LessWrong posts by zvi

“Monthly Roundup #36: November 2025” by Zvi


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Happy Gemini Week to those who celebrate. Coverage of the new release will begin on Friday. Meanwhile, here's this month's things that don’t go anywhere else.

Good News, Everyone

Google has partnered with Polymarket to include Polymarket odds into Google Search and Google Finance. This is fantastic and suggests we should expand the number of related markets on Polymarket.

In many ways Polymarket prediction markets are remarkably accurate, but here what we have is a Brier Score without a baseline of what we should expect as a baseline. You need to compare your Brier Score to scores on exactly the same events, or it doesn’t mean much. There's a lot to be made on Polymarket if you pay attention.

A proposed ‘21st Century Civilization Curriculum’ for discussion groups. There's an interestingly high number of book reviews involved as opposed to the actual books. I get one post in at the end, which turns out to be Quotes From Moral Mazes, so I’m not sure it counts but the curation is hopefully doing important work there.

Wylfa in North Wales will host the UK's first small modular nuclear reactors, government to invest 2.5 billion.

[...]

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Outline:

(00:23) Good News, Everyone

(01:40) Good Advice

(02:45) Where's The Party?

(03:04) Antisocial Media

(06:28) Government Working

(17:14) Jones Act Watch

(17:54) Variously Effective Altruism

(20:56) Great Taste, Less Filling

(24:14) How You Do Anything

(25:13) Bad News

(28:34) The Rage of the Plastic Straw Ban

(30:55) Affordability Politics

(31:30) Monks In The Casino

(32:05) Procrastination Is Bad Actually

(32:55) Many Successful People Adjust Behaviors More

(34:43) Take The Money And Run

(36:50) Work Harder

(37:26) Work Smarter

(38:22) Anti-Suicide Chairs

(38:51) The Great American Songbook

(42:04) For Your Entertainment

(44:14) The Subscription Package Dance

(45:51) Was Television Better Before?

(47:52) The Joys Of Partial Task Automation

(48:36) Gamers Gonna Game Game Game Game Game

(51:35) Sports Go Sports

(01:01:11) Sometimes People Cheat At Poker

(01:02:37) Opportunity Knocks

(01:03:28) The Lighter Side

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First published:

November 19th, 2025

Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EWD6NBTaNt8TpwrkW/monthly-roundup-36-november-2025

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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