The USDA’s June 1, 2025 Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) reforms will radically reshape dairy economics, reversing a flawed 2018 policy that cost farmers $725 million during the pandemic. While restoring the “higher-of” formula benefits some, controversial processor-friendly make allowances could strip $56,000 annually from 100-cow operations. Regional disparities will create clear winners (Northeast) and losers (Midwest, California), with urgent adaptation required as competitors already pivot strategies. The clock is ticking—81 days remain to restructure contracts, risk management, and production plans.

Key Points

1. The “Higher-of” Formula Restoration

• Reverses the 2018 Farm Bill’s flawed “average + $0.74” formula that transferred $725M from farmers to processors during COVID-19.

• Class I milk pricing returns to the “higher of” Class III/IV values, correcting pandemic-era losses.

2. Processor Victory: Make Allowance Surges

• 25–42% increases in manufacturing cost margins (e.g., cheese: +25.8%, butter: +32.5%, nonfat dry milk: +42.6%).

• Could reduce Class III prices by 90¢/cwt and Class IV by 85¢/cwt if applied retroactively (2019–2023).

3. Regional Warfare

• Northeast Wins: High Class I utilization and new processing plants (e.g., New York’s $650M Fairlife facility) create growth opportunities.

• Midwest/California Lose: Upper Midwest faces $177M pool value loss; California risks $94M reduction due to Class III/IV reliance.

4. Component Changes Delayed Until December 2025

• True protein (3.1% → 3.3%) and other solids (5.9% → 6.0%) updates incentivize component production but exclude butterfat adjustments.

• Six-month delay could cost farmers $100M+ in lost revenue.

5. Hedging Overhaul Required

• Removal of 500-lb barrel cheese from pricing calculations increases butterfat risk.

• Recalibrate strategies with risk management specialists immediately.

Critical Quotes

• Douglas: “The return to the ‘higher-of’ formula isn’t a gift—it’s returning what was stolen in 2018.”

• Zippy Duvall (Farm Bureau): “USDA’s voluntary processor survey skews make allowances against farmers.”

• Mark Stephenson (Dairy Economist): “Co-ops must renegotiate premiums to offset processor gains.”

Timeline

• June 1, 2025: FMMO reforms take effect (81 days from recording).

• December 1, 2025: Component factor updates (protein/solids) begin.

Resources

• USDA Final Rule (Jan 17, 2025)

• Farm Bureau Analysis

• Full Article on The Bullvine

Call to Action

Visit TheBullvine.com for region-specific survival toolkits, hedging guides, and component optimization strategies. Subscribe to stay ahead of dairy’s seismic shifts!

“Your competitors aren’t waiting—adapt now or perish later.” – Douglas Miller

https://www.thebullvine.com/dairy-markets/dairys-81-day-reckoning-3-states-that-win-5-facing-financial-bloodbath/

Hosts Bella and Douglas explore whether modern genomic breeding tools have truly eliminated the role of luck in dairy breeding. They discuss fascinating historical “lucky breaks” that shaped Holstein genetics, examine the limitations of current genomic technology, and offer practical strategies for breeders navigating the upcoming April 2025 genetic evaluation updates. This episode reveals that despite scientific advances, chance still plays a significant role in breeding success.

Topics Covered

• The 75% Solution: The reliability limits of genomic prediction tools (2:15)

• Historical Lucky Breaks: How chance events created legendary Holstein bloodlines (7:30)

• The Missing Telephone: The Spring Brook Bess Burke story (9:45)

• The Injured Leg: How Montvic Pathfinder changed Holstein history (15:20)

• The Change of Clothes: The creation of A.B.C. Reflection Sovereign (22:40)

• When Your AI Guy Says “Sorry”: The Almerson Sovereign Supreme story (27:15)

• The 25-35% Gap: What genomics still can’t predict (31:05)

• ROI on Genomic Testing: Financial perspective on testing (35:20)

• April 2025 Updates: Practical advice for the coming changes (39:30)

• Four Strategies: Balancing science and serendipity (47:30)

Key Takeaways

1. Genomic selection offers approximately 75% reliability for production traits, leaving 25-35% of genetic potential unpredictable

2. Some of Holstein history’s most influential bloodlines resulted from chance events and “backup plans”

3. The April 2025 genetic evaluation updates will require breeders to recalibrate their selection thresholds

4. Genomic testing offers an ROI of $75-$200 per animal tested despite its limitations

5. Successful breeding requires balancing scientific precision with openness to unexpected opportunities

Notable Quotes

“The 2025 base change is bigger than previous adjustments, but this is good news! It means that our cows are improving faster than ever.”

• Chuck Sattler, Select Sires

“As I look back now, it was indeed fortunate that we did not have a telephone and that those calves never came to our farm.”

• A.J. Lashbrook (historical quote)

“The genetics have not changed, and the animals themselves have not changed. What has changed is how we view an animal’s genetic superiority.”

• ABS Global

Resources Mentioned

• Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding (CDCB): April 2025 genetic evaluation updates

• Journal of Dairy Science: Research on genomic reliability percentages

• USDA Agricultural Research Service: Net Merit index formula changes

• Select Sires & ABS Global: Industry perspectives on the base change

Connect With Us

Share your “lucky break” breeding story with us on The Bullvine website or tag us on social media with #BullvineLuckyBreaks!

https://www.thebullvine.com/genomics/lucky-or-calculated-the-surprising-truth-about-genomics-and-luck-in-dairy-breeding/

Discover how Kingsway Holsteins, a modest-sized family farm, became Canada’s #2 breeder of Excellent cows through passion, precision, and community roots.

Key Topics Covered

1. Kingsway’s recognition as Canada’s #2 breeder of Excellent cows

2. The McMillan family’s multi-generational commitment to dairy farming

3. Kingsway’s breeding philosophy and approach to genetics

4. Arangatang: The legendary cow that changed everything

5. Global impact of Kingsway genetics

6. Balancing tradition with innovation in modern dairy farming

7. Community involvement and diversification beyond dairy

Highlighted Segments

• 00:05:30 The significance of being named Canada’s #2 breeder of Excellent cows

• 00:12:45 Kingsway’s balanced approach to using proven sires and genomic advancements

• 00:18:20 The extraordinary story of Arangatang and her 18 Excellent daughters

• 00:25:40 How the youngest McMillans are learning the family business

• 00:32:15 The unique tradition of including prize cows in family wedding photos

• 00:38:50 Kingsway’s success stories in international show rings and herds

• 00:45:30 Navigating challenges in modern dairy farming

• 00:52:10 The McMillan family’s community involvement beyond the farm

Notable Quotes

• “Farming has been something that we have always known growing up.” - Morgan McMillan

• “There’s something special about watching a young heifer develop into exactly what you envisioned when you planned that mating.” - Morgan McMillan

• “Being consistent everyday and doing your best to do the little things right will pay off in the end.” - Morgan McMillan’s advice to young breeders

https://www.thebullvine.com/breeder-profiles/the-heart-of-excellence-getting-to-know-the-family-behind-kingsway-holsteins/

In this episode, Bella Thompson and Douglas Miller explore five groundbreaking calf rearing strategies that are transforming dairy operations across the country. Learn how pair housing, extended colostrum feeding, stress-free weaning, strategic hay introduction, and immunity-boosting nutrition can deliver a remarkable $4.20 return for every dollar invested. Packed with actionable tips, real-world farmer testimonials, and expert insights, this episode will inspire you to rethink your calf program and unlock its full potential.

Key Topics Covered:

1. The Blind Spot in Calf Rearing: Why the first 60 days of a calf's life represent the highest-return investment opportunity on your farm.

2. Pair Housing Benefits: How housing calves in pairs improves feed intake, reduces cross-sucking behaviors, and enhances growth.

3. Extended Colostrum Feeding: The untapped potential of colostrum beyond day one to improve gut health and reduce scours.

4. Stress-Free Weaning: Gradual weaning methods that slash post-weaning illness rates from 34% to as low as 12%.

5. The Hay Paradox: Why moderate-quality hay outperforms premium alfalfa for rumen development.

6. Immunity-Boosting Nutrition: Using probiotics and zinc supplementation to reduce antibiotic reliance and enhance calf health.

Practical Implementation Tips:

• Start small with one strategy—pair housing, extended colostrum feeding, or stress-free weaning—and measure results before scaling up.

• Use tools like Brix refractometers for colostrum quality testing or smart collars for data-driven weaning decisions.

• Collaborate with neighboring farms to share resources like pasteurizers or specialized calf facilities.

Episode Highlights:

• ROI Breakdown: How implementing these strategies delivers a net economic impact of $477 per calf within 18 months.

• Male Calves as Profit Centers: Transform bull calves into revenue streams through dairy-beef crossbreeding programs.

• Consumer Trends: Aligning calf welfare practices with consumer demand for antibiotic-free and grass-fed dairy products.

https://www.thebullvine.com/management/revolutionizing-calf-rearing-5-game-changing-nutrition-strategies-that-deliver-4-20-roi-for-every-dollar-invested/

In recognition of International Women’s Day 2025, this episode examines the changing landscape for women in the dairy industry. Using the latest data from the IDFA’s 2025 State of Women in Dairy report, hosts Bella and Douglas explore both the remarkable progress women have made in dairy leadership and the persistent challenges they continue to face. From technological innovations to economic implications, this episode offers a comprehensive look at how women are reshaping dairy’s future.

Key Topics and Timestamps:

• 00:00 - 02:30: Introduction and episode overview

• 02:30 - 07:45: Women’s changing roles in modern dairy operations

• 07:45 - 14:20: Historical context of women in dairy farming

• 14:20 - 21:15: Female trailblazers in leadership positions

• 21:15 - 27:30: How technology is leveling the playing field

• 27:30 - 34:15: The business case for women’s leadership

• 34:15 - 40:30: Networks and programs accelerating women’s advancement

• 40:30 - 46:45: Persistent challenges and barriers

• 46:45 - 52:00: Future outlook for women in dairy

• 52:00 - 55:00: Conclusion and calls to action

Key Statistics Mentioned:

• 54% of women in dairy are asking for promotions vs. 47% of men

• 62% of women receive promotions when asked - equal to men’s success rate

• 48% of women believe they have fewer advancement opportunities than men

• 55% of women believe gender negatively impacts their compensation vs. only 5% of men

• 41% of Gen Z and Millennial women believe gender will make career advancement harder

• 29% of female frontline employees have left jobs due to lack of opportunities

• 63% of women expressed satisfaction with career advancement opportunities

Notable Quotes:

• “The question is no longer whether women can lead in dairy, but how quickly the industry will transform to fully leverage the talent, perspective, and innovation that women have always brought to agriculture.”

• “What’s most revolutionary about this technological shift is how it’s rendering outdated gender assumptions obsolete.”

• “If more than half of women feel their contributions aren’t being fairly compensated, how long will they stay in dairy when other agricultural and food sectors are actively recruiting diverse talent?”

People and Organizations Mentioned:

• Becky Rasdall Vargas, Senior Vice President at IDFA

• Jackie Klippenstein, Senior Vice President at Dairy Farmers of America

• Mary Creek, third-generation dairy farmer from Hagerstown, Maryland

• International Dairy Foods Association (IDFA)

• Women in Dairy network

• Dairy Girl Network

• National Milk Producers Federation

• Newtrient

https://www.thebullvine.com/dairy-industry-professionals/women-shattering-dairys-glass-ceiling-leadership-innovation-and-the-fight-for-equality-in-2025/

n this episode of The Bullvine Podcast, Bella and Douglas explore the extraordinary life and legacy of Pawnee Farm Arlinda Chief, the Holstein bull whose genetics revolutionized global dairy farming. Born in 1962, Chief’s unprecedented influence reshaped milk production and fundamentally altered the Holstein breed. But his story is more than one of triumph—it’s also a cautionary tale about the risks of genetic concentration and the unforeseen consequences of selective breeding. From Chief’s humble beginnings in Nebraska to his lasting impact on modern genomics, this episode dives deep into one of dairy farming’s most influential chapters.

https://www.thebullvine.com/sire-spotlight/the-4300-gamble-that-reshaped-global-dairy-industry-the-pawnee-farm-arlinda-chief-story/

Key Topics Covered:

1. The Visionary Breeder: Lester Fishler

• Fishler’s journey from adversity to becoming a “Holstein breeding wizard.”

• The pivotal role of Canadian genetics, including Glenvue Clipper and Rosafe Pearl Hannibal, in shaping Chief’s pedigree.

2. The $4,300 Gamble

• The 1962 Pawnee Farm dispersal sale near Central City, Nebraska.

• Wally Lindskoog’s purchase of Pawnee Farm Glenvue Beauty and her subsequent journey to California.

3. The Birth of a Legend

• Chief’s birth on May 9, 1962, and his near-death experience with bloat at eight months old.

• How Chief got his name from Dave Risling during a visit to Arlinda Farms.

4. Chief’s Genetic Legacy

• His record-breaking daughters, including Beecher Arlinda Ellen, the first cow to produce over 55,000 pounds of milk in a year.

• The contributions of his sons like Walkway Chief Mark and S-W-D Valiant in shaping modern Holstein genetics.

5. The Hidden Cost: APAF1 Mutation

• Discovery of the lethal recessive mutation linked to Chief, responsible for 500,000 spontaneous abortions and $420 million in losses.

• How genomic tools now help breeders manage this mutation.

6. Modern Genomics and Lessons for Breeders

• How genomic testing could have amplified Chief’s strengths while mitigating weaknesses like udder conformation issues.

• The importance of balancing genetic progress with diversity to ensure long-term sustainability.

7. Chief vs. Elevation: A Tale of Two Titans

• Comparing Chief’s milk production prowess with Elevation’s type improvement traits and how their combined influence shaped the modern Holstein cow.

Key Takeaways:

• Revolutionary Genetics: Chief contributed nearly 15% to today’s Holstein genome, transforming milk production capabilities worldwide.

• Unforeseen Challenges: His APAF1 mutation caused significant losses but highlighted the importance of genomic testing in avoiding genetic recessives.

• Lessons for Breeders: Balance production gains with genetic diversity to ensure sustainable herd health and profitability.

• Modern Genomics: Today’s tools provide opportunities to amplify strengths while mitigating risks associated with concentrated bloodlines.

Related Articles on The Bullvine:

• The Four Nations Cup of Holstein Genetics: A Global Dairy Showdown

• The Ultimate Guide to Breeding Dairy Cattle: Tips for Optimal Milk Production

• Elite Holstein Genetics Shine in 2024 BAA Rankings!

Call-to-Action:

If you enjoyed today’s episode, subscribe to The Bullvine Podcast on your favorite platform and leave us a review! Visit www.thebullvine.com for more articles on dairy farming and cattle breeding, or connect with us on social media for updates and discussions.

Key Points Discussed:

1. Current State of the U.S. Dairy Industry

• Heifer inventory at 47-year low: 3.914 million head

• Springer prices exceeding $4,000 per head

• 70% of dairies now breeding to beef bulls

2. Beef-Dairy Crossbreeding Trend

• Economic benefits: Beef-cross calves selling for $1,200+

• Long-term risks: Depleting future dairy herd replacements

• Strategies: Sexed semen for top cows, beef bulls for lower tiers

3. HPAI (Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza) Impact

• 18% less milk production in first lactation for affected heifers

• 9% of exposed heifers showing ovarian scarring

• Regional variations in impact on conception rates and puberty onset

4. Regional Challenges

• California: Severe water shortages, high culling rates

• Texas: Aggressive expansion, reliance on Mexico exports

• Midwest: Aging herds, innovative co-op solutions

5. Genetic Concerns

• Slowdown in milk EPD (Expected Progeny Difference) improvements

• Projected 4% yield loss by 2030 if current trends continue

• “Frozen 500” program and CRISPR technology as potential solutions

6. Policy and Trade Issues

• USDA Heifer Insurance Pilot program details

• Potential tariffs from Mexico and Canada affecting dairy-beef trade

• Importance of farmer engagement in policy discussions

7. Success Story: Klecker Dairy in Wisconsin

• Implemented strategic use of sexed semen

• Early genomic testing and culling

• Participation in heifer time-sharing program

8. Economic Challenges

• Rising input costs outpacing milk price increases

• Break-even pregnancy rates approaching 85% for some farms

9. Action Plan for Farmers

• Immediate steps: EPD audits, securing springer contracts, USDA insurance enrollment

• Long-term strategies: Investing in advanced genetics, policy engagement, balanced breeding approach

Notable Quotes:

• “We’re burning through generations of genetics to pay the feed bill.” - Sarah Klecker, Wisconsin dairy farmer

• “At $23 milk, I need 85% pregnancies just to break even. We’re stuck at 78%. Something’s gotta give.” - Jed Collins, Wisconsin dairy farmer

• “The next generation of dairy doesn’t need heroes - it needs fighters who’ll plant trees knowing they may never taste the fruit.” - Douglas Miller

Resources Mentioned:

• USDA January Report on heifer inventory

• Texas A&M research on HPAI impacts

• Purdue University economic projections

• Holstein Association’s “Frozen 500” program

• UC Davis CRISPR embryo research

• USDA Heifer Insurance Pilot program

Call to Action:

Farmers are urged to:

1. Conduct EBV audits and make tough culling decisions

2. Secure springer contracts before summer price spikes

3. Enroll in USDA Heifer Insurance by March 31st deadline

4. Consider investing in advanced genetics like CRISPR embryos

5. Engage in policy advocacy

6. Shift at least 15% of breeding back to dairy bulls

https://www.thebullvine.com/management/where-will-tomorrows-dairy-herds-come-from-u-s-farmers-navigate-historic-heifer-crisis/

In this episode, hosts Bella and Douglas explore the extraordinary story of Decrausaz Iron O’Kalibra, a Swiss-bred Holstein who revolutionized global perceptions of European dairy cattle.

Key Points Discussed:

1. O’Kalibra’s origins and early life

• Born September 4, 2008, in Switzerland

• Bred by Fredy Decrausaz and sons

• Sired by Boss Iron

2. Show ring achievements

• Three-time Supreme Champion at Swiss Expo (2012, 2013, 2015)

• European Champion at All-European Holstein Show (2013)

3. Classification excellence

• First Swiss cow to achieve EX-97 classification

• Exceptional scores in dairy form, mammary system, and overall conformation

4. Production records

• Lifetime production: 94,000 kg (206,800 lbs) of milk

• Peak lactation: 14,247 kg as a four-year-old

5. Genetic impact and legacy

• Influential sons in AI: O’Kalif and O’Kaliber

• Notable descendants: Erbacres Snapple Shakira (EX-97-2E)

• Recent show ring successes of descendants (Schau der Besten 2025)

6. Global recognition

• Two-time Holstein International World Champion (2013, 2015)

• Named All-Time World Champion by Holstein International (2021)

7. Impact on global Holstein breeding

• Challenged North American dominance in Holstein breeding

• Demonstrated the potential of European genetics on a global scale

Featured Quotes:
“What caught our attention was her massive frame, wide chest, and high-quality udder. She was the kind of cow that could look after herself and never had a bad day. In addition to that, she milked like crazy.” - Pat Conroy

“Cows that have some power and strength, yet are still dairy, will ultimately outlast and out milk the high style younger cows that seem to be one-hit wonders. I think that Iron O’Kalibra is one example that proves this fact to be true.” - Pat Conroy

Takeaways for Breeders:

• Importance of balanced breeding goals (conformation and production)

• Value of strong cow families and consistent breeding philosophies

• Potential for excellence to emerge from any geographical location

https://www.thebullvine.com/donor-profile/decrausaz-iron-okalibra-the-swiss-holstein-queen-who-conquered-the-world/

# Episode Notes: Lab-Grown Milk Has Arrived - The Dairy Innovation Farmers Can't Ignore

## Episode Summary

In this groundbreaking episode, hosts Bella Thompson and Douglas Parker dive deep into the world of lab-grown milk, exploring its potential to disrupt the dairy industry. They discuss the scientific breakthrough achieved by Boston-based Brown Foods, the environmental implications, market potential, and strategies for dairy farmers to adapt to this emerging technology.

## Key Points Discussed

1. Scientific Breakthrough: Brown Foods has created "UnReal Milk," containing all eight key dairy proteins, validated by MIT's Whitehead Institute.

2. Technology Overview: Explanation of mammalian cell culture technology used to produce lab-grown milk.

3. Environmental Impact: Claims of 82% lower carbon footprint, 90% less water use, and 95% less land use compared to traditional dairy farming.

4. Market Potential:

- Global precision fermentation market projected to reach $34.8 billion by 2031.

- Consumer tastings planned for late 2025, market pilot in 2026.

5. Consumer Acceptance: Generational divide in interest levels (36% of Millennials vs. 21% of Baby Boomers).

6. Challenges: Cost, scaling production, extraction processes, and regulatory hurdles.

7. Adaptation Strategies for Dairy Farmers:

- Hybrid models (e.g., Senara in Germany)

- Land leasing for bioreactors

- Institutional partnerships (e.g., FrieslandCampina)

- Sustainability differentiation

8. Regulatory Considerations: FDA and USDA oversight, labeling debates.

9. Future Outlook: Potential for species-specific milk, new markets in cosmetics and pharmaceuticals.

## Quotes of Note

- "While your grandfather competed with the dairy farm down the road, your children may compete with bioreactors." - Douglas Parker

- "We're still milking cows, but now we're also growing cells." - Lüder Hinrichs, early adopter of hybrid model

- "We're blending one hundred fifty years of farming tradition with tomorrow's tech to stay relevant." - Jan Derck van Karnebeek, CEO of FrieslandCampina

## Resources Mentioned

- MIT's Whitehead Institute for Biomedical Research

- Perfect Day (precision fermentation company)

- Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions at Duke University

- Sentient Media study on consumer acceptance of cell-cultured dairy

## Call to Action

https://www.thebullvine.com/technology/lab-grown-milk-has-arrived-the-dairy-innovation-farmers-cant-ignore/

The innovative journey of GenoSource, a family-owned dairy operation in Iowa, from its inception to becoming a global leader in dairy genetics.

• Key Points:

• Collaborative beginnings among eight farming families.

• Revolutionary breeding strategies using genomic testing, sexed semen, and in vitro fertilization.

• Balancing show ring success with practical farm economics.

• Innovative recovery from a devastating storm.

• Emphasis on sustainability and profitability.

• Vision for the future of dairy farming.

Main Points Covered

1. Genesis of GenoSource

• Founded by eight farming families in twenty fourteen.

• Initial vision: Develop cows for free-stall environments with high milk solids.

• Key leadership roles: Tim Rauen (CEO), Kyle Demmer (COO), Matt Simon (CFO).

2. Revolutionary Breeding Strategies

• Use of genomic testing, sexed semen, and in vitro fertilization.

• Notable animals: Miss OCD Robust Delicious, GenoSource Captain.

• Integration of AI for optimal matings.

3. Balancing Beauty and Productivity

• Show ring success with Ladyrose Caught Your Eye-E-T.

• Combining type and production traits in breeding programs.

4. Rising from Disaster

• Recovery from the twenty twenty derecho storm.

• Rebuilding with state-of-the-art facilities and technology.

5. Sustainability and Profitability

• Use of STgenetics EcoFeed for feeding efficiency.

• Upcoming methane digester for energy independence.

• Integration of technology for improved animal welfare.

6. Vision for the Future

• Long-term genetic planning.

• Expansion of embryo exports.

• Legacy of GenoSource Captain.

Key Statistics and Figures

• Milk Production: Ninety-three pounds per day with butterfat at four point eight percent and protein at three point six percent.

• Embryo Production: Eighteen thousand embryos annually.

• Greenhouse Gas Reduction: Forty percent reduction expected from methane digester.

Key Takeaways

• Innovation and Tradition: GenoSource blends cutting-edge technology with traditional farming values.

• Sustainability and Profitability: Demonstrates that environmental stewardship and business success can coexist.

• Long-term Vision: Focus on creating a genetic legacy that shapes the future of dairy farming.

Call to Action

• Engagement: Encourage listeners to share their experiences with similar technologies or breeding strategies.

• Subscription: Invite listeners to subscribe to The Bullvine Podcast for more insightful episodes.

• Feedback: Encourage reviews and feedback on the episode.

https://www.thebullvine.com/breeder-profiles/from-pasture-to-powerhouse-the-genosource-story/