Forward Guidance

The Data Is Screaming Two-Speed Economy | Weekly Roundup


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This week, Quinn and Tyler cover lighter-than-expected PPI data, the Fed’s shifting focus from inflation to labor, deep labor-market revisions showing a “two-speed” U.S. economy, surging AI/data-center CapEx alongside weakening Main Street, and the concentration risks of mega-cap stocks and buybacks. Enjoy!

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Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ogspUIuKxnHZh7REVA9tKpo7tyPCA52W/view?usp=sharing

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.



Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix



Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:40) DAS London

(02:59) Inflation Update

(08:15) No High-Yield Problem

(12:11) Rate Cuts vs Inflation

(13:40) VanEck Ad

(14:24) Rate Cuts vs Inflation

(15:40) Problems in the Labor Market

(20:35) Small-Caps & Productivity Boom

(23:05) Fiscal Dominance & Inflation

(26:46) VanEck Ad

(27:27) SPX Implied Vol & Market Structure

(32:12) AI Boom & CapEx

(38:24) Bipolar Market Outcomes

(42:17) Centralization vs Diversification

(49:11) What’s Next for Markets?

(52:56) Final Thoughts

Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance


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