LessWrong posts by zvi

“OpenAI Preparedness Framework 2.0” by Zvi

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Right before releasing o3, OpenAI updated its Preparedness Framework to 2.0.
I previously wrote an analysis of the Preparedness Framework 1.0. I still stand by essentially everything I wrote in that analysis, which I reread to prepare before reading the 2.0 framework. If you want to dive deep, I recommend starting there, as this post will focus on changes from 1.0 to 2.0.
As always, I thank OpenAI for the document, and laying out their approach and plans.
I have several fundamental disagreements with the thinking behind this document.
In particular:
  1. The Preparedness Framework only applies to specific named and measurable things that might go wrong. It requires identification of a particular threat model that is all of: Plausible, measurable, severe, net new and (instantaneous or irremediable).
  2. The Preparedness Framework thinks ‘ordinary’ mitigation defense-in-depth strategies will be sufficient to handle High-level threats and likely even Critical-level [...]

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    Outline:

    (02:05) Persuaded to Not Worry About It

    (08:55) The Medium Place

    (10:40) Thresholds and Adjustments

    (16:08) Release the Kraken Anyway, We Took Precautions

    (20:16) Misaligned!

    (23:47) The Safeguarding Process

    (26:43) But Mom, Everyone Is Doing It

    (29:36) Mission Critical

    (30:37) Research Areas

    (32:26) Long-Range Autonomy

    (32:51) Sandbagging

    (33:18) Replication and Adaptation

    (34:07) Undermining Safeguards

    (35:30) Nuclear and Radiological

    (35:53) Measuring Capabilities

    (38:06) Questions of Governance

    (41:10) Don't Be Nervous, Don't Be Flustered, Don't Be Scared, Be Prepared

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    First published:

    May 2nd, 2025

    Source:

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MsojzMC4WwxX3hjPn/openai-preparedness-framework-2-0

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    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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