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In this episode, David Cervantes and DCP join the show to discuss the FOMC post-mortem, the similarities to the 90s business cycle, and managing emotions in markets. We also reflect on the COVID crash, dig into expectations for 2025, and much more. Enjoy!
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Follow David Cervantes: https://x.com/EconstratPB
David’s Substack: https://substack.com/@pinebrookcap
Follow DCP: https://x.com/Dcpcooks
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
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SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork
GlobalStake delivers institutional-grade staking with self-owned, SOC2-certified bare-metal infrastructure, carbon-negative operations, and comprehensive security. Enjoy competitive pricing, decentralized operations, and slashing insurance backed by top-rated carriers. Learn more at globalstake.io
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:12) Donnie’s Background
(08:00) David’s Trading Framework
(09:08) FOMC Post-Mortem
(19:19) Fed Guidance & Market Surprises
(21:49) DCP’s Edge
(23:55) New Government Regime
(24:49) Reflecting On Trades
(26:28) Similarities To The 90s
(30:45) Ads
(31:58) Interview Continues
(33:11) So You Want To Be A Trader?
(35:05) We’re Mid-Cycle, Not Late-Cycle
(37:05) Managing Emotions
(40:43) Trading Wisdom
(44:52) Reflecting On The COVID Crash
(51:55) Trading Insights
(53:53) Trading Bonds Vs ES
(59:16) 2025 Expectations
(01:05:15) Trump & The Deficit
(01:07:08) Closing
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
4.5
236236 ratings
In this episode, David Cervantes and DCP join the show to discuss the FOMC post-mortem, the similarities to the 90s business cycle, and managing emotions in markets. We also reflect on the COVID crash, dig into expectations for 2025, and much more. Enjoy!
__
Follow David Cervantes: https://x.com/EconstratPB
David’s Substack: https://substack.com/@pinebrookcap
Follow DCP: https://x.com/Dcpcooks
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
__
SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork
GlobalStake delivers institutional-grade staking with self-owned, SOC2-certified bare-metal infrastructure, carbon-negative operations, and comprehensive security. Enjoy competitive pricing, decentralized operations, and slashing insurance backed by top-rated carriers. Learn more at globalstake.io
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:12) Donnie’s Background
(08:00) David’s Trading Framework
(09:08) FOMC Post-Mortem
(19:19) Fed Guidance & Market Surprises
(21:49) DCP’s Edge
(23:55) New Government Regime
(24:49) Reflecting On Trades
(26:28) Similarities To The 90s
(30:45) Ads
(31:58) Interview Continues
(33:11) So You Want To Be A Trader?
(35:05) We’re Mid-Cycle, Not Late-Cycle
(37:05) Managing Emotions
(40:43) Trading Wisdom
(44:52) Reflecting On The COVID Crash
(51:55) Trading Insights
(53:53) Trading Bonds Vs ES
(59:16) 2025 Expectations
(01:05:15) Trump & The Deficit
(01:07:08) Closing
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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