Strong sale barn prices, aggressive buyer demand, and a cattle inventory report that confirmed tight supplies set the tone early this week — until labor headlines out of JBS Greeley added a new layer of uncertainty. In this episode, Lauren sits down with John Campbell to break down what they’re seeing at auction barns across Kansas and Wyoming, how the inventory report is influencing buyer behavior, and why a potential strike at one of the largest beef plants in the country matters far beyond futures screens. The conversation blends real market data, current events, rural economic realities, and a candid look at why volatility feels baked into today’s cattle market.

Links

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/premium
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• Sale barns started the week with exceptional demand and strong price momentum
• Light calves and quality yearlings saw especially aggressive bidding
• The cattle inventory report reinforced that supplies remain tight
• Heifer retention is showing early signs but remains uneven across regions
• Buyer urgency reflects both tight supplies and fear of missing inventory
• JBS Greeley workers voting to strike adds uncertainty to fed cattle flow
• Large beef plants play an outsized role in rural economies and supply chains
• Labor disruptions can ripple quickly through cattle markets
• Market volatility is being driven by headlines as much as fundamentals
• Strong prices don’t automatically mean a stable market

Chapters
01:30 Sale barn recap and early-week momentum
03:45 Kansas market highlights and calf demand
05:45 Inventory report reaction and supply discussion
07:30 Heifer retention — what the numbers do and don’t show
09:25 Breaking down the JBS Greeley strike vote
11:30 Why plant disruptions matter beyond futures
14:00 Rural communities, packing plants, and economic impact
17:00 Market psychology and headline-driven volatility
22:10 Final thoughts and what to keep watching

cattle market update, sale barn prices, feeder cattle market, cattle inventory report, heifer retention, JBS strike, beef packing plant labor, cattle market volatility, fed cattle supply, rural agriculture economy, cattle prices today, livestock market news

Volatility has returned to the cattle market in a big way, and this episode digs into why. Lauren is joined by Dan Gerhold and Samantha Cozza-Wright to break down recent swings on the futures board, uneven cash trade, headline-driven selloffs, and how quickly sentiment can flip at these levels. They cover the impact of packer disruptions, dairy cow slaughter, beef-on-dairy supply, grain market crosswinds, and the ongoing debate around heifer retention. This conversation cuts through the noise to focus on what’s actually moving the market and why producers should be paying attention right now.

Key Takeaways

• The cattle market is showing signs of nervousness with sharp selloffs occurring frequently
• Futures volatility is impacting buyer behavior at sale barns and slowing aggressive bidding
• The JBS Greeley plant labor situation adds uncertainty to slaughter capacity and beef supply
• Dairy cow slaughter and beef-on-dairy calves continue to pressure the supply chain
• High prices do not equal a stable market, especially when technical signals weaken
• Heifer retention is happening, but not at a scale that signals rapid herd expansion
• Replacement heifer prices reflect demand, even if overall retention remains uneven
• Grass availability, land values, and cash flow are limiting factors for herd rebuild decisions
• Government intervention headlines are adding unnecessary volatility and uncertainty
• Grain markets are seeing modest support, but long-term supply still warrants risk management
• Retail beef prices are easing, which could help demand heading into grilling season
• Price still determines supply and demand, and the market is doing exactly what it’s designed to do

Chapters

00:00 Market volatility and setting the stage
02:00 Futures swings and nervous trade sentiment
04:00 Early-week bullish momentum and sudden reversal
06:30 Packer disruptions, dairy cow kill, and supply pressure
09:00 Technical signals and why traders are getting spooked
11:00 Political headlines and government intervention concerns
13:30 Grain market update and managed money activity
16:00 Cattle inventory report and heifer retention discussion
18:45 Land prices, grass availability, and rebuild limitations
22:40 Why price still matters more than narratives

Keywords

cattle market update, cattle market volatility, live cattle futures, feeder cattle prices, cash cattle trade, cattle inventory report, heifer retention, beef supply chain, packer capacity, dairy cow slaughter, beef on dairy, grain market outlook, cattle market fundamentals, livestock markets, producer risk management

Livestock Risk Protection has carried a bad reputation for years, often built on misinformation, outdated assumptions, and overly complicated explanations. In this episode, Lauren is joined by Samantha Cozza-Wright to break LRP down at a practical, producer-first level. From what LRP actually is to how it settles, how weights and timing work, and why flexibility is one of its biggest strengths, this conversation strips away the noise and focuses on how producers can realistically use LRP as a risk management tool. This episode is a true foundation-builder designed to educate, not sell.

Links

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/premium
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• LRP is a government-subsidized insurance product, not a futures contract
• It functions like a put option designed to protect downside risk
• Producers keep full upside participation if markets rally
• LRP does not settle on your individual cash sale price
• Coverage is based on national market indices, not local prices
• Weight flexibility exists as long as cattle remain within class ranges
• Feeder cattle do not have to be sold by the coverage end date
• Fed cattle must be marketed within the allowable window to remain eligible
• Premiums are not due upfront and include a grace period after coverage ends
• LRP premiums are typically cheaper than traditional futures options
• Additional subsidies are available for beginning and veteran producers
• Coverage can be booked per head, allowing small-scale participation
• Applications do not obligate producers to purchase coverage
• Quotes are updated daily and tied directly to futures markets
• LRP is best used to protect breakevens, not predict market highs

Chapters

00:00 Why LRP carries a bad reputation
01:45 What Livestock Risk Protection actually is
02:45 How indemnity payments work
04:00 Weight classes and flexibility explained
05:00 Why LRP does not settle on cash sales
06:30 Feeder cattle vs fed cattle coverage rules
07:25 How ending values are determined
08:45 Premium costs, subsidies, and affordability
10:30 Why per-head coverage matters
12:10 The LRP application process
13:55 Daily quotes and booking windows
15:45 Coverage levels and timelines
18:15 Premium examples and cost breakdown
20:20 Claim process and documentation
22:45 Using LRP for peace of mind, not perfection

livestock risk protection, LRP insurance, cattle market risk management, feeder cattle insurance, fed cattle insurance, cattle price protection, USDA LRP program, cattle hedging alternatives, risk management for ranchers, cattle market volatility, producer education, cattle marketing strategies

Labor is no longer a short-term headache in agriculture. It’s a structural, generational problem that touches every segment of food production. In this episode, Lauren sits down with Marty to unpack why farms and ranches across the country are struggling to find help, how rural communities lost their pre-trained workforce, and why the labor issue can’t be solved by band-aids or waiting for someone else to fix it. From shrinking farm families and rural brain drain to the responsibility producers must take as employers, this conversation tackles the uncomfortable truths behind ag labor and what it will take to rebuild a sustainable workforce.

Links

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/premium
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• Agriculture’s labor shortage affects every sector, not just cattle
• The traditional “farm team” workforce has largely disappeared
• Farm consolidation reduced the pipeline of pre-trained young workers
• Rural communities have lost population, talent, and leadership over decades
• Encouraging kids to leave agriculture created long-term workforce gaps
• Labor issues exist at every level, from packing plants to management roles
• Agriculture struggles to welcome people without ag backgrounds
• Recruiting new workers requires patience, training, and better employers
• Rural development and ag labor are directly tied together
• Communities thrive when ag jobs keep people local and invested
• Outreach to K–12 students is one of the most effective long-term solutions
• Solving labor requires collective action, not isolated efforts

Chapters

00:00 Why labor is agriculture’s most urgent issue
02:10 How the traditional ag workforce disappeared
04:00 Farm consolidation and the loss of pre-trained labor
06:30 Why rural communities keep shrinking
08:30 Parents encouraging kids to leave agriculture
10:45 Brain drain and its impact on rural economies
13:10 Why agriculture struggles to welcome outsiders
15:50 Recruiting and training people with no ag background
18:20 Labor as a rural development issue
21:00 Why ag employers must improve to retain workers
24:30 The role of schools and youth outreach
27:45 How producers can get involved locally
30:45 Why labor is everyone’s responsibility

agriculture labor shortage, farm labor crisis, rural workforce issues, ag employment challenges, labor in agriculture, rural economic development, ag workforce development, farm and ranch labor, recruiting in agriculture, ag labor solutions, rural communities and agriculture

Lauren sits down with Chase Markel, a PhD researcher at the University of Wyoming, to unpack one of the most overlooked efficiency drains in the beef industry: bovine congestive heart failure. From brisket disease at high elevation to subclinical heart failure in feedlot cattle, this episode breaks down what’s actually happening inside the animal, why many cases go unnoticed, and how emerging AI tools are changing the way the industry measures health, efficiency, and loss. Chase explains how machine learning and computer vision are being used inside packing plants to identify heart failure earlier, remove subjectivity from phenotyping, and uncover millions of dollars in hidden inefficiencies across the beef supply chain.

Links

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/premium
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Key Takeaways

• Bovine congestive heart failure is not just a death loss issue but a widespread efficiency problem
• Subclinical heart failure cases are far more common than most producers realize
• Brisket disease and feedlot heart failure share the same physiological cascade but occur at different stages
• Pulmonary hypertension places excess strain on the right ventricle, leading to systemic failure
• Many cattle reach harvest with compromised heart function that impacts gain and carcass value
• AI and computer vision can score cattle hearts with over 90% accuracy
• Automated heart scoring removes human subjectivity and improves data consistency
• Subclinical heart failure cattle show lower gain, lighter carcass weights, and reduced efficiency
• The estimated industry cost of subclinical heart failure exceeds $100 million annually
• Digital phenotyping could reshape genetic selection, traceability, and health management
• AI tools offer scalable ways to collect phenotypes at a speed never before possible
• Future adoption depends on making technology accessible and producer-friendly

Chapters

00:00 Chase’s background and research focus
02:35 Why brisket disease and heart failure matter to producers
04:40 The physiology behind pulmonary hypertension and heart failure
07:40 The role of the right ventricle and systemic impacts
09:55 Introducing AI and heart scoring in feedlot cattle
12:20 Inside the packing plant and building an AI model
14:45 Why consistency matters more than speed
17:00 Digital phenotyping, genetics, and traceability
19:15 Subclinical cases and the true cost to efficiency
21:45 What this could mean for the next decade of beef production
24:50 Final thoughts and where to follow Chase’s work

beef industry technology, bovine congestive heart failure, brisket disease, cattle heart health, AI in agriculture, feedlot efficiency, subclinical disease in cattle, beef production losses, digital phenotyping, cattle genetics, traceability in beef, pulmonary hypertension cattle, packing plant technology, beef research innovation

Cold weather, light receipts, and strong prices set the tone for this episode as Lauren Moylan sits down with John Campbell for a wide-ranging conversation that blends market reality with industry tension. From stocker and feeder prices across Colorado and Kansas to cow sales that stayed surprisingly strong despite snow and cold, the cattle market continues to defy expectations. The conversation then shifts beyond price into harder topics. Protest culture, firearms responsibility, immigration numbers, beef labeling, imported beef, and whether Product of the USA labels actually matter to consumers. Equal parts market update and cultural gut check, this episode doesn’t try to smooth the edges. It says the quiet parts out loud.

Key Takeaways

• Cold weather slowed receipts but did not weaken the cattle market
• Feeder and stocker cattle continued to sell at historically strong levels
• Lighter-weight cattle showed strength, especially in the 450–550 lb range
• Cow and bred female markets stayed stout despite weather challenges
• Internet bidding played a major role in supporting cow sales
• The cattle market remains supply-driven more than demand-driven
• Strong prices don’t eliminate deeper structural industry issues
• Protest culture and personal responsibility sparked sharp discussion
• Responsible firearm ownership requires situational awareness
• Immigration numbers are shifting for the first time in decades
• Product of the USA labeling alone won’t fix consumer trust
• Labels without education don’t move demand
• Imported beef concerns deserve facts, not assumptions
• The beef industry struggles to communicate value to consumers
• Cultural conversations inside ag are becoming harder but more necessary

Chapters

00:00 Welcome back and opening banter
02:00 Cold weather and early-week market conditions
04:40 Feeder and stocker cattle price recap
07:15 Cow sales, bred females, and internet bidding
09:30 Dodge City recap and winter receipts
12:30 Regional price comparisons across Kansas and Colorado
15:30 Why the cattle market keeps holding despite disruptions
16:45 Minnesota shooting and protest discussion
20:30 Firearms, responsibility, and situational awareness
25:40 Imported beef, labeling, and consumer education
33:30 Where the industry goes from here

cattle market update, feeder cattle prices, stocker cattle market, cow market prices, winter cattle sales, cash cattle trade, beef imports, product of the USA beef, MCOOL discussion, beef labeling debate, cattle industry commentary, agricultural markets, livestock market update

Cold weather, uneven trade, and tight supplies continue to define the cattle market as the industry moves deeper into winter. In this episode, Lauren is joined by Dan Gerhold and Samantha Cozza-Wright to break down what last week’s weather disruptions actually did to cash trade, why feeder markets feel choppy, and what February demand realistically looks like. From cattle on feed data to heifer retention, imports, exports, and the role of the U.S. dollar, this conversation cuts through the noise to focus on what matters and what doesn’t right now.

Links

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/premium
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• Weather disruptions delayed sales and created uneven market signals
• Cash trade remains the focal point while the board stays volatile
• Feeder markets showed mixed results with sharp regional differences
• February demand is historically choppy and rarely inspiring
• Valentine’s Day demand helps selectively but doesn’t carry the whole cutout
• Slaughter reductions were largely weather-driven, not demand-driven
• Beef imports are helping fill gaps created by reduced kills
• The weaker U.S. dollar improves export competitiveness but adds volatility
• Cattle on Feed data reinforced tight supplies rather than signaling expansion
• Heifer retention is happening, but not at expansion-cycle levels
• Border closures and dairy-beef dynamics continue to skew year-over-year comparisons
• Bigger inventory signals won’t fully reveal themselves until late summer

Chapters

00:00 Cold weather and early-week market disruptions
02:00 Feeder market recap and regional differences
03:10 Winter demand realities and February expectations
04:20 Cutout trends and packer margin pressure
05:40 Imports, exports, and the role of the U.S. dollar
07:30 How currency moves impact beef trade
09:50 Cattle on Feed report breakdown
12:00 Heifer retention vs tight supply reality
15:00 Why summer placement data may look misleading
17:20 What to actually watch next

cattle market update, feeder cattle prices, cash cattle trade, winter cattle markets, cattle on feed report, heifer retention, beef demand trends, beef imports and exports, packer margins, U.S. dollar impact, livestock markets, February cattle demand

There’s a phrase in ranching that sounds noble, hardworking, and respectable: the cows come first. And while the intention behind it is good, somewhere along the way it quietly turned into a belief that ranchers exist to serve their cattle. In this solo episode, Lauren challenges that mindset head-on and makes the case for something many ranchers feel but rarely say out loud. The cows are not the boss. When cattle stop working for the ranch and start running it, burnout, inefficiency, and resentment follow. This episode breaks down where that mindset came from, why it persists, and how shifting it can change the economics, workload, and sustainability of a ranch.

Links

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• Good stewardship does not require martyrdom
• Ranchers didn’t adopt “cows come first” out of laziness, but loyalty and sacrifice
• When margins tightened, the industry response was to work harder instead of redesign systems
• Cows stop working for you when they breed late, need constant intervention, or don’t fit the forage base
• Problem cows quietly dictate labor hours, feeding schedules, and stress levels
• Sentiment often overrides performance, especially with legacy cows or “just good enough” females
• Cows don’t carry history or legacy, they carry cost
• When inefficiency runs the system, burnout follows
• High-performing cows simplify labor, tighten reproduction, and reduce stress
• Sustainable ranches ask one core question: does this cow earn her place here?

Chapters

00:00 The phrase that sounds noble but causes problems
01:45 How loyalty and sacrifice reshaped ranch decision-making
03:25 When cows stop working and start managing you
05:07 What a working cow actually looks like
06:30 Stewardship vs martyrdom
07:17 The question that changes everything
08:20 Why the next generation won’t inherit burnout
09:05 Putting control back in the rancher’s hands

ranch management, cow efficiency, cattle culling decisions, ranch burnout, sustainable ranching, stockmanship mindset, cow performance, forage-based systems, ranch labor efficiency, generational ranching, cow herd management

Dan Leahy breaks down what most ranch “apprenticeships” are missing: a written plan, a weekly cadence, and honest accountability. He walks through the Foundation for Ranch Management apprenticeship workbook page by page, explaining how ranches can map their annual ranch cycle, build a multi-year skill pathway, and run the entire program off a simple Friday meeting. The big theme is clarity. Apprentices shouldn’t be guessing what “good” looks like, and mentors shouldn’t be training in chaos with no structure. Dan also draws a hard line between job culture and ownership culture, and why the best candidates are the ones showing up with an owner’s mentality.

Links

Dan's Email - [email protected]

Nominate or request to be a guest - forms.gle/fRkvzRenh7mqkDXV7

CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• A ranch apprenticeship is already happening for most people, the difference is whether you run it on purpose or let it happen by accident.
• The job culture puts the employer in the driver’s seat. The ownership culture attracts higher-caliber candidates who want responsibility and show initiative.
• A written plan removes “different assumptions” and turns the relationship into something both sides can actually measure.
• The Friday meeting is the backbone: review the past week, plan the next week, and cover the weekend so nobody is guessing.
• The annual ranch cycle sheet forces the ranch to define what happens when, month by month, instead of running everything by memory and habit.
• The apprenticeship pathway uses a simple 1–3 rating system that rewards honesty: 1 = need to start, 2 = can do with help, 3 = can do and teach.
• Training is the most expensive thing for the ranch because it pulls the mentor away from other work, so it has to be tracked and used intentionally.
• The weekly work plan and work log show the difference between “what we thought would happen” and “what actually happened,” including hours spent on training, work, and learning.
• If an apprentice leaves early, mentors need to decide upfront if they’re committed to ranching as an industry, not just extracting value for their own place.
• Accountability works best in a high-trust environment where people can admit mistakes, learn fast, and keep moving forward instead of hiding failures.

Chapters

00:00 Intro and why this episode is the “nitty gritty” program breakdown
01:05 Job culture vs ownership culture and why mindset drives everything
04:45 How the workbook is structured and why writing it down matters
07:50 The Friday meeting system and how it prevents confusion and drift
12:10 The annual ranch cycle “capture sheet” and building a real ranch plan
17:40 Skill pathway ratings (1–3), brutal honesty, and why misrepresenting skills backfires
26:50 Weekly work plan + work log: tracking training vs work vs learning and why time matters
38:30 Making the program work long-term, turnover realities, and how to get the materials

ranch apprenticeship, ranch management, apprentice program, ranch succession, management succession, ownership mindset, job culture, ranch training, ranch mentorship, annual ranch cycle, ranch plan, weekly work plan, Friday meeting, time tracking, apprenticeship workbook, Foundation for Ranch Management, training accountability, ranch labor, ranch leadership, ranch operations

Lauren sits down with Gary Lezak for a winter weather check-in as Colorado experiences one of the most extreme snow droughts on record. They break down what’s happening in the atmosphere right now, why storm systems keep missing key regions, and how the recurring weather pattern helps identify risk windows months in advance. From winter storm threats in Texas to early signals for drought and summer heat, this episode focuses on how producers can think ahead instead of reacting late.

Links

Weather 20/20 Dashboard Discount⁠ - https://www.weather2020.com/partner/cattle-usa
Substack - https://weather2020.substack.com/
The Global Predictor App ⁠- ⁠https://www.weather2020.com/global-predictor-mobile-app
Youtube⁠ -https://www.youtube.com/@Weather2020
Follow Gary on X ⁠- https://x.com/glezak 
CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m
⁠CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/
Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/
Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusadrive.com/
CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/
Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/
Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco
The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/

Takeaways

• Colorado is experiencing its lowest snow year on record, with major implications for fire risk, water supply, and reservoirs.
• The recurring weather pattern explains why storm systems keep weakening as they move through the Rockies.
• Risk windows matter more than exact forecasts. They help identify when disruption is most likely, not just if it will happen.
• Texas sits in a higher-risk zone for winter weather impacts this week, while Kansas and Missouri are on the edge.
• The broader weather pattern is not expected to suddenly change, even as La Niña trends toward neutral.
• California has a higher-confidence storm risk window later in the winter, particularly in early March.
• Early summer heat signals are already showing up in the pattern, with potential impacts during key crop development periods.
• February and March will be critical months to determine whether drought areas expand or stabilize heading into planting season.

Chapters

00:00 Colorado snow update and setting the stage
01:50 Snow drought impacts beyond ski season
03:30 What the LRC is and how risk windows work
05:20 Winter storm risk and regional impacts
07:10 Why storms keep missing Colorado
08:40 Looking ahead to spring and summer signals
10:45 Drought watch and what to monitor next
12:30 Final thoughts on planning ahead with weather data

weather risk windows, snow drought, Colorado weather, LRC weather pattern, winter storm outlook, drought monitoring, summer heat risk, long-range weather forecasting, agricultural weather planning