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Deficit Spending Will Send S&P 500 To 6,000 And Beyond | George Robertson & Mel Mattison on the True Risk-Free Rate and The Fed's Control of The Treasury Market
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
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This interview with George Robertson and Mel Mattison explores why deficit spending will send stocks and risky assets higher. We also discuss the true risk-free rate and the Federal Reserve’s control over the Treasury Market, nominal GDP’s relationship to interest rates, and stock market valuations that could lead to a collapse in 2027.
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Follow George Robertson on Twitter https://x.com/BickerinBrattle
Follow Mel Mattison on Twitter https://x.com/MelMattison1
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
__
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:26 Why George Robertson Is Bullish
04:12 Are Fiscal Deficits Juicing the Economy?
05:43 Impact Of Passive Fund Flows On The Market
09:33 Unemployment And The Labor Market
13:22 Government Spending And The Economy
20:16 GDP Is Booming
21:13 VanEck Ad
26:40 The Fed Is Looking For A Reason To Cut Rates
30:47 Are Higher Rates Stimulating The Economy?
35:46 Nominal GDP And Interest Rates
52:18 How The Fed Controls The Yield Curve
56:47 Rates Are Artificially Low
01:18:05 How The Fed Manipulates Treasury Rates
01:29:15 Market Distortions Pushing Risk Assets Higher
01:34:09 Stock Market Boom, Earnings & Valuations
01:59:54 Market Bubble Will Eventually Collapse
02:03:26 Reforming Entitlement Spending
02:08:36 The US Will Solve All Problems
02:15:34 The Ticking Time Bomb Of US Debt
02:24:07 How The 2024 Election Impacts The Economy
02:30:26 Learn More About George And Mel's Work
02:32:15 Thoughts On Small Caps
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
View all episodes
By Blockworks
4.5
249249 ratings
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
--
This interview with George Robertson and Mel Mattison explores why deficit spending will send stocks and risky assets higher. We also discuss the true risk-free rate and the Federal Reserve’s control over the Treasury Market, nominal GDP’s relationship to interest rates, and stock market valuations that could lead to a collapse in 2027.
__
Follow George Robertson on Twitter https://x.com/BickerinBrattle
Follow Mel Mattison on Twitter https://x.com/MelMattison1
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
__
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:26 Why George Robertson Is Bullish
04:12 Are Fiscal Deficits Juicing the Economy?
05:43 Impact Of Passive Fund Flows On The Market
09:33 Unemployment And The Labor Market
13:22 Government Spending And The Economy
20:16 GDP Is Booming
21:13 VanEck Ad
26:40 The Fed Is Looking For A Reason To Cut Rates
30:47 Are Higher Rates Stimulating The Economy?
35:46 Nominal GDP And Interest Rates
52:18 How The Fed Controls The Yield Curve
56:47 Rates Are Artificially Low
01:18:05 How The Fed Manipulates Treasury Rates
01:29:15 Market Distortions Pushing Risk Assets Higher
01:34:09 Stock Market Boom, Earnings & Valuations
01:59:54 Market Bubble Will Eventually Collapse
02:03:26 Reforming Entitlement Spending
02:08:36 The US Will Solve All Problems
02:15:34 The Ticking Time Bomb Of US Debt
02:24:07 How The 2024 Election Impacts The Economy
02:30:26 Learn More About George And Mel's Work
02:32:15 Thoughts On Small Caps
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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