. One such move is the recent flattening of the yield curve, which belies commonly-held views about the relationship between bond yields and inflation.

Up until very recently, Alfonso was running a multi-billion dollar fixed-income book. But he has left the world of portfolio management behind him to focus full time on writing and thinking about macro. His analysis can be found on his newsletter, The Macro Compass.

Alfonso shares with Blockworks’ Jack Farley the real reason why long-term bond yields have been falling. Among other topics, the pair discuss:

- the global credit impulse turning negative

- long-term structural forces (such as demographics & debt) 

- why quantitative easing (QE) isn’t inflationary


Alfonso Peccatiello’s Twitter: @MacroAlf

Jack Farley’s Twitter: @JackFarley96

Alfonso Peccatiello’s newsletter, The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/

Article on quantitative easing: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/p/tmc-6-all-they-told-you-about-printing

Article on 2022 outlook: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/p/2022portfolio

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Forward GuidanceBy Blockworks

  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5

4.5

249 ratings


More shows like Forward Guidance

View all
Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,069 Listeners

Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

589 Listeners

Hidden Forces by Demetri Kofinas

Hidden Forces

1,442 Listeners

Real Vision: Finance & Investing by Real Vision Podcast Network

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

904 Listeners

Hedgeye Podcasts by Hedgeye Risk Management

Hedgeye Podcasts

199 Listeners

The Market Huddle by Patrick Ceresna & Kevin Muir

The Market Huddle

361 Listeners

What Grinds My Gears by Blockworks

What Grinds My Gears

113 Listeners

Excess Returns by Excess Returns

Excess Returns

86 Listeners

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez by Bilal Hafeez

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

98 Listeners

Eurodollar University by Jeff Snider

Eurodollar University

469 Listeners

Empire by Blockworks

Empire

166 Listeners

Supply Shock by Blockworks

Supply Shock

110 Listeners

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient by Wealthion

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

375 Listeners

On The Tape with Danny Moses by RiskReversal Media

On The Tape with Danny Moses

166 Listeners

The Macro Trading Floor by Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor

214 Listeners

Bell Curve by Blockworks

Bell Curve

33 Listeners

Market Depth by Blockworks

Market Depth

22 Listeners

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart by Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

415 Listeners

Lightspeed by Blockworks

Lightspeed

30 Listeners

The Julia La Roche Show by Julia La Roche

The Julia La Roche Show

69 Listeners

0xResearch by Blockworks

0xResearch

17 Listeners

Expansion by Blockworks

Expansion

2 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

157 Listeners