LessWrong posts by zvi

“Crime and Punishment #1” by Zvi


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It's been a long time coming that I spin off Crime into its own roundup series.

This is only about Ordinary Decent Crime. High crimes are not covered here.

Table of Contents

  1. Perception Versus Reality.
  2. The Case Violent Crime is Up Actually.
  3. Threats of Punishment.
  4. Property Crime Enforcement is Broken.
  5. The Problem of Disorder.
  6. Extreme Speeding as Disorder.
  7. Enforcement and the Lack Thereof.
  8. Talking Under The Streetlamp.
  9. The Fall of Extralegal and Illegible Enforcement.
  10. In America You Can Usually Just Keep Their Money.
  11. Police.
  12. Probation.
  13. Genetic Databases.
  14. Marijuana.
  15. The Economics of Fentanyl.
  16. Jails.
  17. Criminals.
  18. Causes of Crime.
  19. Causes of Violence.
  20. Homelessness.
  21. Yay Trivial Inconveniences.
  22. San Francisco.
  23. Closing Down San Francisco.
  24. A San Francisco Dispute.
  25. Cleaning Up San Francisco.
  26. Portland.
  27. Those Who Do Not Help Themselves.
  28. Solving for the Equilibrium (1).
  29. Solving for the Equilibrium (2).
  30. Lead.
  31. Law & Order.
  32. Look Out.
  33. Perception Versus Reality

    A lot of the impact of crime is based on the perception of crime.

    The [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (00:20) Perception Versus Reality

    (05:00) The Case Violent Crime is Up Actually

    (06:10) Threats of Punishment

    (07:03) Property Crime Enforcement is Broken

    (12:13) The Problem of Disorder

    (14:39) Extreme Speeding as Disorder

    (15:57) Enforcement and the Lack Thereof

    (20:24) Talking Under The Streetlamp

    (23:54) The Fall of Extralegal and Illegible Enforcement

    (25:18) In America You Can Usually Just Keep Their Money

    (27:29) Police

    (37:31) Probation

    (40:55) Genetic Databases

    (43:04) Marijuana

    (48:28) The Economics of Fentanyl

    (50:59) Jails

    (55:03) Criminals

    (55:39) Causes of Crime

    (56:16) Causes of Violence

    (57:35) Homelessness

    (58:27) Yay Trivial Inconveniences

    (59:08) San Francisco

    (01:04:07) Closing Down San Francisco

    (01:05:30) A San Francisco Dispute

    (01:09:13) Cleaning Up San Francisco

    (01:13:05) Portland

    (01:13:15) Those Who Do Not Help Themselves

    (01:15:15) Solving for the Equilibrium (1)

    (01:20:15) Solving for the Equilibrium (2)

    (01:20:43) Lead

    (01:22:18) Law & Order

    (01:22:58) Look Out

    ---

    First published:

    November 3rd, 2025

    Source:

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tt9JKubsa8jsCsfD5/crime-and-punishment-1-1

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

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