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In this episode, Jeff deGraaf joins the show to discuss the current market regime and why he thinks a recession is unlikely, how he is thinking about the different S&P sectors, and how foreign markets like Europe and China compare to the US. We also delve into the outlook for yields and monetary policy, credit spreads, gold, Bitcoin, and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Jeff deGraaf: https://x.com/RenMacLLC
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
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Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE FG10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
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Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(03:09) Market Cycle Clock Explained
(06:09) Deciphering the Market Regime
(10:13) Sector Performance and Predictions
(11:01) Ledger Ad
(11:46) Sector Performance and Predictions (Con't)
(19:04) Outlook for European and Chinese Markets
(24:30) Monetary Policy and Fixed Income Outlook
(32:48) Ledger Ad
(33:33) Monetary Policy and Fixed Income Outlook (Con't)
(34:35) Credit Spreads and Market Sentiment
(37:08) Gold and Bitcoin
(41:27) Highest Conviction Bet for 2025
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
By Blockworks4.5
249249 ratings
In this episode, Jeff deGraaf joins the show to discuss the current market regime and why he thinks a recession is unlikely, how he is thinking about the different S&P sectors, and how foreign markets like Europe and China compare to the US. We also delve into the outlook for yields and monetary policy, credit spreads, gold, Bitcoin, and more. Enjoy!
__
Follow Jeff deGraaf: https://x.com/RenMacLLC
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
—
Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE FG10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
__
Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(03:09) Market Cycle Clock Explained
(06:09) Deciphering the Market Regime
(10:13) Sector Performance and Predictions
(11:01) Ledger Ad
(11:46) Sector Performance and Predictions (Con't)
(19:04) Outlook for European and Chinese Markets
(24:30) Monetary Policy and Fixed Income Outlook
(32:48) Ledger Ad
(33:33) Monetary Policy and Fixed Income Outlook (Con't)
(34:35) Credit Spreads and Market Sentiment
(37:08) Gold and Bitcoin
(41:27) Highest Conviction Bet for 2025
__
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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