东谈西论

加拿大执政的自由党于当地时间3月9日举行党内选举，前央行行长马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）以压倒性优势胜出，这意味着他也接任新任总理。

卡尼在胜选演讲中直指美国，表示美国企图占有加拿大的资源、水源和土地，甚至威胁到加拿大人的生活方式。但卡尼强调，加拿大将永远不会成为美国的一部分。

自特朗普当选美国总统以来，加拿大面临日益严峻的挑战。特朗普和美国政府官员多次明示，加拿大应成为美国的第五十一个州。此外，特朗普政府宣布对加拿大和墨西哥的商品加征25%的关税，加拿大民众对这一系列言行强烈反应，激起了两国间的紧张局势，也大幅改变了加拿大国内政治格局。原本支持率奄奄一息的自由党通过坚决对抗美国的姿态，成功扭转了局势，支持率显著回升。

与此同时，中国也对加拿大加征了商品关税。为何加拿大接连遭遇中美两国的双重施压？美加贸易战即将爆发，是否仍有转机？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，主持人韩咏红与新加坡国立大学东亚研究所高级研究员陈波，一同拆解美、中、加三国的贸易战。

延伸阅读：

• 经济学家：特朗普关税若持续一年 美国GDP增速或降1%
• 中国报复加拿大关税 分析：警告他国勿跟随美国贸易壁垒

Former central banker Mark Carney will succeed Justin Trudeau as Canada’s prime minister, after emerging victorious in the Liberal Party leadership election with more than 85% of the votes. Carney's speech boldly criticised the United States' ambitions over Canadian resources and strongly affirmed Canada's sovereignty, stating that Canada "will never, ever be part of America in any way, shape, or form". Amid these political shifts, Canada faces mounting pressure, with Trump having previously suggested Canada join the U.S. as its 51st state and signed an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on Canadian goods. The situation is further complicated by China's recent announcement of retaliatory tariffs on Canadian imports. 

In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong explores the developments in North America with Chen Bo, Senior Research Fellow at the East Asian Institute of the National University of Singapore. 

Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

随着美国副总统万斯的插话，乌克兰总统泽连斯基的强硬反问，一场原本尚算和气的会谈，瞬间火药味十足，演变为震惊全国的外交争执。

美国总统特朗普、副总统万斯与泽连斯基，当着全球媒体的面激烈交锋。是美国仗大国之势，欺压一个正遭入侵的小国？是美国“民主灯塔”的形象轰然坍塌？还是泽连斯基准备不足，误判形势，缺乏战略判断与谈判筹码？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与中国著名国际战略专家、中国人民大学国际关系学院退休教授时殷弘解析美乌谈崩，乌克兰的命运将何去何从？欧洲又将走向何方？

延伸阅读：

• 黄宇翔：泽连斯基掀桌的欧洲底气
• 于泽远：美乌翻脸谁输谁获益？

A high-stakes meeting between US President Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy erupted into a public diplomatic row, raising serious questions about the future of Ukraine and transatlantic relations. 

The incident has drawn widespread criticism, with some accusing the US of bullying a nation under siege while others question Zelenskyy's tactical approach.  

The breakdown in communication highlights the fragility of international diplomacy and the potential consequences of aggressive rhetoric.  

With the US-Ukraine talks faltering, uncertainty looms over Ukraine's fate and the broader geopolitical landscape. What are the implications of this diplomatic clash? How will this impact the ongoing conflict and the balance of power in Europe? 

Join host Han Yonghong on Global Heartbeat podcast as she discusses these critical questions with Dr. Shi Yinhong, a leading expert on international strategy.

Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

美国总统特朗普上周宣布，将向对美贸易顺差国征收对等关税。

特朗普下令美国商务部、贸易代表办公室等启动调查，要对贸易伙伴制定对等关税，最早在今年4月实施。有评论人形容特朗普按下了全球贸易战的按钮，他在酝酿一场世界自由贸易秩序的重大革命。

自今年1月20日上任以来，特朗普以及他的亲密战友马斯克等人迅速颠覆了美国的一系列政策，改变现状，包括撤销美国国际开发署，推动联邦政府大裁员，还用关税威胁盟友，并且表示要长期接管加沙地带。

聚集了马斯克等奇才的特朗普2.0是一个超强组合，还是一群破坏分子？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与新加坡优势研究咨询公司创始人兼CEO张帆解析特朗普与团队一系列倒行逆施的做法目的是什么？

延伸阅读：

• 姜贵瑛：特朗普关税战升级 韩国经济外交陷危机
• 陈迎竹：美版大闹天宫急死观众

US President Donald Trump's second term has begun with a flurry of controversial policy announcements, sending shockwaves through global markets and international relations. His administration is pursuing aggressive trade policies, threatening tariffs on countries with a trade surplus with the US. This has sparked fears of a global trade war and potential retaliation from affected nations.

Domestically, proposed budget cuts to agencies like the US international aid agency (USAid) and significant federal workforce reductions have drawn criticism. 

Furthermore, Trump's policies regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, including a greater US role in Gaza, are raising concerns in the Middle East. 

Adding to the intrigue, Elon Musk's involvement in the Trump administration has generated both excitement and apprehension, with his influence on policy decisions still unclear. 

In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong delves into these complex issues with expert analysis from Tim Zhang, Founder & CEO of Edge Research.

Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

马来西亚首相安华去年12月，宣布邀请泰国前首相达信出任安华作为亚细安轮值主席国主席的私人顾问。不久后，安华和达信乘搭游艇在泰国边界的水域会面。

在今年2月初，安华与达信再次见面，讨论加密货币和缅甸局势问题。两人的会面，后来也加入了新加坡前外交部长杨荣文。

马来西亚是今年的亚细安轮值主席国，今年也是 “亚细安共同体愿景 2025” 实施的最后一年。这个组织将制定未来20年的目标，即 “亚细安共同体愿景2045”。

在全球贸易保护主义抬头、地缘政治紧张加剧的局势下，亚细安面临更大的机遇，以及更严峻的挑战。客观环境是否会迫使亚细安更有作为？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与拉曼大学政治与新闻系助理教授刘惟诚解析安华作为轮值主席，会施展怎样的雄心壮志？他又会如何解决悬而未决的缅甸问题？

延伸阅读：

• 刘惟诚：特朗普回归对亚细安的意义
• 刘惟诚：马国轮值亚细安主席的考验

Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's decision to appoint former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra as an informal advisor on ASEAN affairs has sparked controversy. Thaksin met with Anwar on multiple occasions, including a meeting on a yacht near the Thai border and a later meeting joined by former Singaporean Foreign Minister George Yeo. These meetings focused on pressing regional issues like the Myanmar crisis and the rise of cryptocurrencies.

Anwar's move has raised eyebrows due to Thaksin's controversial past and legal troubles. Critics question the appropriateness of seeking counsel from a figure convicted of corruption, while supporters emphasise Thaksin's experience and regional insights.  This appointment comes as Malaysia holds the ASEAN chairmanship for 2025, a crucial year marking the culmination of the "ASEAN Community Vision 2025" and the beginning of a new 20-year vision.

With rising global trade protectionism and escalating geopolitical tensions, ASEAN faces both opportunities and challenges. Anwar's leadership will be tested as he navigates these complex issues, particularly the ongoing crisis in Myanmar. 

This episode of Global Heartbeat podcast features Assistant Professor (Media and Politics) Liew Wui Chern from University of Tunku Abdul Rahman, offering insights into these unfolding events. Join us as we explore the ambitions and strategies that will shape ASEAN's future.

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

今年1月20日，中国人工智能公司DeepSeek发布全新模型DeepSeek-R1，震撼了AI产业界与美国股市。

据透露，DeepSeek-R1 的性能已接近OpenAI的ChatGPT，但其训练成本仅为后者的几十分之一。受此影响，美股七大科技巨头股价齐齐下跌，英伟达一周内累计跌幅超过15%，市值蒸发约6000亿美元。

这家成立仅一年的中国AI公司为何能异军突起，震撼全球？新任美国总统特朗普会采取哪些措施遏制中国人工智能的发展？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与新加坡优势研究咨询公司创始人兼CEO张帆深入探讨随着AI技术的迭代更新，其推理能力已接近人类，机器取代人的时代是否正在加速到来？

延伸阅读：

• 于泽远：DeepSeek冲击波
• 韩咏红：中国AI科学家的“深度探索”

The world of artificial intelligence is abuzz with the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI language model challenging the dominance of established players like OpenAI's ChatGPT.  DeepSeek has undoubtedly sent ripples through the tech industry, raising questions about the future of AI development and the global balance of power.  Its purported ability to match ChatGPT's functionality at a fraction of the training cost has sparked both excitement and concern.

This has resulted in notable declines in the stock prices of major American tech companies, with NVIDIA experiencing a significant drop. 

DeepSeek's rise has also fueled geopolitical anxieties, particularly regarding the US-China tech rivalry.  While the extent of its impact on US tech giants remains to be seen, DeepSeek's emergence highlights the rapid advancements in AI and the potential for disruptive innovation from unexpected players.

As AI evolves, questions arise about the balance between human emotion and machine logic, and whether we are nearing an era where machines could replace human roles.

Join host Han Yonghong and guest Tim Zhang, Edge Research Founder & CEO, as they explore these developments and their global implications. 

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

时隔四年，美国总统特朗普卷土重来。他在1月20日正式就职成为美国第47任总统。在就职演说中，他宣布美国将重返黄金时代，不会让美国再被其他国家占便宜，也会确保美国优先。此外，他极尽数落前任政府的政绩，大力抨击美国的安全状况、外交政策、移民政策等等。

特朗普上任第一天，一口气签署了一系列行政令，包括退出《巴黎协定》、退出世卫组织等等。他在就职演说中宣布南部边境紧急状态，明确表示要扩张美国的领土，将“墨西哥湾”重新命名为“美国湾”。

特朗普的归来会给美国和世界带来什么影响？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与清华大学战略与安全研究中心主任、国际关系学系教授达巍详细解析。

延伸阅读：

• 杨丹旭：特朗普风暴来了
• 陶瑞：美国与世界迎剧变 未来两年见真章

In a historic and unprecedented political comeback, Donald Trump has been inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States, marking his return to the White House four years after his first term. His inauguration speech set a bold tone, promising to usher in a new "golden age" for America and emphasised an "America First" policy. Throughout his speech, Trump criticised the previous administration's handling of security, foreign policy, immigration, public services, and education. 

Trump wasted no time implementing significant changes, declaring a national emergency at the southern border and in energy. He has expressed a desire to rename the Gulf of Mexico and an interest in acquiring the Panama Canal. Trump has also signed executive orders to withdraw the US from the Paris climate agreement and the World Health Organisation (WHO), raising questions about the future of US global engagement.

In this episode of Lianhe Zaobao’s podcast Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong is joined by Professor Da Wei, Director of the Centre for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University, to analyse the potential impact of Trump's second presidency on both American and global politics. 

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

今年1月3日，中国演员王星抵达泰国曼谷。他原以为自己是去拍戏，没想到却落入了电信诈骗集团的圈套。下飞机后，他被拐骗至缅甸的妙瓦底县。

幸运的是，王星有一个机智又爱他的女朋友。她一方面报警求助，另一方面通过社交媒体发声，最终成功让王星在1月7日获救。

在飞回上海的飞机上，王星回忆了自己的遭遇。他说，当时过了河，竟然完全没有意识到自己已经离开泰国。他被关押在一个地方，和他一起被关的还有大约50人，所有人都被剃光了头。

王星的经历并非个例。在他获救后，有超过170名怀疑家人被困在缅甸的中国人发起联署，恳求当局伸出援手。联合国的数据显示，大约有20万人在柬埔寨和缅甸的诈骗中心工作。这些人遭到囚禁、虐待，被迫从事诈骗活动。

由于诈骗集团的主要目标是中国人与华人，从事诈骗工作的人中也有不少中国受害者。有些人甚至形容，中国人就是“行走的人民币”。

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与马来西亚太平洋研究中心首席顾问胡逸山解析东南亚为何成了绑架和诈骗中国人的犯罪温床？各国政府又应该采取哪些行动来打击这些犯罪活动？

延伸阅读：

• 新闻人间：王星拐骗案幕后黑手“颜十六”

• 谈王星案 在泰国拍戏中国公司：做好这点就安全

The story of Chinese actor Wang Xing's harrowing escape from a Myanmar scam centre has sent shockwaves through the Chinese community and raised concerns about safety in Southeast Asia. Lured to Thailand under the guise of a filming opportunity in early January 2025, Wang Xing was abducted upon arrival and trafficked across the border to Myawaddy, Myanmar.  He found himself imprisoned with around 50 other individuals, all of whom were forced to shave their heads. Thanks to his resourceful girlfriend, who alerted authorities and rallied support on social media, Wang Xing was rescued within days. 

His experience sheds light on a disturbing trend of kidnappings linked to Southeast Asian fraud operations. Following his rescue, over 170 Chinese families reported similar disappearances of loved ones in Myanmar, highlighting the alarming prevalence of human trafficking and forced labour in the region. The United Nations estimates a staggering 200,000 people are trapped in these scam centres across Southeast Asia, subjected to horrific conditions and forced to participate in criminal activities targeting Chinese communities worldwide. The lucrative nature of these scams, preying on cultural and linguistic ties, has led to Chinese individuals being cynically referred to as "walking RMB" by criminal gangs. The fear became so real that even Hong Kong singer Eason Chan cancelled his Bangkok concert due to safety concerns for his fans. 

Join host Han Yong Hong as she explores the rise of scam centres in Southeast Asia, impact on tourism and potential solutions to this growing crisis with expert analysis from Dr Oh Ei Sun, Principal Adviser, Pacific Research Centre of Malaysia.  

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

在2024年岁末，中国军方一口气展示四款先进海空武器。

12月27日，全球首艘搭载电磁弹射系统的076型两栖攻击舰——四川舰，正式下水并命名。此外，解放军在成都和沈阳分别试飞两架疑似第六代战斗机，以及在西安试飞了全新的空警3000战略预警机，也都在12月26日和27日这两天里亮相。

中国在2025年之前密集展示多款世界先进武器，背后有什么深意？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红与《联合早报》驻北京记者于泽远详细解析中国这次的军工大暴走是想对外发出什么弦外之音？它又会如何改变中美军事实力的平衡？

延伸阅读：

• 于泽远：中国军工开启暴走模式

• 中国“四川舰”下水 可在渡海战中执行多种任务

In a strategic move at the close of 2024, China has showcased a series of cutting-edge military technologies, including the world’s first 076 amphibious assault ship equipped with electromagnetic catapults, and conducted test flights of new sixth-generation fighter jets and a KJ-3000 early warning aircraft. 

These demonstrations are not just technological feats but are laden with geopolitical significance, hinting at China's ambitions to alter the global military balance, particularly in relation to the United States. 

This episode of Global Heartbeat podcast delves into China's recent military advancements, exploring the motivations behind these developments and their potential impact on global power dynamics. Join host Han Yonghong and Lianhe Zaobao's China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan as they unpack what these advancements mean for the future of international security.

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

韩国济州航空公司的一架波音客机，星期天上午疑似因撞上鸟群而坠毁，造成重大伤亡。

从现场画面可见，飞机以机腹迫降在跑道上，随后滑行了相当长的距离，最终撞上一堵墙。巨大的冲击力导致飞机瞬间化为一团火球。事故造成179人罹难。

韩国今年可谓流年不利。就在不久前，总统尹锡悦于12月3日宣布全国进入紧急戒严。此举在国内外引发轩然大波。至今，韩国的政治动荡仍未平息。

2024年被称为“全球选举年”，全世界共有超过60个国家举行了选举。其中，一些国家的执政党在选举中失利，例如英国。而另一些国家则因政局动荡遭遇巨变，叙利亚的阿萨德政权就在武装叛变中被推翻。

然而，在这一系列的国际事件中，最引人注目的是美国的总统选举。特朗普在竞选期间经历了一场枪击事件，但他大难不死，最终成功当选为美国第47任总统。

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和《联合早报》国际新闻组第二主任吴汉钧盘点2024年最奇葩国际新闻。

延伸阅读：

• 【东谈西论】尹锡悦总统遭弹劾 如何影响韩国政治？

• 【东谈西论】全世界系好安全带 迎接特朗普的新美国

2024 was a year of global upheaval, marked by surprising election outcomes and political turmoil. While Donald Trump's return to the White House dominated headlines, significant events unfolded elsewhere. South Korea grappled with the impeachment of President Yoon Suk-yeol, sparking a constitutional crisis. While the reasons for impeachment are complex, the move has sent shockwaves through the country’s political landscape. Meanwhile, a Jeju Air passenger plane crash-landed in South Korea, raising concerns about aviation safety. Initial reports suggested a bird strike, but investigations are ongoing to determine the exact cause. 

Join Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor Han Yong Hong and Second Foreign Editor Ng Hon Kuan as they delve into a tumultuous year for international events in 2024.

Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12月3日，韩国总统尹锡悦宣布全国进入紧急戒严。4天后，尹锡悦发表“对国民谈话”，对紧急戒严事态道歉，并强调绝不会有第二次戒严。他还强硬地表示对调查和弹劾奉陪到底。12月14日，韩国国会第二次表决通过了弹劾总统尹锡悦的动议，暂停他的公职。总理韩悳洙将成为代理总统。尹锡悦在国会通过弹劾案后立即说：“我绝不会放弃。” 一直转变态度的尹锡悦会有什么下场？宪法法院会如何裁决？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人吴汉钧与韩国外国语大学孔裕植教授，以及《联合早报》驻首尔通讯员姜贵瑛详细解析。

延伸阅读：

• 尹锡悦面临弹劾审判和刑事调查

• 姜贵瑛：都是第一夫人惹的祸？

Two weeks after South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol announced martial law, his initial apology has transformed into a firm resolve to face the impeachment charges head-on. Despite his changing stance, the Dec 14 impeachment motion by the National Assembly has led to his suspension, with the Constitutional Court now set to determine his fate. 

As the court reviews the case, questions loom about Yoon's future and the trajectory of South Korea's political landscape. Join host Ng Hon Kuan in conversation with Hankuk University of Foreign Studies Chief Researcher Yoosik Kong and Lianhe Zaobao’s Seoul Correspondent Kang Gwi Young for an in-depth analysis of these pivotal events.

Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

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