Inflection Point

To bring us into the new year, Michael Ippolito & Jack Farley take viewers on an audio-visual guided tour of the most salient macro topics for 2022. They analyze a series of charts that illustrate the most important issues, such as factor rotation in equities, what banks are doing with all their money, and why the interest rate futures market (i.e. Eurodollar futures) has a different view on the future path of interest rates than the Federal Reserve’s own forecasts.

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Ledger:

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In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Russell Clark. With a wealth of knowledge that spans over 20 years as both an Investment Analyst and CIO/CEO of Russell Clark Investment Management, Russell shares his outlook on Japan as a model for the U.S, China's rise post globalization, the connection between food & inflation, what is the end game for QE, Russell's outlook on Bitcoin and so much more.

Here you can follow Russell's Substack for his latest thoughts: https://www.russell-clark.com/

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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In this extra special weekly round up, Mark and I are joined by "Hollywood" Jack Farley, welcome Jack!

We kicked things off with Trump's recent comments about crypto. Despite his wife Melania launching an NFT project on Solana, it would seem he is not a fan! Next, we moved onto Jack Dorsey's comments on Web 3. We provided context about recent pushback of NFTs from the Discord and Ubisoft communities, and asked why this pushback felt so emotional.

Finally, we concluded by covering Erdogan's bid to prop up the Lira and compared it to some of the financial experimentation pioneered in crypto.

Happy HODL days all!

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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In this episode of On The Margin Mike & Jack are joined by Harley Bassman otherwise known as 'The Convexity Maven'. Harley has spent over 35 years working at some of the largest firms including Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, PIMCO and now Simplify Asset Management. With an expert understanding of options, volatility & derivatives, we invited Harley for a masterclass on how investors can hedge in this market environment. Harley shares his insights into M2 money supply growth's effect on inflation, how demographics predict bond yields, what investors outlook should be for the traditional 60/40 portfolio, using the yield curve to predict recessions and so much more!

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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In this week's episode, Mark and I start off with Ray Dalio's comments about Bitcoin, Gold and Ethereum. Spoiler alert - minds are being changed! Next we get into the increasing politicization of crypto, and the battle lines being drawn between the Dems and the GOP.

Next we get into breadth in the Nasdaq as a potential sign of worry (thanks Bear O'Shea for the flag!), record stock buybacks amidst insider selling, and finally the growing percentage of net income explained by the stock market.

We end this week's episode on a philosophical question - is ALL growth just a result of money illusion? For the answer to that, you'll have to listen in.

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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OurCrowd:

Join the fastest growing venture capital investment community, at https://www.ourcrowd.com/otm

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On The Margin is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors.

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In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by returning guest Avi Felman. Avi is the Co Portfolio Manager at BlockTower Capital and joins us to share his updated outlook on the market. Avi discusses the key trends in the crypto market from Bitcoin & Ethereum, value vs momentum, the layer-1 wars & more.

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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OurCrowd:

Join the fastest growing venture capital investment community, at https://www.ourcrowd.com/otm

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On The Margin is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors.

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In this week's episode, Mark returns from his two week hiatus (woo!). We quickly got into November's 6.8% CPI print, which was the highest in 39 years. We discussed the factors driving inflation, and whether or not they pointed towards transitory or permanent inflation.

Next we covered the Evergrande default, and whether or not the resultant fall out is cause for concern. We moved through skyrocketing household debt, a slowing global credit impulse, and whether or not the world is headed for "Japanification."

Finally, we ended on Mark and my thoughts on where Bitcoin is headed next. Tune in to find out more.

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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Coinbase Prime:

On The Margin is supported by Coinbase Prime, an integrated solution that provides advanced multi-venue trading, custody, and prime services for institutions.

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In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Ryan Selkis Co-Founder & CEO at Messari. Having released the 150+ page 'Crypto Theses for 2022' report, we invited Ryan to the show to discuss the most important trends to look out for in the industry. Mike & Ryan discuss the Layer-1 wars, venture capital investment in crypto, NFTs 100x potential, regulation for crypto & DAOs, Ryan's market outlook for 2022 & so much more.

Link to the full report - https://messari.io/crypto-theses-for-2022

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

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Coinbase Prime:

On The Margin is supported by Coinbase Prime, an integrated solution that provides advanced multi-venue trading, custody, and prime services for institutions.

For more information go to https://onthemargin.link/coinbase

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OurCrowd:

Join the fastest growing venture capital investment community, at https://www.ourcrowd.com/otm

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With Mark out, we have special guest filling in, Blockworks’ video journalist Jack Farley. We make sense of the recent bout of market volatility, with bond yields plummeting and tech stocks selling off hard. Mike and Jack explore market anomalies such as stay-at-home darlings like Zoom ($ZM) failing to serve as hedge against bad COVID news, and the tremendous surge in the VIX despite the fact that the S&P 500 is only a few points below its all-time-high.

We also talk yield curve flattening, inflation’s threat to the 60/40 portfolio, and why the Bitcoin’s dominance might fade over time in the crypto universe.

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

--

Coinbase Prime:

On The Margin is supported by Coinbase Prime, an integrated solution that provides advanced multi-venue trading, custody, and prime services for institutions.

For more information go to https://onthemargin.link/coinbase

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OurCrowd:

Join the fastest growing venture capital investment community, at https://www.ourcrowd.com/otm

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On the Margin is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors. For more content like this, subscribe to Blockworks' free daily newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/

For more content like On the Margin, visit http://blockworks.co/podcasts.

In this episode of On The Margin Mike is joined by Into The Cryptoverse CEO Benjamin Cowen. Ben is a cryptocurrency market analyst providing education to his 600,000+ subscribers about the metrics that are driving the market. In this episode we discuss Plan B's Stock to Flow Model, Ben's diminishing returns thesis, crypto market cycles, institutional demand for Bitcoin, how to prepare for the next bear market and so much more.

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Ledger:

This episode is brought to you by Ledger, your secure gateway to buy, exchange and grow your crypto.

Combine a Ledger hardware wallet with the Ledger Live app to access all your favorite crypto services & DApps from one place. All that with the best security.

Visit https://onthemargin.link/ledger and make your crypto journey easier and safer.

--

Coinbase Prime:

On The Margin is supported by Coinbase Prime, an integrated solution that provides advanced multi-venue trading, custody, and prime services for institutions.

For more information go to https://onthemargin.link/coinbase

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On the Margin is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors. For more content like this, subscribe to Blockworks' free daily newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/