Forward Guidance

Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”


Listen Later

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.


Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7

Follow Citrini on Substack https://www.citriniresearch.com/

Citrini 1-Year Anniversary Piece: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/citrindex-one-year-anniversary

Citrini, “Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/election-2024-investment-implications

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

__


Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:20) How Citrini Is Thinking About Markets Right Now

(07:21) Just How Narrow Is The AI Bull Market?

(20:04) VanEck Ad

(20:44) Election 2024: Investment Implications & Preparations

(26:18) Fannie Mae and Glass Producers

(28:34) Onshoring vs. Nearshoring Stocks

(29:48) Trump Election Would Cause Epic 2s10s Steepeners

(33:41) Deficits Under Biden, Deficits Under Trump

(37:07) Trump's Aggressive Tax Policy (TCJA Tax Cuts To Expire In 2025)

(40:13) China

(46:32) Trump on Crypto

(48:15) Would The S&P 500 Perform Better Under Biden or Trump, and Why?

(54:12) Tarriff Basket

(56:05) Tarriffs on Chinese Electric Vehicles (EVs)

(58:31) Citrini on Tesla as an AI Company And As A Robotaxi Company

(01:01:40) The Hottest New Coding Language Is English

(01:06:21) Why Software and Saas Stocks Have Underperformed

(01:09:32) Margin Of Safety Has Been Extraordinarily Diminished

(01:12:43) What Are The Odds That The Top Is In For AI Stocks?

(01:19:03) China's AI Stocks

(01:34:54) Hedging For A Recession Is Pretty Straightforward Right Now

(01:37:18) Hedging Via The VIX

(01:42:34) Citrini: "I Think I'm Underweight Nvidia Relative to the S&P 500"


__

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Forward GuidanceBy Blockworks

  • 4.6
  • 4.6
  • 4.6
  • 4.6
  • 4.6

4.6

241 ratings


More shows like Forward Guidance

View all
Top Traders Unplugged by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Top Traders Unplugged

582 Listeners

Macro Voices by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Macro Voices

3,057 Listeners

Hidden Forces by Demetri Kofinas

Hidden Forces

1,436 Listeners

Real Vision: Finance & Investing by Real Vision Podcast Network

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

913 Listeners

The Market Huddle by Patrick Ceresna & Kevin Muir

The Market Huddle

363 Listeners

What Grinds My Gears by Blockworks

What Grinds My Gears

113 Listeners

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez by Bilal Hafeez

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

93 Listeners

Eurodollar University by Jeff Snider

Eurodollar University

460 Listeners

The Grant Williams Podcast by Grant Williams

The Grant Williams Podcast

1,351 Listeners

Empire by Blockworks

Empire

164 Listeners

Supply Shock by Blockworks

Supply Shock

115 Listeners

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient by Wealthion

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

383 Listeners

The Macro Trading Floor by Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

The Macro Trading Floor

214 Listeners

Market Depth by Blockworks

Market Depth

22 Listeners

The Julia La Roche Show by Julia La Roche

The Julia La Roche Show

55 Listeners

Bell Curve by Blockworks

Bell Curve

36 Listeners

0xResearch by Blockworks

0xResearch

17 Listeners

Macro Mondays by Andreas Steno Larsen

Macro Mondays

26 Listeners

Lightspeed by Blockworks

Lightspeed

25 Listeners

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart by Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

369 Listeners

Expansion by Blockworks

Expansion

2 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

91 Listeners